- The Sabres are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Sharks
- Sharks vs. Sabres Total (Over/Under): 6.5 goals
- TV Channel: MSGB | NSCA
The San Jose Sharks (30-25) visit KeyBank Center to take on the Buffalo Sabres (39-19) on Mar. 10 in Buffalo, NY. The puck drop is scheduled for 7:00 pm.
The Sabres are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Sharks vs. Sabres Over/Under is 6.5 total goals.
Sharks vs. Sabres Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread (Puck line) | Total (O/U) | 2-Way Moneyline | |
| Sharks | +1.5 -135 | 6.5 +100 | +170 |
| Sabres | -1.5 +110 | 6.5 -120 | -210 |
Sharks vs Sabres Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Sabres will win this game with 82.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Sharks vs Sabres Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Sharks will cover the spread with 62.5% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Sharks Best Bets & Trends
- The San Jose Sharks have covered the 1P Puck Line in 19 of their last 25 away games (+11.65 Units / 30% ROI)
- The San Jose Sharks have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 25 away games (+5.90 Units / 23% ROI)
- The San Jose Sharks have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.85 Units / 35% ROI)
- The San Jose Sharks have covered the 3P Puck Line in their last 5 games (+5.30 Units / 69% ROI)
- The San Jose Sharks have covered the 2P Puck Line in 9 of their last 13 away games (+5.00 Units / 28% ROI)
Sabres Best Bets & Trends
- The Buffalo Sabres have covered the Puck Line in 18 of their last 25 games (+16.50 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Buffalo Sabres have covered the 1P Puck Line in 18 of their last 25 games (+14.20 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Buffalo Sabres have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 25 games (+11.25 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Buffalo Sabres have covered the 2P Puck Line in 16 of their last 25 games at home (+11.05 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Buffalo Sabres have hit the 2P Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games at home (+8.80 Units / 33% ROI)
Sharks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Sharks are 39-22 against the spread this NHL season (+11.6 Units / 12.55% ROI).
- Sharks are 30-31 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.9 Units /20.56% ROI
- Sharks are 29-30 when betting the Over for -4.4 Units / -6.35% ROI
- Sharks are 30-29 when betting the Under for -0.45 Units /-0.68% ROI
Sabres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Sabres are 38-26 against the spread this NHL season (+14.1 Units /14.46% ROI).
- Sabres are 39-25 when betting on the Moneyline for +16.2 Units / 21.77% ROI
- Sabres are 30-31 when betting the Over for -3.85 Units / -5.44% ROI
- Sabres are 31-30 when betting the Under for -2.05 Units / -2.9% ROI
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions for for Sabres vs Sharks
| Player Name | Odds to Score a Goal |
|---|---|
| Tage Thompson (Buf) | +105 |
| Alex Tuch (BUF) | +140 |
| Macklin Celebrini (SJ) | +125 |
| Will Smith (SJ) | +230 |
| Jason Zucker (BUF) | +240 |
| Josh Doan (BUF) | +240 |
Points Per Game Predictions for Sabres vs Sharks
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Owen Power (BUF) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -210 |
| Collin Graf (SJ) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Ryan McLeod (BUF) | 0.5 -125 | 0.5 -105 |
| Jason Zucker (BUF) | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 -105 |
| Josh Doan (BUF) | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -118 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Sabres vs Sharks
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Owen Power (BUF) | 1.5 -120 | 1.5 -115 |
| Collin Graf (SJ) | 1.5 -120 | 1.5 -115 |
| Ryan McLeod (BUF) | 1.5 +110 | 1.5 -150 |
| Jason Zucker (BUF) | 2.5 +130 | 2.5 -175 |
| Josh Doan (BUF) | 2.5 +120 | 2.5 -160 |
Sharks: Keys to the Game vs. Sabres
The Sharks are 67-153 (.305) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Sharks were 19-61 (.238) last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Sharks are 41-128 (.243) when allowing 5 or more rush chances since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .458
The Sharks were 8-10 (.444) when winning the xG advantage last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .694
Sabres: Keys to the Game vs. Sharks
The Sabres were 34-45 (.430) last season — 9th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Sabres are 34-13 (.723) when creating 14 or more high danger chances this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .533
The Sabres are 27-2 (.931) when scoring 4 or more non-shootout goals this season — 7th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .866
The Sabres are 27-8 (.771) when having 3 or more xG. this season — 3rd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .600
Sharks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Sharks are 67-153 (.305) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Sharks were 19-61 (.238) last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Sharks averaged 2.65 expected goals per game last season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 3.14
The Sharks are 41-128 (.243) when allowing 5 or more rush chances since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .458
Sabres Offensive Stats & Trends
The Sabres have drawn 18 penalties in 4v4 situations this season — most among NHL Teams
The Sabres had 5 forecheck chances in 4v4 situations last season — tied for most among NHL Teams
The Sabres had 86 forecheck chances in the second period last season — most among NHL Teams
The Sabres had 0.3 points per game while shorthanded last season — tied for 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.2
Sharks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Sharks allowed 1.3 goals per game while tied last season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.0
The Sharks allowed 0.8 goals per game against the power play last season — tied for highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.6
The Sharks allowed 44 second chance scoring opportunities against the power play last season — most among NHL Teams
The Sharks allowed 1,018 cycle chances last season — most among NHL Teams
Sabres Defensive Stats & Trends
The Sabres have allowed 16 second chance scoring opportunities this month — tied for most among NHL Teams
The Sabres allowed 1.3 goals per game in the second period last season — tied for 2nd highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.0
The Sabres had a .887 save percentage last season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .901
The Sabres have a .704 save percentage in overtime since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .815
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