- The Senators are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Rangers
- Senators vs. Rangers Total (Over/Under): 6 goals
- TV Channel: MSG | Amazon | RDS | NHL
The Ottawa Senators (36-24) visit Madison Square Garden to take on the New York Rangers (28-33) on Mar. 23 in New York, NY. The puck drop is scheduled for 7:30 pm.
The Senators are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Senators vs. Rangers Over/Under is 6 total goals.
Senators vs. Rangers Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread (Puck line) | Total (O/U) | 2-Way Moneyline | |
| Senators | -1.5 +125 | 6 -110 | -190 |
| Rangers | +1.5 -150 | 6 -110 | +155 |
Senators vs Rangers Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Senators will win this game with 90.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Senators vs Rangers Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Rangers will cover the spread with 58.3% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Senators Best Bets & Trends
- The Ottawa Senators have covered the Puck Line in 16 of their last 25 away games (+11.20 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Ottawa Senators have covered the 2P Puck Line in 14 of their last 20 games (+10.30 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Ottawa Senators have covered the 1P Puck Line in 15 of their last 25 away games (+7.85 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Ottawa Senators have hit the 2P Moneyline in 14 of their last 25 games (+7.70 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Ottawa Senators have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 25 games (+5.30 Units / 14% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets & Trends
- The New York Rangers have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 13 of their last 25 games (+11.25 Units / 40% ROI)
- The New York Rangers have hit the 1P Game Total Under in 17 of their last 25 games at home (+8.90 Units / 34% ROI)
- The New York Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 25 games at home (+7.60 Units / 28% ROI)
- The New York Rangers have hit the 3P Game Total Under in 12 of their last 20 games (+4.60 Units / 21% ROI)
- The New York Rangers have covered the 3P Puck Line in 8 of their last 12 games at home (+3.70 Units / 20% ROI)
Senators Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Senators are 32-37 against the spread this NHL season (+0.7 Units / 0.78% ROI).
- Senators are 36-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.45 Units /-4.63% ROI
- Senators are 37-31 when betting the Over for +2.2 Units / 2.83% ROI
- Senators are 31-37 when betting the Under for -8.7 Units /-11.65% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Rangers are 35-35 against the spread this NHL season (-10.35 Units /-8.87% ROI).
- Rangers are 28-42 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.65 Units / -22.55% ROI
- Rangers are 31-36 when betting the Over for -8.55 Units / -10.94% ROI
- Rangers are 36-31 when betting the Under for +2.85 Units / 3.72% ROI
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions for for Rangers vs Senators
| Player Name | Odds to Score a Goal |
|---|---|
| Brady Tkachuk (Ott) | +150 |
| Tim Stuetzle (OTT) | +185 |
| Mika Zibanejad (NYR) | +200 |
| Drake Batherson (Ott) | +210 |
| Dylan Cozens (OTT) | +240 |
| Alexis Lafreniere (NYR) | +240 |
Points Per Game Predictions for Rangers vs Senators
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Thomas Chabot (OTT) | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +100 |
| Shane Pinto (OTT) | 0.5 -115 | 0.5 -115 |
| Tim Stutzle (OTT) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +170 |
| Adam Fox (NYR) | 0.5 -125 | 0.5 -105 |
| Alexis Lafreniere (NYR) | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Rangers vs Senators
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Warren Foegele (OTT) | 1.5 -125 | 1.5 -105 |
| Thomas Chabot (OTT) | 2.5 +125 | 2.5 -175 |
| Shane Pinto (OTT) | 2.5 +135 | 2.5 -185 |
| Tim Stutzle (OTT) | 2.5 +110 | 2.5 -150 |
| Adam Fox (NYR) | 1.5 -110 | 1.5 -120 |
Senators: Keys to the Game vs. Rangers
The Senators are 12-23 (.343) when allowing 14 or more high danger chances this season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .468
The Senators are 10-7 (.588) when tied after the second period this season — 7th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Senators were 7-10 (.412) when tied after the second period last season — 9th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Senators were 30-12 (.714) when having 3 or more xG. last season — tied for 7th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .635
Rangers: Keys to the Game vs. Senators
The Rangers are 27-42 (.391) this season — 3rd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Rangers are 5-17 (.227) when tied after the first period this season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Rangers are 18-35 (.340) when allowing 14 or more high danger chances this season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .468
The Rangers were 4-22 (.154) when trailing after the first period last season — 7th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .285
Senators Offensive Stats & Trends
The Senators have 21 cycle chances in 4v4 situations this season — most among NHL Teams
The Senators have 41 inner slot shots in 4v4 situations since the start of the 2023-24 season — most among NHL Teams
The Senators have 38 cycle chances in 4v4 situations since the start of the 2024-25 season — most among NHL Teams
The Senators have 155 second chance scoring opportunities this season — 2nd most among NHL Teams
Rangers Offensive Stats & Trends
The Rangers had 0.5 points per game while shorthanded last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.2
The Rangers recorded 1.3 shots per game while shorthanded last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.8
The Rangers have 0.3 points per game while shorthanded since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.2
The Rangers have 5.0 rush chances per game this season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 6.4
Senators Defensive Stats & Trends
The Senators have allowed opponents to score on 26% of second chance opportunities this season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 15%
The Senators have allowed 0.0 goals per game while their opponent is shorthanded since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.1
The Senators have a .794 slot save percentage this season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .830
The Senators have a .791 slot save percentage while tied this season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .837
Rangers Defensive Stats & Trends
The Rangers have allowed 43 forecheck chances against the power play this season — most among NHL Teams
The Rangers allowed 5 cycle chances while their opponent is shorthanded last season — tied for most among NHL Teams
The Rangers have allowed 2.4 rush chances per game in the first period this season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.9
The Rangers had a .588 slot save percentage in overtime last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .775
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