- The Stars are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Flyers
- Stars vs. Flyers Total (Over/Under): 6 goals
- TV Channel: VIC+ | NSPA
The Dallas Stars (44-18) visit Xfinity Mobile Arena to take on the Philadelphia Flyers (36-24) on Mar. 29 in Philadelphia, PA. The puck drop is scheduled for 7:00 pm.
The Stars are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The Stars vs. Flyers Over/Under is 6 total goals.
Stars vs. Flyers Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
Stars vs Flyers Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Stars will win this game with 74.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Stars vs Flyers Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Flyers will cover the spread with 53.7% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Stars Best Bets & Trends
- The Dallas Stars have hit the 2P Moneyline in 13 of their last 25 games (+9.30 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Dallas Stars have covered the 2P Puck Line in 13 of their last 20 games (+9.25 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Dallas Stars have hit the 1P Game Total Under in 11 of their last 15 away games (+7.25 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Dallas Stars have hit the 3P Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 away games (+7.00 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Dallas Stars have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 25 games (+6.85 Units / 18% ROI)
Flyers Best Bets & Trends
- The Philadelphia Flyers have covered the Puck Line in 13 of their last 15 games (+11.35 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Flyers have hit the 3P Game Total Under in 15 of their last 25 games at home (+10.80 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Flyers have covered the 3P Puck Line in 17 of their last 25 games at home (+9.35 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Flyers have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 15 games (+9.15 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Flyers have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.45 Units / 34% ROI)
Stars Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Stars are 29-44 against the spread this NHL season (-9.35 Units / -9.9% ROI).
- Stars are 44-29 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.65 Units /2.47% ROI
- Stars are 36-36 when betting the Over for -3.95 Units / -4.85% ROI
- Stars are 36-36 when betting the Under for -3.1 Units /-3.88% ROI
Flyers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Flyers are 47-25 against the spread this NHL season (+16.1 Units /13.26% ROI).
- Flyers are 36-36 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.1 Units / 6.41% ROI
- Flyers are 35-35 when betting the Over for -3.75 Units / -4.72% ROI
- Flyers are 35-35 when betting the Under for -4.1 Units / -5.17% ROI
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions for for Flyers vs Stars
| Player Name | Odds to Score a Goal |
|---|---|
| Jason Robertson (DAL) | +155 |
| Wyatt Johnston (DAL) | +190 |
| Travis Konecny (Phi) | +195 |
| Mikko Rantanen (DAL) | +200 |
| Matt Duchene (DAL) | +230 |
| Owen Tippett (Phi) | +270 |
Points Per Game Predictions for Flyers vs Stars
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Jamie Benn (DAL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Rasmus Ristolainen (PHI) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Justin Hryckowian (DAL) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Matvei Michkov (PHI) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
| Wyatt Johnston (DAL) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Flyers vs Stars
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Rasmus Ristolainen (PHI) | 1.5 +100 | 1.5 -135 |
| Matvei Michkov (PHI) | 1.5 -175 | 1.5 +125 |
| Wyatt Johnston (DAL) | 2.5 -115 | 2.5 -120 |
| Michael Bunting (DAL) | 1.5 +100 | 1.5 -135 |
| Christian Dvorak (PHI) | 1.5 -135 | 1.5 +100 |
Stars: Keys to the Game vs. Flyers
The Stars were 48-31 (.608) last season — tied for 4th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Stars are 7-1 (.875) when recording 35 or more shots on goal this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .519
The Stars are 43-28 (.606) this season — 4th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Stars are 136-84 (.618) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
Flyers: Keys to the Game vs. Stars
The Flyers were 33-46 (.418) last season — 6th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Flyers are 98-122 (.445) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Flyers are 68-81 (.456) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 8th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Flyers are 7-4 (.636) when recording 35 or more shots on goal this season — 7th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .519
Stars Offensive Stats & Trends
The Stars have 7 forecheck chances while shorthanded since the start of the 2024-25 season — most among NHL Teams
The Stars have 10 forecheck chances while shorthanded since the start of the 2023-24 season — most among NHL Teams
The Stars had 5 forecheck chances while shorthanded last season — most among NHL Teams
The Stars have averaged 0.2 high danger chances per game while shorthanded this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.4
Flyers Offensive Stats & Trends
The Flyers have 8 forecheck chances in overtime since the start of the 2023-24 season — most among NHL Teams
The Flyers have secondary assisted on 14 goals while shorthanded since the start of the 2023-24 season — most among NHL Teams
The Flyers have scored on 5% of second chance opportunities while tied this season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 16%
The Flyers have drawn 7 penalties in overtime since the start of the 2024-25 season — most among NHL Teams
Stars Defensive Stats & Trends
The Stars have a .908 save percentage since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .900
The Stars have allowed 14.8 high danger chances per game this season — tied for 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17.2
The Stars have allowed 2.7 goals per game this season — tied for 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 3.1
The Stars allowed opponents to score on 7% of cycle chances in the second period last season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10%
Flyers Defensive Stats & Trends
The Flyers allowed 7 forecheck chances in 4v4 situations last season — most among NHL Teams
The Flyers have a .806 slot save percentage since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .829
The Flyers had a .794 slot save percentage last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .830
The Flyers have allowed 6 forecheck chances in 4v4 situations this season — most among NHL Teams
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