- The Wild are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Golden Knights
- Wild vs. Golden Knights Total (Over/Under): 6.5 goals
- TV Channel: SCRI | FDSN | FDWI | RSNE
The Minnesota Wild (36-16) visit T-Mobile Arena to take on the Vegas Golden Knights (29-19) on Mar. 6 in Paradise, NV. The puck drop is scheduled for 10:00 pm.
The Wild are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+200).
The Wild vs. Golden Knights Over/Under is 6.5 total goals.
Wild vs. Golden Knights Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread (Puck line) | Total (O/U) | 2-Way Moneyline | |
| Wild | -1.5 +200 | 6.5 -120 | -115 |
| Golden Knights | +1.5 -250 | 6.5 +100 | -105 |
Wild vs Golden Knights Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Golden Knights will win this game with 56.7% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Wild vs Golden Knights Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Wild will cover the spread with 55.5% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Wild Best Bets & Trends
- The Minnesota Wild have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 25 games (+15.65 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Minnesota Wild have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 15 of their last 20 away games (+13.40 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Minnesota Wild have hit the 3P Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 away games (+6.85 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Minnesota Wild have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 25 away games (+6.40 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Minnesota Wild have hit the 1P Game Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+6.00 Units / 22% ROI)
Golden Knights Best Bets & Trends
- The Vegas Golden Knights have covered the 3P Puck Line in 13 of their last 20 games (+8.35 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Vegas Golden Knights have covered the Puck Line in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.80 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Vegas Golden Knights have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+6.45 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Vegas Golden Knights have hit the 1P Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.80 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Vegas Golden Knights have hit the 2P Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+4.70 Units / 30% ROI)
Wild Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Wild are 32-30 against the spread this NHL season (+5.15 Units / 5.53% ROI).
- Wild are 36-26 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.65 Units /4.57% ROI
- Wild are 36-24 when betting the Over for +9 Units / 12.82% ROI
- Wild are 24-36 when betting the Under for -14.1 Units /-21.09% ROI
Golden Knights Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Golden Knights are 24-38 against the spread this NHL season (-7.75 Units /-10.22% ROI).
- Golden Knights are 29-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.5 Units / -18.92% ROI
- Golden Knights are 33-26 when betting the Over for +4.4 Units / 6.37% ROI
- Golden Knights are 26-33 when betting the Under for -9.8 Units / -14.39% ROI
Points Per Game Predictions for Golden Knights vs Wild
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Kirill Kaprizov (MIN) | 1.5 +160 | 1.5 -220 |
| Vladimir Tarasenko (MIN) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Mats Zuccarello (MIN) | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Mitch Marner (VEG) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +150 |
| Tomas Hertl (VEG) | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -110 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Golden Knights vs Wild
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Kirill Kaprizov (MIN) | 3.5 -115 | 3.5 -118 |
| Vladimir Tarasenko (MIN) | 1.5 -105 | 1.5 -130 |
| Mats Zuccarello (MIN) | 1.5 -160 | 1.5 +120 |
| Mitch Marner (VEG) | 1.5 -200 | 1.5 +140 |
| Tomas Hertl (VEG) | 2.5 +100 | 2.5 -140 |
Wild: Keys to the Game vs. Golden Knights
The Wild are 36-26 (.581) this season — 6th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Wild are 80-63 (.559) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 7th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Wild were 39-6 (.867) when scoring 3 or more non-shootout goals last season — 4th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .754
The Wild were undefeated (28-0) when leading after the second period last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .852
Golden Knights: Keys to the Game vs. Wild
The Golden Knights are 28-33 (.459) this season — 10th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Golden Knights are 121-100 (.548) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Golden Knights were 48-31 (.608) last season — tied for 4th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Golden Knights were 31-3 (.912) when scoring 4 or more non-shootout goals last season — 10th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .865
Wild Offensive Stats & Trends
The Wild have scored 5 power play goals in overtime since the start of the 2024-25 season — most among NHL Teams
The Wild have scored on 8% of second chance opportunities while leading since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
The Wild have scored 5 power play goals in overtime since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for most among NHL Teams
The Wild had 5.4 rush chances per game last season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 6.4
Golden Knights Offensive Stats & Trends
The Golden Knights have scored on 20% of rush chances in the third period this season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 12%
The Golden Knights had 963 slot shots in 5v5 situations last season — most among NHL Teams
The Golden Knights had 12.2 slot shots per game in 5v5 situations last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10.2
The Golden Knights had 15.4 slot shots per game last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 13.6
Wild Defensive Stats & Trends
The Wild have allowed 0.0 goals per game while their opponent is shorthanded this season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.1
The Wild have allowed 0.2 high danger chances per game while their opponent is shorthanded since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.4
The Wild have allowed opponents to score on 6% of rush chances in the first period since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10%
The Wild have allowed 0.2 rush chances per game while their opponent is shorthanded since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.4
Golden Knights Defensive Stats & Trends
The Golden Knights have allowed 7 forecheck chances in overtime this season — most among NHL Teams
The Golden Knights have allowed opponents to score on 19% of rush chances in the first period this season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 11%
The Golden Knights have allowed 11 forecheck chances in overtime since the start of the 2023-24 season — most among NHL Teams
The Golden Knights have a .782 slot save percentage in the first period this season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .840
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