- The Las Vegas Aces are -1.5 favourites in Game 4. The total is 164.5.
- The Aces defeated the Phoenix Mercury 90-88 in Game 3.
- A’ja Wilson led Las Vegas with 34 points, 14 rebounds, four assists, and three blocks.
The Las Vegas Aces defeated the Phoenix Mercury 90-88 in Game 3 to take a 3-0 series lead.
A’ja Wilson led Las Vegas with 34 points on 11-of-20 shooting, 14 rebounds, four assists, and three blocks, hitting a game-winning turnaround jumper with 0.3 seconds left in the game.
Below, I’ll make predictions for Game 4 using the WNBA betting odds available at the BetMGM sportsbook.
Mercury vs. Aces Odds
- Mercury spread: +1.5 (-105)
- Aces spread: -1.5 (-115)
- Mercury moneyline: +105
- Aces moneyline: -125
- Total: 164.5 (-110)
Mercury vs. Aces Predictions & Best Bets
Wilson has been the difference in this series, as the Aces have figured out how to get her established early and surrounded her with several 3-point specialists to open up their offensive game inside and out.
Jackie Young struggled in Game 1 but has since turned into the Robin to Wilson’s Batman, averaging 26.5 points on 50% shooting in her last two games.
Las Vegas is getting excellent playmaking and two-way production from Chelsea Gray, who has helped make life difficult for Phoenix on defence.
Jewell Loyd has also given the Aces a much-needed spark from downtown.
Phoenix may be without Satou Sabally in Game 4 after she appeared to take a hard shot to her head.
With Alyssa Thomas expected to continue handling the bulk of the playmaking duties for Phoenix, it’ll be up to Kahleah Copper, DeWanna Bonner, Monique Akoa Makani, and Sami Whitcomb to step up offensively to make up for the potential loss of Sabally.
However, Wilson has seemingly figured Phoenix’s defence out, so I’m predicting the Aces to make good on their basketball odds and cover the spread in Game 4.
What’s the All-Time Head-to-Head Record Between the Mercury and Aces?
The all-time head-to-head record between the Mercury and Aces is 55-51, favouring Phoenix.
What’s the Head-to-Head Record Between the Mercury and Aces in the Playoffs?
The head-to-head record between the Mercury and Aces in the playoffs is 9-8, favouring Phoenix.
When Was the Last Game Between the Mercury and the Aces?
The last game between the Mercury and the Aces was on Wednesday. Las Vegas won 90-88.
What’s the Longest Winning Streak Between the Mercury and the Aces?
The longest winning streak between the Mercury and the Aces is 10 games.
Las Vegas won 10 straight games over Phoenix from 2022 to 2024, including two playoff games.
Phoenix won 10 straight regular-season games over Las Vegas from 2015 to 2018.
What’s the Largest Margin of Victory Between the Mercury and the Aces?
The largest margin of victory between the Mercury and the Aces is 37 points.
Las Vegas blew out Phoenix 117-80 on Aug. 20, 2022, which was Game 2 of their first-round playoff series matchup.
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