Stars vs Bruins Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NHL, Mar 31

Fans celebrate after the goal by Boston Bruins' David Pastrnak during the first period in Game 4 of an NHL hockey Stanley Cup second-round playoff series against the Florida Panthers, Sunday, May 12, 2024, in Boston.
(AP Photo/Michael Dwyer)
NHL OddsLive Betting
  • The Stars are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Bruins
  • Stars vs. Bruins Total (Over/Under): 6 goals
  • TV Channel: NESN | VIC+ | R360 | KDFW

The Dallas Stars (44-18) visit TD Garden to take on the Boston Bruins (42-24) on Mar. 31 in Boston, MA. The puck drop is scheduled for 7:00 pm.

The Stars are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+185).

The Stars vs. Bruins Over/Under is 6 total goals.

Stars vs. Bruins Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

Stars vs Bruins Prediction:

The winning team model predicts the Stars will win this game with 60.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.

Stars vs Bruins Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Stars will cover the spread with 56.2% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook


  • The Dallas Stars have hit the 2P Moneyline in 13 of their last 25 games (+10.40 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Dallas Stars have covered the 2P Puck Line in 15 of their last 25 games (+9.05 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Dallas Stars have hit the 1P Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 away games (+8.15 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The Dallas Stars have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 25 games (+6.15 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Dallas Stars have hit the 3P Game Total Over in 14 of their last 25 away games (+5.60 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Boston Bruins have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 25 games at home (+11.30 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Boston Bruins have covered the 1P Puck Line in 16 of their last 25 games at home (+10.85 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Boston Bruins have covered the Puck Line in 15 of their last 25 games at home (+10.30 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Boston Bruins have hit the 1P Moneyline in 13 of their last 25 games at home (+9.50 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Boston Bruins have hit the 3P Game Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games (+7.65 Units / 42% ROI)

Stars Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Stars are 29-45 against the spread this NHL season (-10.35 Units / -10.84% ROI).

  • Stars are 44-30 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.95 Units /0.87% ROI
  • Stars are 36-37 when betting the Over for -5.25 Units / -6.34% ROI
  • Stars are 37-36 when betting the Under for -2 Units /-2.47% ROI

Bruins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Bruins are 48-26 against the spread this NHL season (+21.55 Units /18.43% ROI).

  • Bruins are 42-32 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.55 Units / 17.43% ROI
  • Bruins are 41-32 when betting the Over for +5.8 Units / 7.07% ROI
  • Bruins are 32-41 when betting the Under for -12.8 Units / -15.79% ROI

Points Per Game Predictions for Bruins vs Stars

Player Name Over Under
Jamie Benn (DAL) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Elias Lindholm (BOS) 0.5 +115 0.5 -155
Pavel Zacha (BOS) 0.5 -140 0.5 +105
Charlie McAvoy (BOS) 0.5 -155 0.5 +115
Fraser Minten (BOS) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190

Shots on Goal Predictions for Bruins vs Stars

Player Name Over Under
Jamie Benn (DAL) 1.5 +125 1.5 -165
Elias Lindholm (BOS) 1.5 -145 1.5 +105
Pavel Zacha (BOS) 1.5 -140 1.5 +105
Charlie McAvoy (BOS) 1.5 -150 1.5 +110
Fraser Minten (BOS) 1.5 -115 1.5 -120

Stars: Keys to the Game vs. Bruins

The Stars are 136-84 (.618) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500

The Stars are 7-1 (.875) when recording 35 or more shots on goal this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .520

The Stars were 48-31 (.608) last season — tied for 4th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500

The Stars are 43-29 (.597) this season — tied for 4th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500

Bruins: Keys to the Game vs. Stars

The Bruins were 32-48 (.400) last season — 4th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500

The Bruins are 40-32 (.556) this season — tied for 9th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500

The Bruins were 1-32 (.030) when allowing 4 or more non-shootout goals last season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .135

The Bruins are winless (0-25) when allowing 4 or more non-shootout goals this season — tied for lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .132

The Stars had 5 forecheck chances while shorthanded last season — most among NHL Teams

The Stars have 10 forecheck chances while shorthanded since the start of the 2023-24 season — most among NHL Teams

The Stars have scored on 22% of second chance opportunities since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 16%

The Stars have scored 63 power play goals this season — most among NHL Teams

The Bruins have scored on 21% of second chance opportunities since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 16%

The Bruins have scored on 30% of second chance opportunities in the second period this season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 16%

The Bruins have 6.0 rush chances per game this season — tied for 7th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 6.4

The Bruins have scored on 21% of rush chances on the power play this season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 9%

The Stars have allowed 14.8 high danger chances per game this season — tied for 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17.3

The Stars have allowed 0.8 goals per game in the second period this season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.0

The Stars have a .908 save percentage since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .900

The Stars had a .914 save percentage last season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .901

The Bruins have allowed 0.6 high danger chances per game while their opponent is shorthanded since the start of the 2024-25 season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.4

The Bruins have made 1.0 saves per game while their opponent is shorthanded since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.7

The Bruins allowed opponents to score on 21% of rush chances in the third period last season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 13%

The Bruins had a .799 slot save percentage last season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .830


National Hockey League Betting at BetMGM

At the BetMGM online sportsbook, NHL betting is available throughout the year.

Hockey betting lines are posted for the latest Maple Leafs Stanley Cup odds, Oilers playoffs odds, live betting, and more. 

BetMGM also has the odds for the betting favourites to win the Stanley Cup this year.

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