- The Red Wings are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Senators
- Senators vs. Red Wings Total (Over/Under): 6 goals
- TV Channel: FDDT | TSN5 | RDS2
The Ottawa Senators (37-24) visit Little Caesars Arena to take on the Detroit Red Wings (38-24) on Mar. 24 in Detroit, MI. The puck drop is scheduled for 7:00 pm.
The Red Wings are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+185).
The Senators vs. Red Wings Over/Under is 6 total goals.
Senators vs. Red Wings Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread (Puck line) | Total (O/U) | 2-Way Moneyline | |
| Senators | +1.5 -225 | 6 -118 | +105 |
| Red Wings | -1.5 +185 | 6 -102 | -125 |
Senators vs Red Wings Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Red Wings will win this game with 60.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Senators vs Red Wings Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Senators will cover the spread with 56.6% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Senators Best Bets & Trends
- The Ottawa Senators have covered the 2P Puck Line in 17 of their last 25 games (+11.65 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Ottawa Senators have covered the Puck Line in 15 of their last 25 away games (+9.20 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Ottawa Senators have hit the 2P Moneyline in 15 of their last 25 games (+8.70 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Ottawa Senators have covered the 1P Puck Line in 15 of their last 25 away games (+8.20 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Ottawa Senators have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 games (+6.70 Units / 22% ROI)
Red Wings Best Bets & Trends
- The Detroit Red Wings have hit the 2P Game Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games (+8.60 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Detroit Red Wings have hit the 1P Game Total Under in their last 8 games (+8.10 Units / 96% ROI)
- The Detroit Red Wings have hit the 2P Moneyline in 12 of their last 25 games (+6.50 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Detroit Red Wings have covered the 2P Puck Line in 16 of their last 25 games (+5.40 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Detroit Red Wings have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 25 games (+4.50 Units / 16% ROI)
Senators Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Senators are 32-38 against the spread this NHL season (-0.3 Units / -0.33% ROI).
- Senators are 37-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.45 Units /-3.52% ROI
- Senators are 37-32 when betting the Over for +1.15 Units / 1.46% ROI
- Senators are 32-37 when betting the Under for -7.7 Units /-10.15% ROI
Red Wings Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Red Wings are 36-34 against the spread this NHL season (+0.6 Units /0.57% ROI).
- Red Wings are 38-32 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.25 Units / 5.08% ROI
- Red Wings are 31-33 when betting the Over for -4.85 Units / -6.23% ROI
- Red Wings are 33-31 when betting the Under for -0.25 Units / -0.33% ROI
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions for for Red Wings vs Senators
| Player Name | Odds to Score a Goal |
|---|---|
| Alex Debrincat (DET) | +160 |
| Brady Tkachuk (Ott) | +180 |
| Dylan Larkin (DET) | +180 |
| Tim Stutzle (Ott) | +220 |
| Lucas Raymond (DET) | +230 |
| Drake Batherson (Ott) | +230 |
Points Per Game Predictions for Red Wings vs Senators
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Patrick Kane (DET) | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
| Moritz Seider (DET) | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -110 |
| Dylan Larkin (DET) | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
| Shane Pinto (OTT) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Justin Faulk (DET) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Red Wings vs Senators
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Patrick Kane (DET) | 2.5 +110 | 2.5 -150 |
| Moritz Seider (DET) | 1.5 -185 | 1.5 +135 |
| Marco Kasper (DET) | 1.5 +100 | 1.5 -140 |
| Dylan Larkin (DET) | 2.5 -155 | 2.5 +115 |
| Shane Pinto (OTT) | 1.5 -190 | 1.5 +140 |
Senators: Keys to the Game vs. Red Wings
The Senators are 12-23 (.343) when allowing 14 or more high danger chances this season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .468
The Senators are 10-16 (.385) when recording less than 30 shots on goal this season — tied for 3rd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Senators are 2-20 (.091) when trailing after the second period this season — 9th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .147
The Senators were 22-5 (.815) when leading after the first period last season — 7th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .715
Red Wings: Keys to the Game vs. Senators
The Red Wings are 38-30 (.559) this season — 9th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Red Wings are 2-24 (.077) when allowing 4 or more non-shootout goals this season — 7th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .132
The Red Wings were 14-27 (.341) when allowing 14 or more high danger chances last season — 4th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .432
The Red Wings were 14-10 (.583) when allowing 35 or more shots on goal last season — 9th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .444
Senators Offensive Stats & Trends
The Senators have 21 cycle chances in 4v4 situations this season — most among NHL Teams
The Senators have drawn 92 penalties in the first period this season — most among NHL Teams
The Senators had 0.3 points per game while shorthanded last season — tied for 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.2
The Senators have 25 slot shots in 4v4 situations this season — most among NHL Teams
Red Wings Offensive Stats & Trends
The Red Wings scored on 2% of second chance opportunities in the second period last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 16%
The Red Wings scored on 11% of second chance opportunities last season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
The Red Wings scored on 8% of second chance opportunities while tied last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
The Red Wings scored on 10% of second chance opportunities in 5v5 situations last season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
Senators Defensive Stats & Trends
The Senators have allowed opponents to score on 26% of second chance opportunities this season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 15%
The Senators have a .794 slot save percentage this season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .830
The Senators have allowed opponents to score on 24% of second chance opportunities since the start of the 2024-25 season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 16%
The Senators have a .834 save percentage against the power play since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .860
Red Wings Defensive Stats & Trends
The Red Wings had a .720 slot save percentage while their opponent is shorthanded last season — 3rd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .832
The Red Wings have allowed opponents to score on 5% of rush chances in the second period this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10%
The Red Wings had a .819 slot save percentage last season — 5th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .830
The Red Wings allowed 213 forecheck chances last season — 6th most among NHL Teams
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