- A’ja Wilson (-130) averaged a league-leading 23.4 points on 50.5% shooting.
- Napheesa Collier (+100) became just the second player in WNBA history to join the 50/40/90 club.
- Las Vegas’ net rating dips from 11.7 with Wilson on the court compared to -15.2 with Wilson off the court.
A’ja Wilson overtook Napheesa Collier for first place in the MVP race after helping the Las Vegas Aces go on a late-season surge.
Wilson’s dominant two-way effort helped the Aces take down Collier and the Minnesota Lynx in a potential WNBA Finals preview on Sept. 4.
With that in mind, let’s look at the WNBA odds for the top MVP candidates at the BetMGM sportsbook as of Sept. 5.
Prediction: Who Will Win the WNBA MVP in 2025?
A’ja Wilson is the current favourite to win the WNBA MVP in 2025 with basketball odds of -130, followed by Napheesa Collier at +100.
I predict Wilson will win the 2025 WNBA MVP.
She finished the season averaging a league-leading 23.4 points on 50.5% shooting to go along with 10.2 rebounds, 3.1 assists, 2.3 blocks, and 1.6 steals per game.
2025 WNBA MVP Odds
| Player | Team | MVP Odds | Opening Odds |
| A'ja Wilson | Las Vegas Aces | -130 | +200 |
| Napheesa Collier | Minnesota Lynx | +100 | +650 |
2025 WNBA MVP Favourites & Best Bets
A’ja Wilson MVP Odds -130
Wilson helped the Las Vegas Aces finish the season on a 16-game winning streak.
She averaged 26.1 points on 52.7% shooting, 12 rebounds, 2.6 assists, 2.3 blocks, and 1.6 steals per game during the streak.
Before the Aces won an unprecedented number of games since Aug. 3, I thought Collier had all but secured this award.
Las Vegas was sitting at just .500, and Wilson’s numbers from last season took a considerable dip.
However, the three-time MVP buckled down and guided the Aces to the No. 2 seed, guaranteeing her team homecourt advantage for any matchup except against the Lynx in a tight playoff picture.
What makes this turnaround even more impressive is that the Aces got demolished by 53 points by the Lynx before going on this winning streak, causing the Aces’ superstar center to text her teammates to not even bother showing up to the gym if they weren’t embarrassed about the excruciating loss.
Las Vegas’ net rating dips from 11.7 with Wilson on the court compared to -15.2 with Wilson off the court, proving just how valuable she is to her squad.
The 2024 unanimous MVP has a chance to become the first WNBA player ever to win four MVPs.
Napheesa Collier MVP Odds +100
Collier became just the second player in WNBA history to join the 50/40/90 club, finishing the season averaging 22.9 points on 53.1% shooting from the field, 40.3% from three, and 90.6% from the free-throw line to go along with 7.3 rebounds, 3.2 assists, 1.6 steals, and 1.5 blocks per game.
Though the Lynx have a strong supporting cast, their net rating was 16.6 with the five-time All-Star on the floor compared to just 4.9 without her, showing why Minnesota is the clear favourite to win it all when she’s at her best.
Minnesota plays at a slightly slower pace with its superstar forward, but its assist-to-turnover ratio improves dramatically, rising from 1.38 without her to 2.14 with her. That reflects how effectively she moves the ball and capitalises on scoring opportunities.
The 2024 MVP runner-up’s impact on the court is apparent in the numbers, but it’s also her exemplary leadership and clean shot selection that helps her team thrive.
Wilson’s late-season surge and Collier’s injury may keep her from winning MVP this year, but if Collier stays healthy, she could enter next season as the frontrunner.
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