- The Stars are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Islanders
- Stars vs. Islanders Total (Over/Under): 5.5 goals
- TV Channel: VIC+ | MSGS
The Dallas Stars (43-17) visit UBS Arena to take on the New York Islanders (40-27) on Mar. 26 in Elmont, NY. The puck drop is scheduled for 7:00 pm.
The Stars are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+185).
The Stars vs. Islanders Over/Under is 5.5 total goals.
Stars vs. Islanders Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
Stars vs Islanders Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Stars will win this game with 58.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Stars vs Islanders Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Stars will cover the spread with 57.6% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Stars Best Bets & Trends
- The Dallas Stars have covered the 2P Puck Line in 13 of their last 20 games (+9.15 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Dallas Stars have hit the 2P Moneyline in 11 of their last 20 games (+8.40 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Dallas Stars have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 20 games (+8.15 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Dallas Stars have hit the 3P Game Total Over in 15 of their last 25 away games (+7.75 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Dallas Stars have hit the 1P Moneyline in 10 of their last 20 away games (+5.55 Units / 22% ROI)
Islanders Best Bets & Trends
- The New York Islanders have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 games at home (+7.40 Units / 32% ROI)
- The New York Islanders have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 12 of their last 25 games (+5.95 Units / 20% ROI)
- The New York Islanders have hit the 1P Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.60 Units / 55% ROI)
- The New York Islanders have covered the Puck Line in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+5.40 Units / 15% ROI)
- The New York Islanders have covered the 1P Puck Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+5.05 Units / 53% ROI)
Stars Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Stars are 28-43 against the spread this NHL season (-10.2 Units / -11.03% ROI).
- Stars are 43-28 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.85 Units /2.72% ROI
- Stars are 35-35 when betting the Over for -3.8 Units / -4.8% ROI
- Stars are 35-35 when betting the Under for -3.1 Units /-3.98% ROI
Islanders Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Islanders are 37-35 against the spread this NHL season (-9.05 Units /-7.4% ROI).
- Islanders are 40-32 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.95 Units / 10.69% ROI
- Islanders are 32-38 when betting the Over for -9.4 Units / -11.82% ROI
- Islanders are 38-32 when betting the Under for +3.45 Units / 4.32% ROI
Points Per Game Predictions for Islanders vs Stars
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Jamie Benn (DAL) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Calum Ritchie (NYI) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Bo Horvat (NYI) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +150 |
| Matthew Schaefer (NYI) | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +115 |
| Wyatt Johnston (DAL) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Islanders vs Stars
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Bo Horvat (NYI) | 3.5 +120 | 3.5 -160 |
| Matthew Schaefer (NYI) | 3.5 +130 | 3.5 -175 |
| Wyatt Johnston (DAL) | 2.5 -130 | 2.5 -105 |
| Michael Bunting (DAL) | 1.5 +100 | 1.5 -135 |
| Emil Heineman (NYI) | 1.5 -165 | 1.5 +125 |
Stars: Keys to the Game vs. Islanders
The Stars are 7-1 (.875) when recording 35 or more shots on goal this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .513
The Stars are 42-27 (.609) this season — 4th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Stars are 136-84 (.618) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Stars are 32-18 (.640) when allowing 35 or more shots on goal since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .470
Islanders: Keys to the Game vs. Stars
The Islanders are 39-31 (.557) this season — tied for 8th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Islanders were 34-46 (.425) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Islanders are 13-3 (.812) when allowing 35 or more shots on goal this season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .487
The Islanders are 19-8 (.704) when scoring a power play goal this season — 5th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .586
Stars Offensive Stats & Trends
The Stars have 7 forecheck chances while shorthanded since the start of the 2024-25 season — most among NHL Teams
The Stars have scored on 23% of second chance opportunities since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 16%
The Stars had 5 forecheck chances while shorthanded last season — most among NHL Teams
The Stars have scored on 21% of second chance opportunities since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 16%
Islanders Offensive Stats & Trends
The Islanders had 0.3 points per game while shorthanded last season — tied for 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.2
The Islanders recorded 32.0 shots per game last season — 6th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 30.3
The Islanders had 164 second chance scoring opportunities last season — 7th most among NHL Teams
The Islanders have 6.0 rush chances per game this season — tied for 8th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 6.4
Stars Defensive Stats & Trends
The Stars allowed opponents to score on 7% of cycle chances in the second period last season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10%
The Stars have allowed 10.2 high danger chances per game in 5v5 situations this season — 3rd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 12.0
The Stars had a .838 slot save percentage last season — 6th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .830
The Stars have a .908 save percentage since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .900
Islanders Defensive Stats & Trends
The Islanders have allowed opponents to score on 10% of second chance opportunities since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 16%
The Islanders have allowed opponents to score on 9% of second chance opportunities since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 16%
The Islanders have 115.0 goals saved above expected in 5v5 situations since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 42.1
The Islanders have 122.2 goals saved above expected since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 43.7
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