Canada should feel good about where it stands entering the World Cup, with the opening game against Bosnia and Herzegovina set for June 12.
The two pre-tournament friendlies went fairly well, with Canada beating far-inferior Uzbekistan 2-0 and tying the Republic of Ireland 1-1.
With 16 additional teams set to qualify for the knockout stage, Canada is expected to advance from Group B, as reflected in its -455 soccer odds.
But can Jesse Marsch and Co. do one better and finish second, thereby gaining automatic qualification and a better Round of 32 draw?
Canada Group B Odds: World Cup 2026
Canada’s soccer odds to win Group B shortened significantly after Bosnia and Herzegovina’s confirmation, moving from +450 to +225. That’s a probability shift of 18.18% to 30.77%.
Since then, Canada’s odds improved marginally to +200.
Switzerland is the best and most experienced team in the group, and it is expected to finish first. However, when analyzing Switzerland’s World Cup roster, one potential weakness might provide an opportunity for Canada to win the group.
The more likely result, though, is for Canada to finish second behind Switzerland, which would be seen as a successful group phase.
Bosnia and Herzegovina (+500) is the third-most likely team to win, while Qatar (+2500) sits at the bottom of the pecking order.
Like Canada, Bosnia and Herzegovina is a heavy favourite to advance to the Round of 32, with odds of -278.
Canada Group B World Cup Predictions
Bosnia and Herzegovina is a physically dominant, bruising team, with 40-year-old captain Eden Dzeko acting as the head of the snake. It is exceptional in the air and will be tough to beat.
The pre-tournament friendlies were a bit of a mixed bag, as it walked away with two draws, tying North Macedonia 0-0 and Panama 1-1.
Analyzing Bosnia and Herzegovina’s World Cup roster provided some insight into how Canada can get the better of the 64th-ranked team.
Dzeko was, unsurprisingly, the leading scorer in World Cup qualifying, scoring five in seven group matches.
Haris Tabaković, the second-leading scorer from World Cup qualification with two goals, is recovering from a metatarsal and ankle fracture. He probably won’t feature against Canada in the June 12 opener.
Bosnia and Herzegovina relied on its frenzied home crowd to create a palpable advantage against Italy in the playoff final.
It won’t have the intimidating 12th man at its disposal when it plays Canada in the Group B opener, the impact of which cannot be overstated.
Playing in Toronto should offer Canada a discernible advantage. However, that advantage is likely offset by the injury Canada’s captain is dealing with.
If you’re wondering how Alphonso Davies’ injury will impact Canada at the World Cup, it could be the difference between taking all three points and leaving with a share of the spoils against Bosnia and Herzegovina.
With Davies unlikely to feature in the opener, I’m predicting a draw.
That draw will set the stage for Canada to finish second. Canada’s schedule is favourable compared to Bosnia and Herzegovina and Switzerland, as it only has to play in Toronto and Vancouver.
Bosnia and Herzegovina and Switzerland must play in three cities.
I believe Switzerland will already have the group wrapped when it faces Marsch’s men in the last game on June 24.
The Swiss may rest some starters, providing Canada the opportunity for a backdoor draw.
That, combined with a victory over Qatar, should provide a path for automatic qualification.
Switzerland and Canada to finish first and second have -125 odds at the BetMGM online sportsbook.
Best Bet: Switzerland and Canada to finish first and second (-125).
Canada’s Odds To Win the World Cup 2026
Canada’s World Cup betting odds are +15000.
Canada’s World Cup odds didn’t change after Bosnia and Herzegovina were confirmed as the final Group B participant, remaining at +15000.
If you’re looking for the definition of a pipe dream, picture Canada winning the World Cup.
Canada’s chances of securing soccer’s ultimate prize might be even more far-fetched than Leicester’s 2016 Premier League title, but its chances of automatic qualification look good.
Canada World Cup Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Time | Location |
| June 12 | Bosnia and Herzegovina | 3 p.m. ET | Toronto |
| June 18 | Qatar | 6 p.m. ET | Vancouver |
| June 24 | Switzerland | 3 p.m. ET | Vancouver |
World Cup Betting Odds
The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.
