- The Stars are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Wild
- Stars vs. Wild Total (Over/Under): 5.5 goals
- TV Channel: VIC+ | FDSN | FDWI
The Dallas Stars (43-15) visit Grand Casino Arena to take on the Minnesota Wild (39-19) on Mar. 21 in Saint Paul, MN. The puck drop is scheduled for 4:00 pm.
The Stars are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+185).
The Stars vs. Wild Over/Under is 5.5 total goals.
Stars vs. Wild Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread (Puck line) | Total (O/U) | 2-Way Moneyline | |
| Stars | -1.5 +185 | 5.5 -110 | -135 |
| Wild | +1.5 -225 | 5.5 -110 | +110 |
Stars vs Wild Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Stars will win this game with 57.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Stars vs Wild Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Stars will cover the spread with 56.5% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Stars Best Bets & Trends
- The Dallas Stars have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 20 games (+11.45 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Dallas Stars have hit the 2P Moneyline in 11 of their last 20 games (+10.00 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Dallas Stars have covered the 2P Puck Line in 11 of their last 15 games (+9.40 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Dallas Stars have hit the 3P Game Total Over in 15 of their last 25 away games (+8.85 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Dallas Stars have covered the Puck Line in 7 of their last 10 away games (+6.35 Units / 42% ROI)
Wild Best Bets & Trends
- The Minnesota Wild have hit the 1P Game Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games (+8.65 Units / 72% ROI)
- The Minnesota Wild have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 25 games (+6.40 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Minnesota Wild have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 11 of their last 25 games (+4.40 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Minnesota Wild have hit the 3P Game Total Over in 9 of their last 20 games (+4.25 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Minnesota Wild have hit the 3P Moneyline in 11 of their last 20 games at home (+4.10 Units / 13% ROI)
Stars Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Stars are 28-40 against the spread this NHL season (-7.2 Units / -8.05% ROI).
- Stars are 43-25 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.25 Units /7.21% ROI
- Stars are 34-33 when betting the Over for -2.6 Units / -3.44% ROI
- Stars are 33-34 when betting the Under for -4.1 Units /-5.5% ROI
Wild Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Wild are 35-35 against the spread this NHL season (+4.8 Units /4.72% ROI).
- Wild are 39-31 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.85 Units / -3.04% ROI
- Wild are 37-30 when betting the Over for +3.6 Units / 4.57% ROI
- Wild are 30-37 when betting the Under for -9.25 Units / -12.2% ROI
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions for for Wild vs Stars
| Player Name | Odds to Score a Goal |
|---|---|
| Jason Robertson (DAL) | +145 |
| Matt Boldy (Min) | +155 |
| Wyatt Johnston (DAL) | +165 |
| Vladimir Tarasenko (MIN) | +230 |
| Matt Duchene (DAL) | +250 |
| Jamie Benn (DAL) | +275 |
Points Per Game Predictions for Wild vs Stars
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Jamie Benn (DAL) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Justin Hryckowian (DAL) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Vladimir Tarasenko (MIN) | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -118 |
| Mats Zuccarello (MIN) | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +115 |
| Michael Bunting (DAL) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Wild vs Stars
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Jamie Benn (DAL) | 1.5 -110 | 1.5 -120 |
| Vladimir Tarasenko (MIN) | 1.5 -200 | 1.5 +145 |
| Wyatt Johnston (DAL) | 2.5 -135 | 2.5 +100 |
| Mats Zuccarello (MIN) | 2.5 +115 | 2.5 -155 |
| Michael Bunting (DAL) | 1.5 -145 | 1.5 +105 |
Stars: Keys to the Game vs. Wild
The Stars are 42-25 (.627) this season — 4th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Stars were 48-31 (.608) last season — tied for 4th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Stars are 136-84 (.618) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Stars are 7-1 (.875) when recording 35 or more shots on goal this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .517
Wild: Keys to the Game vs. Stars
The Wild are 39-30 (.565) this season — 6th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Wild are 21-13 (.618) when outshooting their opponents this season — 6th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .513
The Wild are 83-67 (.553) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 7th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Wild were 21-6 (.778) when leading after the first period last season — tied for 8th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .715
Stars Offensive Stats & Trends
The Stars had 5 forecheck chances while shorthanded last season — most among NHL Teams
The Stars have 7 forecheck chances while shorthanded since the start of the 2024-25 season — most among NHL Teams
The Stars have 10 forecheck chances while shorthanded since the start of the 2023-24 season — most among NHL Teams
The Stars have scored on 23% of second chance opportunities since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 16%
Wild Offensive Stats & Trends
The Wild have scored on 8% of second chance opportunities while leading since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
The Wild have scored 5 power play goals in overtime since the start of the 2024-25 season — most among NHL Teams
The Wild have 0.1 rush chances per game while shorthanded this season — tied for lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.4
The Wild are 39-30 (.565) this season — 6th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
Stars Defensive Stats & Trends
The Stars have allowed 14.7 high danger chances per game this season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17.3
The Stars have allowed 4.4 high danger chances per game in the third period this season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 5.4
The Stars have allowed 2.7 goals per game this season — tied for 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 3.1
The Stars have 6 successful stick checks in 4v4 situations this month — tied for most among NHL Teams
Wild Defensive Stats & Trends
The Wild allowed opponents to score on 7% of rush chances last season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 11%
The Wild have allowed opponents to score on 8% of rush chances since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 11%
The Wild have allowed opponents to score on 6% of rush chances in the first period since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10%
The Wild have allowed 0.2 high danger chances per game while their opponent is shorthanded since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.4
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