Sharks vs Canadiens Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NHL, Mar 14

Montreal Canadiens fans celebrate after a goal by right wing Cole Caufield during the first period of an NHL hockey game against the Seattle Kraken, Tuesday, Oct. 28, 2025, in Seattle.
(AP Photo/Maddy Grassy)
NHL OddsLive Betting
  • The Canadiens are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Sharks
  • Sharks vs. Canadiens Total (Over/Under): 6.5 goals
  • TV Channel: NSCA | CITY | TVA | RSNE

The San Jose Sharks (31-26) visit Bell Centre to take on the Montreal Canadiens (36-18) on Mar. 14 in Montreal, QC. The puck drop is scheduled for 7:00 pm.

The Canadiens are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+135).

The Sharks vs. Canadiens Over/Under is 6.5 total goals.

Sharks vs. Canadiens Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

Spread (Puck line)Total (O/U)2-Way Moneyline
Sharks+1.5 -1606.5 +105+140
Canadiens-1.5 +1356.5 -130-170

Sharks vs Canadiens Prediction:

The winning team model predicts the Canadiens will win this game with 74.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.

Sharks vs Canadiens Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Sharks will cover the spread with 52.3% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook


  • The San Jose Sharks have covered the 1P Puck Line in 18 of their last 25 away games (+9.05 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The San Jose Sharks have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 25 away games (+5.60 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The San Jose Sharks have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 20 away games (+5.55 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The San Jose Sharks have covered the 3P Puck Line in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.00 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The San Jose Sharks have hit the 1P Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.85 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Montreal Canadiens have covered the Puck Line in 17 of their last 25 games (+11.05 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Montreal Canadiens have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 15 of their last 25 games at home (+10.65 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Montreal Canadiens have hit the 3P Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+8.35 Units / 63% ROI)
  • The Montreal Canadiens have covered the 3P Puck Line in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.80 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Montreal Canadiens have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+6.10 Units / 34% ROI)

Sharks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Sharks are 40-23 against the spread this NHL season (+11.15 Units / 11.65% ROI).

  • Sharks are 31-32 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.25 Units /20.46% ROI
  • Sharks are 30-31 when betting the Over for -4.5 Units / -6.28% ROI
  • Sharks are 31-30 when betting the Under for -0.45 Units /-0.66% ROI

Canadiens Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Canadiens are 38-26 against the spread this NHL season (+11.45 Units /11.12% ROI).

  • Canadiens are 36-28 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.55 Units / 8.6% ROI
  • Canadiens are 39-23 when betting the Over for +13.25 Units / 18.58% ROI
  • Canadiens are 23-39 when betting the Under for -20 Units / -28.45% ROI

Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions for for Canadiens vs Sharks

Player Name Odds to Score a Goal
Cole Caufield (MTL) +135
Macklin Celebrini (SJ) +130
Nick Suzuki (MTL) +160
Juraj Slafkovsky (MTL) +180
Will Smith (SJ) +220
Tyler Toffoli (SJ) +290

Points Per Game Predictions for Canadiens vs Sharks

Player Name Over Under
Collin Graf (SJ) 0.5 +125 0.5 -165
Will Smith (SJ) 0.5 -165 0.5 +125
Juraj Slafkovsky (MTL) 0.5 -235 0.5 +170
Tyler Toffoli (SJ) 0.5 +100 0.5 -135
Mike Matheson (MTL) 0.5 +130 0.5 -175

Shots on Goal Predictions for Canadiens vs Sharks

Player Name Over Under
Collin Graf (SJ) 1.5 -135 1.5 +100
Oliver Kapanen (MTL) 1.5 -110 1.5 -125
Will Smith (SJ) 2.5 +115 2.5 -160
Juraj Slafkovsky (MTL) 2.5 -115 2.5 -115
Tyler Toffoli (SJ) 2.5 +120 2.5 -160

Sharks: Keys to the Game vs. Canadiens

The Sharks are 67-153 (.305) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500

The Sharks were 19-61 (.238) last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500

The Sharks are 41-128 (.243) when allowing 5 or more rush chances since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .458

The Sharks were 9-50 (.153) when allowing 14 or more high danger chances last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .432

Canadiens: Keys to the Game vs. Sharks

The Canadiens are 102-119 (.462) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 8th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500

The Canadiens are 36-28 (.562) this season — 7th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500

The Canadiens are 6-85 (.066) when allowing 4 or more non-shootout goals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .130

The Canadiens are 23-10 (.697) when having 3 or more xG. this season — 5th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .598

The Sharks are 67-153 (.305) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500

The Sharks were 19-61 (.238) last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500

The Sharks are 41-128 (.243) when allowing 5 or more rush chances since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .458

The Sharks averaged 0.85 expected goals per game in the third period last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.09

The Canadiens scored on 29% of second chance opportunities in the third period last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%

The Canadiens have 3.7 points per game while tied this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 2.8

The Canadiens have 65 cycle chances in overtime since the start of the 2023-24 season — most among NHL Teams

The Canadiens scored on 12% of rush chances last season — 6th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 11%

The Sharks allowed 0.8 goals per game against the power play last season — tied for highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.6

The Sharks allowed 1.3 goals per game while tied last season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.0

The Sharks allowed 44 second chance scoring opportunities against the power play last season — most among NHL Teams

The Sharks allowed 1,018 cycle chances last season — most among NHL Teams

The Canadiens have allowed 0.2 high danger chances per game while their opponent is shorthanded this season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.4

The Canadiens have allowed 5 second chance scoring opportunities in 4v4 situations this season — tied for most among NHL Teams

The Canadiens allowed opponents to score on 31% of rush chances in overtime last season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 13%

The Canadiens have allowed 0.0 goals per game while their opponent is shorthanded this season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.1


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