- The Stars are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Wild
- Wild vs. Stars Total (Over/Under): 5.5 goals
- TV Channel: ESPN2 | FDSN | VIC+ | FDWI
The Minnesota Wild visit American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Stars on Apr. 28 in Dallas, TX. The puck drop is scheduled for 8:00 pm.
The Stars are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+185).
The Wild vs. Stars Over/Under is 5.5 total goals.
Wild vs. Stars Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
Wild vs Stars Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Stars will win this game with 64.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Wild vs Stars Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Stars will cover the spread with 60.4% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Wild Best Bets & Trends
- The Minnesota Wild have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 25 away games (+11.45 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Minnesota Wild have hit the 3P Game Total Over in 15 of their last 25 away games (+11.35 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Minnesota Wild have covered the 1P Puck Line in 17 of their last 25 away games (+8.85 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Minnesota Wild have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 14 of their last 25 away games (+7.75 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Minnesota Wild have hit the 1P Game Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.05 Units / 35% ROI)
Stars Best Bets & Trends
- The Dallas Stars have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 games at home (+6.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Dallas Stars have hit the 1P Game Total Over in 16 of their last 25 games at home (+4.85 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Dallas Stars have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 13 of their last 25 games at home (+3.95 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Dallas Stars have hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.50 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Dallas Stars have hit the 2P Moneyline in 8 of their last 20 games at home (+3.30 Units / 11% ROI)
Wild Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Wild are 42-44 against the spread this NHL season (-0.05 Units / -0.04% ROI).
- Wild are 48-38 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.7 Units /-0.6% ROI
- Wild are 46-36 when betting the Over for +5.6 Units / 5.79% ROI
- Wild are 36-46 when betting the Under for -13.15 Units /-14.1% ROI
Stars Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Stars are 34-52 against the spread this NHL season (-11.95 Units /-10.72% ROI).
- Stars are 52-34 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.6 Units / 3.64% ROI
- Stars are 43-41 when betting the Over for -3.05 Units / -3.15% ROI
- Stars are 41-43 when betting the Under for -5.35 Units / -5.72% ROI
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions for for Stars vs Wild
| Player Name | Odds to Score a Goal |
|---|---|
| Jason Robertson (DAL) | +115 |
| Wyatt Johnston (DAL) | +140 |
| Matt Boldy (Min) | +155 |
| Kirill Kaprizov (Min) | +160 |
| Mikko Rantanen (DAL) | +200 |
| Joel Eriksson Ek (Min) | +230 |
Points Per Game Predictions for Stars vs Wild
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Jamie Benn (DAL) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Vladimir Tarasenko (MIN) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Wyatt Johnston (DAL) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
| Thomas Harley (DAL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -210 |
| Mikko Rantanen (DAL) | 1.5 +170 | 1.5 -235 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Stars vs Wild
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Jamie Benn (DAL) | 1.5 +140 | 1.5 -190 |
| Vladimir Tarasenko (MIN) | 1.5 -125 | 1.5 -110 |
| Wyatt Johnston (DAL) | 2.5 -175 | 2.5 +130 |
| Thomas Harley (DAL) | 1.5 -190 | 1.5 +140 |
| Mikko Rantanen (DAL) | 2.5 +105 | 2.5 -140 |
Wild: Keys to the Game vs. Stars
The Wild are 44-34 (.564) this season — 7th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Wild were undefeated (28-0) when leading after the second period last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .852
The Wild were 27-11 (.711) when having 3 or more xG. last season — 10th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .635
The Wild are 7-9 (.438) when tied after the second period this season — 8th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
Stars: Keys to the Game vs. Wild
The Stars are 136-84 (.618) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Stars are 47-31 (.603) this season — 4th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Stars were 48-31 (.608) last season — tied for 4th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Stars are 7-1 (.875) when recording 35 or more shots on goal this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .526
Wild Offensive Stats & Trends
The Wild have scored on 8% of second chance opportunities while leading since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
The Wild have scored 5 power play goals in overtime since the start of the 2024-25 season — most among NHL Teams
The Wild scored on 3% of second chance opportunities in the first period last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
The Wild have averaged 0.04 expected goals per game while shorthanded this season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.08
Stars Offensive Stats & Trends
The Stars had 5 forecheck chances while shorthanded last season — most among NHL Teams
The Stars have 8 forecheck chances while shorthanded since the start of the 2024-25 season — most among NHL Teams
The Stars have 10 forecheck chances while shorthanded since the start of the 2023-24 season — most among NHL Teams
The Stars have scored on 22% of second chance opportunities since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 16%
Wild Defensive Stats & Trends
The Wild allowed opponents to score on 7% of rush chances last season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 11%
The Wild have allowed 0.2 high danger chances per game while their opponent is shorthanded since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.4
The Wild have allowed opponents to score on 6% of rush chances in the first period since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10%
The Wild have allowed opponents to score on 8% of rush chances since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 11%
Stars Defensive Stats & Trends
The Stars have a .908 save percentage since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .900
The Stars have allowed 1.9 rush chances per game in the second period this season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 2.3
The Stars have allowed 2.7 goals per game this season — tied for 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 3.1
The Stars have a .904 save percentage this season — tied for 5th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .897
National Hockey League Betting at BetMGM
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