- The Avalanche are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Wild
- Wild vs. Avalanche Total (Over/Under): 6 goals
- TV Channel: TNT | tru | HBOM | CBC
The Minnesota Wild visit Ball Arena to take on the Colorado Avalanche on May 3 in Denver, CO. The puck drop is scheduled for 9:00 pm.
The Avalanche are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Wild vs. Avalanche Over/Under is 6 total goals.
Wild vs. Avalanche Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
Wild vs Avalanche Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Avalanche will win this game with 90.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Wild vs Avalanche Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Avalanche will cover the spread with 83.2% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Wild Best Bets & Trends
- The Minnesota Wild have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 25 away games (+11.45 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Minnesota Wild have hit the 3P Game Total Over in 15 of their last 25 away games (+11.35 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Minnesota Wild have covered the 1P Puck Line in 17 of their last 25 away games (+8.45 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Minnesota Wild have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 14 of their last 25 away games (+6.20 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Minnesota Wild have hit the 1P Game Total Over in 11 of their last 15 games (+5.95 Units / 30% ROI)
Avalanche Best Bets & Trends
- No trends found
Wild Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Wild are 44-44 against the spread this NHL season (+3 Units / 2.29% ROI).
- Wild are 50-38 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.35 Units /1.14% ROI
- Wild are 48-36 when betting the Over for +7.6 Units / 7.66% ROI
- Wild are 36-48 when betting the Under for -15.15 Units /-15.91% ROI
Avalanche Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Avalanche are 44-42 against the spread this NHL season (+13.55 Units /14.44% ROI).
- Avalanche are 59-27 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.85 Units / 3.25% ROI
- Avalanche are 33-49 when betting the Over for -22.45 Units / -23% ROI
- Avalanche are 49-33 when betting the Under for +14.85 Units / 16.02% ROI
Points Per Game Predictions for Avalanche vs Wild
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Vladimir Tarasenko (MIN) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Ross Colton (COL) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Martin Necas (COL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Matt Boldy (MIN) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Brent Burns (COL) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -295 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Avalanche vs Wild
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Vladimir Tarasenko (MIN) | 1.5 -120 | 1.5 -115 |
| Ross Colton (COL) | 1.5 -160 | 1.5 +120 |
| Martin Necas (COL) | 2.5 -160 | 2.5 +120 |
| Matt Boldy (MIN) | 3.5 -140 | 3.5 +105 |
| Brent Burns (COL) | 1.5 -200 | 1.5 +145 |
Wild: Keys to the Game vs. Avalanche
The Wild are 44-34 (.564) this season — 7th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Wild are 7-9 (.438) when tied after the second period this season — 8th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Wild are 23-16 (.590) when outshooting their opponents this season — 7th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .523
The Wild are 63-15 (.808) when leading after the first period since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .734
Avalanche: Keys to the Game vs. Wild
The Avalanche are 53-26 (.671) this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Avalanche are 136-83 (.621) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Avalanche were 47-32 (.595) last season — tied for 6th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Avalanche are 17-7 (.708) when allowing 35 or more shots on goal since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .458
Wild Offensive Stats & Trends
The Wild have 0.1 rush chances per game while shorthanded this season — tied for lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.4
The Wild have scored on 8% of second chance opportunities while leading since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
The Wild have scored 5 power play goals in overtime since the start of the 2024-25 season — most among NHL Teams
The Wild scored on 3% of second chance opportunities in the first period last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
Avalanche Offensive Stats & Trends
The Avalanche have 697 cycle chances in 5v5 situations this season — most among NHL Teams
The Avalanche have 12.8 slot shots per game in 5v5 situations this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10.3
The Avalanche have recorded 28.5 shots per game in 5v5 situations this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 23.3
The Avalanche have recorded 35.7 shots per game this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 29.8
Wild Defensive Stats & Trends
The Wild allowed opponents to score on 7% of rush chances last season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 11%
The Wild have allowed 0.2 high danger chances per game while their opponent is shorthanded since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.4
The Wild have allowed opponents to score on 5% of rush chances in the first period since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 11%
The Wild allowed opponents to score on 3% of rush chances in the first period last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10%
Avalanche Defensive Stats & Trends
The Avalanche have allowed 0.2 goals per game while their opponent is shorthanded this season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.1
The Avalanche have allowed 0.7 goals per game in the third period this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.1
The Avalanche have 29.7 goals saved above expected in the third period this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 6.4
The Avalanche have allowed opponents to score on 30% of rush chances while their opponent is shorthanded this season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 13%
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