2026 Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest Odds, Favourites, & Best Bets

Joey Chestnut celebrates after winning his 16th championship title during the 2023 Nathan's Famous Fourth of July hot dog eating contest in the Coney Island section of the Brooklyn borough of New York, Tuesday, July. 4, 2023.
(AP Photo/Yuki Iwamura)

Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest is one of many July 4 traditions in the U.S. An event like no other, more than a million people are expected to watch this year’s competition. 

Here are the latest hot dog eating contest odds at the BetMGM online sportsbook.

Prediction: Who Will Win the 2026 Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest?

I predict that Joey Chesnut will win the 2026 Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest. 

Since 2006, Chestnut has won the competition in all but two years. 

2026 Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest Odds

NameOdds
Joey Chestnut-2000
Patrick Bertoletti+1100
Geoffrey Esper+2500
James Webb+2500
Nick Wehry+5000
Ricardo Corbucci+8000
Max Stanford+10000
George Chiger+10000
Radim Dvoracek+15000
Derek Hendrickson+20000
Gideon Oji+20000
Darrien Thomas+20000

2026 Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest Favourites & Best Bets

Seventeen-time champion Chestnut is the overwhelming favourite for the 2026 Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest. 

The 70.5 hot dogs and buns consumed by Chestnut in 2025 were the most by any competitor since his record-breaking tally of 76 in 2021.

Patrick Bertoletti is Chestnut’s closest challenger, having won the event in Chestnut’s absence in 2024. Bertoletti has set a couple of world records in 2026, but no one can match Chestnut’s prowess when it comes to consuming hot dogs and buns on the 4th. 

James Webb and Geoff Esper have had recent victories on the Major League Eating circuit, but I am not predicting that either of them can get close to Chestnut. 

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