- The Bruins are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Sharks
- Sharks vs. Bruins Total (Over/Under): 6.5 goals
- TV Channel: NESN | NSCA | RSN
The San Jose Sharks (30-26) visit TD Garden to take on the Boston Bruins (36-22) on Mar. 12 in Boston, MA. The puck drop is scheduled for 7:00 pm.
The Bruins are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Sharks vs. Bruins Over/Under is 6.5 total goals.
Sharks vs. Bruins Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread (Puck line) | Total (O/U) | 2-Way Moneyline | |
| Sharks | +1.5 -175 | 6.5 -105 | +135 |
| Bruins | -1.5 +145 | 6.5 -115 | -160 |
Sharks vs Bruins Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Bruins will win this game with 71.8% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Sharks vs Bruins Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Sharks will cover the spread with 53.8% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Sharks Best Bets & Trends
- The San Jose Sharks have covered the 1P Puck Line in 18 of their last 25 away games (+9.05 Units / 23% ROI)
- The San Jose Sharks have covered the Puck Line in 15 of their last 25 games (+4.40 Units / 12% ROI)
- The San Jose Sharks have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 25 games (+4.20 Units / 16% ROI)
- The San Jose Sharks have covered the 3P Puck Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- The San Jose Sharks have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 15 games (+3.85 Units / 23% ROI)
Bruins Best Bets & Trends
- The Boston Bruins have hit the Moneyline in their last 13 games at home (+13.35 Units / 80% ROI)
- The Boston Bruins have covered the Puck Line in 9 of their last 13 games at home (+10.50 Units / 68% ROI)
- The Boston Bruins have hit the 1P Moneyline in 14 of their last 25 games (+9.15 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Boston Bruins have covered the 1P Puck Line in 9 of their last 14 games at home (+8.00 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Boston Bruins have hit the 2P Moneyline in 12 of their last 25 games at home (+7.25 Units / 24% ROI)
Sharks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Sharks are 39-23 against the spread this NHL season (+10.15 Units / 10.81% ROI).
- Sharks are 30-32 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.9 Units /18.67% ROI
- Sharks are 30-30 when betting the Over for -3.4 Units / -4.82% ROI
- Sharks are 30-30 when betting the Under for -1.45 Units /-2.17% ROI
Bruins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Bruins are 40-24 against the spread this NHL season (+14.75 Units /14.81% ROI).
- Bruins are 36-28 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.9 Units / 18.05% ROI
- Bruins are 35-28 when betting the Over for +4.15 Units / 5.87% ROI
- Bruins are 28-35 when betting the Under for -10.5 Units / -14.94% ROI
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions for for Bruins vs Sharks
| Player Name | Odds to Score a Goal |
|---|---|
| David Pastrnak (Bos) | +115 |
| Macklin Celebrini (SJ) | +130 |
| Morgan Geekie (Bos) | +165 |
| Pavel Zacha (Bos) | +200 |
| Will Smith (SJ) | +210 |
| Viktor Arvidsson (BOS) | +225 |
Points Per Game Predictions for Bruins vs Sharks
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Charlie McAvoy (BOS) | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
| Viktor Arvidsson (BOS) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -145 |
| Fraser Minten (BOS) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Collin Graf (SJ) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Casey Mittelstadt (BOS) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Bruins vs Sharks
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Charlie McAvoy (BOS) | 1.5 -155 | 1.5 +110 |
| Viktor Arvidsson (BOS) | 2.5 -115 | 2.5 -118 |
| Collin Graf (SJ) | 1.5 -130 | 1.5 -105 |
| Will Smith (SJ) | 2.5 +100 | 2.5 -135 |
| Tyler Toffoli (SJ) | 2.5 +105 | 2.5 -145 |
Sharks: Keys to the Game vs. Bruins
The Sharks were 19-61 (.238) last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Sharks are 67-153 (.305) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Sharks were 9-50 (.153) when allowing 14 or more high danger chances last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .432
The Sharks are 41-128 (.243) when allowing 5 or more rush chances since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .458
Bruins: Keys to the Game vs. Sharks
The Bruins were 32-48 (.400) last season — 4th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Bruins are 36-28 (.562) this season — tied for 8th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Bruins were 14-34 (.292) when allowing 14 or more high danger chances last season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .432
The Bruins are 1-54 (.018) when allowing 4 or more non-shootout goals since the start of the 2024-25 season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .134
Sharks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Sharks were 19-61 (.238) last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Sharks are 67-153 (.305) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Sharks have scored 4 power play goals in overtime since the start of the 2024-25 season — 2nd most among NHL Teams
The Sharks were 9-50 (.153) when allowing 14 or more high danger chances last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .432
Bruins Offensive Stats & Trends
The Bruins have scored on 36% of second chance opportunities in the second period this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 16%
The Bruins have scored on 27% of second chance opportunities in the second period since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 16%
The Bruins had 5.5 rush chances per game last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 6.4
The Bruins have averaged 2.94 expected goals per game this season — 8th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 3.09
Sharks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Sharks allowed 1.2 goals per game in the first period last season — tied for highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.9
The Sharks allowed 333 cycle chances against the power play last season — most among NHL Teams
The Sharks have allowed 3.7 goals per game since the start of the 2024-25 season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 3.0
The Sharks have a .890 save percentage since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .900
Bruins Defensive Stats & Trends
The Bruins had a .799 slot save percentage last season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .830
The Bruins allowed 7 second chance scoring opportunities while their opponent is shorthanded last season — most among NHL Teams
The Bruins have made 1.0 saves per game while their opponent is shorthanded since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.7
The Bruins have allowed 0.5 high danger chances per game while their opponent is shorthanded since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.4
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