Chiefs vs. Eagles Prediction, Odds, & Best Bets: Super Bowl 59

It has been decided. Super Bowl 59 will feature the Kansas City Chiefs and Philadelphia Eagles. 

The Eagles beat the Washington Commanders 55-23 in the NFC championship, while the Chiefs beat the Buffalo Bills 32-29 in the AFC title game. 

As you may know, these teams met in Super Bowl 57, and the Chiefs won 38-25. 

They’ve met once since then, Nov. 20, 2023, and the Eagles won in Kansas City 21-17. 

The Chiefs’ Super Bowl odds are now -130, and the Eagles are +110.

Below, I’ll dig into my prediction for this matchup, look at the odds, and find my best bets using football betting odds from BetMGM.

Chiefs vs. Eagles Prediction: Eagles +1.5 (-105)

Based on the strength of the Eagles offensive and defensive line and their rushing attack led by Saquon Barkley, my Chiefs vs. Eagles prediction is the Eagles +1.5.

I went against the Chiefs in the AFC championship, and while they covered the spread, I think they have a legitimate chance of losing this game outright. 

To be safe, I’ll take the points. 

There’s something to be said about the aura surrounding the Chiefs. They simply get it done. They’ve won the last two Super Bowls, and their first in this series was a 38-35 win over the Eagles in Super Bowl 57. 

That said, I think the Eagles are simply the better team. 

Like many matchups, it starts in the trenches. 

The Chiefs turned to Joe Thuney to kick out to left tackle. He’s played fine there, but he’ll still need to handle Josh Sweat, Moro Ojomo, Nolan Smith, and Bryce Huff. 

Even if he can hold up just fine, the interior of the Chiefs offensive line, namely left guard Mike Caliendo and right guard Trey Smith, have their work cut out for them against Milton Williams, Jalen Carter, Jordan Davis, and more. 

As for the Eagles offensive line, they’re stout across the board. There are some questions concerning Cam Jurgens’s health. This could be an issue against Chris Jones, but I don’t expect any pressure coming off the edge throughout as Jordan Mailata and Lane Johnson battle Chiefs pass rushers Mike Danna, George Karlaftis, and more. 

Looking at the back half of the Chiefs defence, they have a fantastic cornerback in Trent McDuffie. However, he mostly plays outside. This could impact A.J. Brown, but DeVonta Smith lines up primarily in the slot. He’ll see a lot of Chamarri Conner, who’s allowed 57 catches on 67 targets (85.1%) this season. 

Finally, I’m not sure their defence will be able to wrangle Eagles running back Saquon Barkley

The Chiefs have allowed over 100 rushing yards in each game this postseason and three rushing touchdowns between the divisional round and the AFC championship. 

Look for the Eagles to spoil the three-peat and get it done in New Orleans. 

Chiefs vs. Eagles Best Prop Bets

Saquon Barkley Anytime TD (-200)

While the odds aren’t great at -200, my best online sportsbook prop bet for this game is for Barkley to score a touchdown. 

I also like this prop for live betting. If Barkley hasn’t scored at any point during the game, I’m monitoring these lines to see if I can get better odds. 

As mentioned, the Chiefs have allowed three rushing touchdowns to opposing running backs in the postseason, including two to the Bills. 

They’ve also allowed at least 107 rushing yards in each game.

Against Buffalo, running backs averaged 5.14 yards per carry. 

Barkley will get plenty of carries behind an offensive line getting some rest. 

He’s scoring. 

Isiah Pacheco Over 6.5 Rush Attempts (+105)

Pacheco has played in nine games this season, including two postseason matchups. 

Over his last four games, he’s had nine carries or less. In each of the postseason games, he had just five carries. 

He’s not been efficient either, averaging just 3.7 yards per carry during the regular season and a mere three yards per carry during the postseason. 

Remember, Pacheco is recovering from an injury. Now, he’ll get two weeks to heal up more without game action. 

This is mostly a gut call, but I think the Chiefs are planning to unleash him in the Super Bowl. He’s been lightly used while Hunt has 225 carries this season, including the playoffs. 

Also, it’s worth noting the Eagles pass defence was No. 1 in yards allowed during the regular season, so the Chiefs can resort to running the ball and keeping the Eagles offence off the field. 

Getting +105 odds, I’m going for it. 

Chiefs vs. Eagles Odds

• Chiefs Moneyline: -130
• Eagles Moneyline: +110
• Game Spread: Chiefs -1.5 (-115); Eagles +1.5 (-105)
• Game Over/Under: 49.5 (-110/-110)

Chiefs Best Bets for Super Bowl 59:

• The Kansas City Chiefs have covered the 2Q Spread in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.20 Units / 39% ROI)
• The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.05 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 away games (+6.10 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 10 away games (+5.70 Units / 50% ROI)
• The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 away games (+2.55 Units / 20% ROI)

Eagles Best Bets for Super Bowl 59:

• The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 16 games (+13.60 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 15 games (+11.25 Units / 35% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Eagles have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.40 Units / 47% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 19 games (+7.85 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Eagles have covered the 4Q Spread in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.65 Units / 39% ROI)