Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest is one of many July 4 traditions in the U.S. An event like no other, more than a million people are expected to watch this year’s competition.
Here are the latest hot dog eating contest odds at the BetMGM online sportsbook.
Prediction: Who Will Win the 2026 Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest?
I predict that Joey Chesnut will win the 2026 Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest.
Since 2006, Chestnut has won the competition in all but two years.
2026 Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest Odds
| Name | Odds |
| Joey Chestnut | -2000 |
| Patrick Bertoletti | +1100 |
| Geoffrey Esper | +2500 |
| James Webb | +2500 |
| Nick Wehry | +5000 |
| Ricardo Corbucci | +8000 |
| Max Stanford | +10000 |
| George Chiger | +10000 |
| Radim Dvoracek | +15000 |
| Derek Hendrickson | +20000 |
| Gideon Oji | +20000 |
| Darrien Thomas | +20000 |
2026 Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest Favourites & Best Bets
Seventeen-time champion Chestnut is the overwhelming favourite for the 2026 Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest.
The 70.5 hot dogs and buns consumed by Chestnut in 2025 were the most by any competitor since his record-breaking tally of 76 in 2021.
Patrick Bertoletti is Chestnut’s closest challenger, having won the event in Chestnut’s absence in 2024. Bertoletti has set a couple of world records in 2026, but no one can match Chestnut’s prowess when it comes to consuming hot dogs and buns on the 4th.
James Webb and Geoff Esper have had recent victories on the Major League Eating circuit, but I am not predicting that either of them can get close to Chestnut.
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