- The Senators are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Wild
- Wild vs. Senators Total (Over/Under): 6 goals
- TV Channel: TSN5 | TVA | FDSN | FWIX
The Minnesota Wild (42-21) visit Canadian Tire Centre to take on the Ottawa Senators (39-26) on Apr. 4 in Ottawa, ON. The puck drop is scheduled for 1:00 pm.
The Senators are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+195).
The Wild vs. Senators Over/Under is 6 total goals.
Wild vs. Senators Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
Wild vs Senators Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Senators will win this game with 58.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Wild vs Senators Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Wild will cover the spread with 52.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Wild Best Bets & Trends
- The Minnesota Wild have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 16 of their last 25 away games (+12.40 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Minnesota Wild have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 20 away games (+11.65 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Minnesota Wild have hit the 3P Game Total Over in 16 of their last 25 away games (+8.75 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Minnesota Wild have covered the 1P Puck Line in 13 of their last 20 away games (+5.85 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Minnesota Wild have hit the 1P Moneyline in 10 of their last 25 away games (+5.80 Units / 19% ROI)
Senators Best Bets & Trends
- The Ottawa Senators have covered the 2P Puck Line in 16 of their last 25 games (+8.95 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Ottawa Senators have hit the 2P Moneyline in 15 of their last 25 games (+8.75 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Ottawa Senators have hit the 3P Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games at home (+5.50 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Ottawa Senators have covered the Puck Line in 7 of their last 11 games at home (+5.15 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Ottawa Senators have covered the 3P Puck Line in 8 of their last 12 games at home (+5.00 Units / 35% ROI)
Wild Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Wild are 37-38 against the spread this NHL season (+3 Units / 2.74% ROI).
- Wild are 42-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.8 Units /-1.75% ROI
- Wild are 40-32 when betting the Over for +4.3 Units / 5.1% ROI
- Wild are 32-40 when betting the Under for -10.65 Units /-13.1% ROI
Senators Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Senators are 34-41 against the spread this NHL season (-1.3 Units /-1.32% ROI).
- Senators are 39-36 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.65 Units / -5.41% ROI
- Senators are 39-34 when betting the Over for +0.95 Units / 1.13% ROI
- Senators are 34-39 when betting the Under for -7.8 Units / -9.6% ROI
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions for for Senators vs Wild
| Player Name | Odds to Score a Goal |
|---|---|
| Kirill Kaprizov (Min) | +150 |
| Matt Boldy (Min) | +175 |
| Brady Tkachuk (Ott) | +195 |
| Tim Stutzle (Ott) | +200 |
| Drake Batherson (Ott) | +210 |
| Joel Eriksson Ek (Min) | +275 |
Points Per Game Predictions for Senators vs Wild
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Jordan Spence (OTT) | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -125 |
| Kirill Kaprizov (MIN) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Vladimir Tarasenko (MIN) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Bobby Brink (MIN) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Shane Pinto (OTT) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -145 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Senators vs Wild
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Jordan Spence (OTT) | 1.5 -185 | 1.5 +135 |
| Kirill Kaprizov (MIN) | 2.5 -175 | 2.5 +130 |
| Vladimir Tarasenko (MIN) | 1.5 -105 | 1.5 -130 |
| Shane Pinto (OTT) | 1.5 -185 | 1.5 +130 |
| Tim Stutzle (OTT) | 2.5 +120 | 2.5 -165 |
Wild: Keys to the Game vs. Senators
The Wild are 41-32 (.562) this season — 7th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Wild were undefeated (28-0) when leading after the second period last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .852
The Wild were 21-6 (.778) when leading after the first period last season — tied for 8th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .715
The Wild are 29-16 (.644) when having 3 or more xG. this season — 10th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .604
Senators: Keys to the Game vs. Wild
The Senators are 14-26 (.350) when allowing 14 or more high danger chances this season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .469
The Senators were 7-10 (.412) when tied after the second period last season — 9th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Senators were 16-9 (.640) when tied after the first period last season — 5th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Senators are 17-61 (.218) when trailing after the first period since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .266
Wild Offensive Stats & Trends
The Wild have scored 5 power play goals in overtime since the start of the 2024-25 season — most among NHL Teams
The Wild have 0.1 rush chances per game while shorthanded this season — tied for lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.4
The Wild have scored on 8% of second chance opportunities while leading since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
The Wild have scored on 7% of second chance opportunities in the first period since the start of the 2024-25 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 16%
Senators Offensive Stats & Trends
The Senators have 21 cycle chances in 4v4 situations this season — most among NHL Teams
The Senators have 11 inner slot shots in 4v4 situations this season — 2nd most among NHL Teams
The Senators have scored on 12% of cycle chances this season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 9%
The Senators have drawn 96 penalties in the first period this season — most among NHL Teams
Wild Defensive Stats & Trends
The Wild have allowed opponents to score on 8% of rush chances since the start of the 2024-25 season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 11%
The Wild allowed opponents to score on 7% of rush chances last season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 11%
The Wild allowed opponents to score on 3% of rush chances in the first period last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10%
The Wild have allowed 0.2 high danger chances per game while their opponent is shorthanded since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.4
Senators Defensive Stats & Trends
The Senators have a .796 slot save percentage this season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .829
The Senators have allowed opponents to score on 22% of rush chances in the third period this season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 12%
The Senators have a .814 slot save percentage since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .829
The Senators have a .797 slot save percentage in the first period this season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .839
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