- The Senators are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Sharks
- Sharks vs. Senators Total (Over/Under): 6.5 goals
- TV Channel: NSCA | TVA | TSN5
The San Jose Sharks (31-26) visit Canadian Tire Centre to take on the Ottawa Senators (32-23) on Mar. 15 in Ottawa, ON. The puck drop is scheduled for 5:00 pm.
The Senators are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+115).
The Sharks vs. Senators Over/Under is 6.5 total goals.
Sharks vs. Senators Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread (Puck line) | Total (O/U) | 2-Way Moneyline | |
| Sharks | +1.5 -140 | 6.5 -105 | +170 |
| Senators | -1.5 +115 | 6.5 -115 | -210 |
Sharks vs Senators Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Senators will win this game with 82.9% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Sharks vs Senators Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Sharks will cover the spread with 50.9% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Sharks Best Bets & Trends
- The San Jose Sharks have covered the 1P Puck Line in 18 of their last 25 away games (+9.05 Units / 23% ROI)
- The San Jose Sharks have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 20 away games (+7.90 Units / 39% ROI)
- The San Jose Sharks have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games (+7.00 Units / 32% ROI)
- The San Jose Sharks have covered the 3P Puck Line in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.00 Units / 50% ROI)
- The San Jose Sharks have hit the 1P Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+4.85 Units / 42% ROI)
Senators Best Bets & Trends
- The Ottawa Senators have covered the 2P Puck Line in 14 of their last 20 games (+10.25 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Ottawa Senators have covered the Puck Line in 13 of their last 20 games (+9.90 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Ottawa Senators have hit the 2P Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games (+7.00 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Ottawa Senators have hit the 3P Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.05 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Ottawa Senators have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.05 Units / 25% ROI)
Sharks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Sharks are 41-23 against the spread this NHL season (+12.15 Units / 12.47% ROI).
- Sharks are 32-32 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.6 Units /22.21% ROI
- Sharks are 30-32 when betting the Over for -5.85 Units / -8.01% ROI
- Sharks are 32-30 when betting the Under for +0.7 Units /1.02% ROI
Senators Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Senators are 30-35 against the spread this NHL season (+0.5 Units /0.58% ROI).
- Senators are 33-32 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.1 Units / -6.89% ROI
- Senators are 35-29 when betting the Over for +2.35 Units / 3.21% ROI
- Senators are 29-35 when betting the Under for -8.6 Units / -12.22% ROI
Points Per Game Predictions for Senators vs Sharks
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Collin Graf (SJ) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Thomas Chabot (OTT) | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +110 |
| Shane Pinto (OTT) | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -125 |
| Tim Stutzle (OTT) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Will Smith (SJ) | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +110 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Senators vs Sharks
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Collin Graf (SJ) | 1.5 -110 | 1.5 -125 |
| Warren Foegele (OTT) | 1.5 -120 | 1.5 -110 |
| Thomas Chabot (OTT) | 2.5 +110 | 2.5 -155 |
| Shane Pinto (OTT) | 1.5 -200 | 1.5 +145 |
| Tim Stutzle (OTT) | 2.5 +110 | 2.5 -150 |
Sharks: Keys to the Game vs. Senators
The Sharks are 67-153 (.305) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Sharks were 19-61 (.238) last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Sharks were 9-50 (.153) when allowing 14 or more high danger chances last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .432
The Sharks are 41-128 (.243) when allowing 5 or more rush chances since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .458
Senators: Keys to the Game vs. Sharks
The Senators are 9-16 (.360) when recording less than 30 shots on goal this season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .499
The Senators are 11-8 (.579) when recording 35 or more shots on goal this season — 10th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .514
The Senators are 11-22 (.333) when allowing 14 or more high danger chances this season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .468
The Senators are 26-16 (.619) when outshooting their opponents this season — 6th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .515
Sharks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Sharks are 67-153 (.305) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Sharks were 19-61 (.238) last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Sharks scored on 8% of rush chances last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 11%
The Sharks were 9-50 (.153) when allowing 14 or more high danger chances last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .432
Senators Offensive Stats & Trends
The Senators have 21 cycle chances in 4v4 situations this season — most among NHL Teams
The Senators have 0.5 rush chances per game on the power play since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.3
The Senators have 5 second chance scoring opportunities while shorthanded this season — tied for most among NHL Teams
The Senators have drawn 86 penalties in the first period this season — most among NHL Teams
Sharks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Sharks allowed 0.8 goals per game against the power play last season — tied for highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.6
The Sharks allowed 1.2 goals per game in the first period last season — tied for highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.9
The Sharks allowed 66 goals against the power play last season — most among NHL Teams
The Sharks allowed 1,018 cycle chances last season — most among NHL Teams
Senators Defensive Stats & Trends
The Senators have allowed opponents to score on 26% of second chance opportunities this season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 16%
The Senators have a .793 slot save percentage this season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .829
The Senators have a .821 slot save percentage in 5v5 situations since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .840
The Senators have allowed opponents to score on 23% of second chance opportunities since the start of the 2024-25 season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 16%
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