- The Stars are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Sabres
- Stars vs. Sabres Total (Over/Under): 6 goals
- TV Channel: VIC+ | KDFI | TNT | HBOM
The Dallas Stars (49-20) visit KeyBank Center to take on the Buffalo Sabres (50-23) on Apr. 15 in Buffalo, NY. The puck drop is scheduled for 7:00 pm.
The Stars are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+165).
The Stars vs. Sabres Over/Under is 6 total goals.
Stars vs. Sabres Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
Stars vs Sabres Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Sabres will win this game with 51.6% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Stars vs Sabres Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Sabres will cover the spread with 50.7% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Stars Best Bets & Trends
- The Dallas Stars have covered the 2P Puck Line in 15 of their last 25 games (+9.40 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Dallas Stars have hit the 3P Game Total Over in 16 of their last 25 away games (+8.85 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Dallas Stars have hit the 2P Moneyline in 13 of their last 25 games (+8.30 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Dallas Stars have hit the 1P Game Total Under in 10 of their last 15 away games (+5.15 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Dallas Stars have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.00 Units / 41% ROI)
Sabres Best Bets & Trends
- The Buffalo Sabres have covered the 3P Puck Line in 17 of their last 25 games (+10.45 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Buffalo Sabres have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 25 games (+9.15 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Buffalo Sabres have hit the 3P Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 games (+8.40 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Buffalo Sabres have covered the 1P Puck Line in 14 of their last 25 games at home (+8.25 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Buffalo Sabres have hit the 2P Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+7.00 Units / 47% ROI)
Stars Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Stars are 31-50 against the spread this NHL season (-13.85 Units / -13.32% ROI).
- Stars are 49-32 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.65 Units /3.03% ROI
- Stars are 40-40 when betting the Over for -4.85 Units / -5.32% ROI
- Stars are 40-40 when betting the Under for -3.05 Units /-3.46% ROI
Sabres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Sabres are 46-35 against the spread this NHL season (+15.35 Units /12.95% ROI).
- Sabres are 50-31 when betting on the Moneyline for +18.55 Units / 18.51% ROI
- Sabres are 37-41 when betting the Over for -8.15 Units / -9.05% ROI
- Sabres are 41-37 when betting the Under for +0.7 Units / 0.78% ROI
Points Per Game Predictions for Sabres vs Stars
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Wyatt Johnston (DAL) | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +115 |
| Jason Zucker (BUF) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
| Thomas Harley (DAL) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Rasmus Dahlin (BUF) | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
| Mikko Rantanen (DAL) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Sabres vs Stars
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Wyatt Johnston (DAL) | 2.5 -105 | 2.5 -135 |
| Jason Zucker (BUF) | 1.5 -155 | 1.5 +115 |
| Thomas Harley (DAL) | 1.5 -165 | 1.5 +120 |
| Rasmus Dahlin (BUF) | 2.5 +135 | 2.5 -190 |
| Mikko Rantanen (DAL) | 2.5 +140 | 2.5 -190 |
Stars: Keys to the Game vs. Sabres
The Stars are 7-1 (.875) when recording 35 or more shots on goal this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .523
The Stars are 46-31 (.597) this season — 5th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Stars are 136-84 (.618) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Stars are 32-18 (.640) when allowing 35 or more shots on goal since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .470
Sabres: Keys to the Game vs. Stars
The Sabres are 47-31 (.603) this season — 4th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Sabres were 34-45 (.430) last season — 9th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Sabres were 16-14 (.533) when winning the xG advantage last season — 3rd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .694
The Sabres were 23-3 (.885) when allowing 2 or fewer non-shootout goals last season — 9th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .856
Stars Offensive Stats & Trends
The Stars have 8 forecheck chances while shorthanded since the start of the 2024-25 season — most among NHL Teams
The Stars have 10 forecheck chances while shorthanded since the start of the 2023-24 season — most among NHL Teams
The Stars had 5 forecheck chances while shorthanded last season — most among NHL Teams
The Stars have scored on 22% of second chance opportunities since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 16%
Sabres Offensive Stats & Trends
The Sabres had 5 forecheck chances in 4v4 situations last season — tied for most among NHL Teams
The Sabres had 86 forecheck chances in the second period last season — most among NHL Teams
The Sabres have 171 forecheck chances in the second period since the start of the 2024-25 season — most among NHL Teams
The Sabres have 1.9 rush chances per game while tied this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 2.4
Stars Defensive Stats & Trends
The Stars have a .908 save percentage since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .900
The Stars have allowed 0.8 goals per game in the second period this season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.0
The Stars allowed 0.5 goals per game against the power play last season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.6
The Stars allowed opponents to score on 7% of cycle chances in the second period last season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10%
Sabres Defensive Stats & Trends
The Sabres allowed 1.3 goals per game in the second period last season — tied for 2nd highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.0
The Sabres have a .652 slot save percentage in overtime this season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .805
The Sabres have a .658 slot save percentage in overtime since the start of the 2024-25 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .791
The Sabres made 0.9 saves per game while their opponent is shorthanded last season — 3rd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.7
National Hockey League Betting at BetMGM
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