- The Senators are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Penguins
- Senators vs. Penguins Total (Over/Under): 6 goals
- TV Channel: SNPT | TVA | TSN5
The Ottawa Senators (26-21) visit PPG Paints Arena to take on the Pittsburgh Penguins (28-14) on Feb. 2 in Pittsburgh, PA. The puck drop is scheduled for 7:00 pm.
The Senators are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+220).
The Senators vs. Penguins Over/Under is 6 total goals.
Senators vs. Penguins Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread (Puck line) | Total (O/U) | 2-Way Moneyline | |
| Senators | -1.5 +220 | 6 +105 | -105 |
| Penguins | +1.5 -275 | 6 -125 | -125 |
Senators vs Penguins Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Penguins will win this game with 52.7% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Senators vs Penguins Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Penguins will cover the spread with 51.1% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Senators Best Bets & Trends
- The Ottawa Senators have covered the 1P Puck Line in 15 of their last 20 away games (+14.00 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Ottawa Senators have hit the 1P Game Total Over in 16 of their last 20 games (+11.20 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Ottawa Senators have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 17 of their last 25 away games (+10.75 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Ottawa Senators have hit the 1P Moneyline in 11 of their last 20 away games (+7.90 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Ottawa Senators have covered the Puck Line in 8 of their last 12 away games (+7.35 Units / 42% ROI)
Penguins Best Bets & Trends
- The Pittsburgh Penguins have covered the 1P Puck Line in 16 of their last 25 games at home (+10.65 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Penguins have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 games (+8.10 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Penguins have hit the 1P Game Total Over in 18 of their last 25 games at home (+8.05 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Penguins have covered the Puck Line in 9 of their last 14 games (+8.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Penguins have hit the 1P Moneyline in 13 of their last 25 games at home (+7.05 Units / 23% ROI)
Senators Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Senators are 23-31 against the spread this NHL season (-4.9 Units / -6.75% ROI).
- Senators are 26-28 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.65 Units /-10.65% ROI
- Senators are 31-22 when betting the Over for +6.05 Units / 9.92% ROI
- Senators are 22-31 when betting the Under for -11.1 Units /-19.09% ROI
Penguins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Penguins are 32-21 against the spread this NHL season (+12.55 Units /15.7% ROI).
- Penguins are 28-25 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.4 Units / 7.08% ROI
- Penguins are 27-24 when betting the Over for +0.8 Units / 1.38% ROI
- Penguins are 24-27 when betting the Under for -6.25 Units / -10.55% ROI
Points Per Game Predictions for Penguins vs Senators
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Ridly Greig (OTT) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Ben Kindel (PIT) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Thomas Novak (PIT) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -210 |
| Erik Karlsson (PIT) | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -110 |
| Thomas Chabot (OTT) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -220 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Penguins vs Senators
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Erik Karlsson (PIT) | 1.5 -185 | 1.5 +130 |
| Thomas Chabot (OTT) | 1.5 -110 | 1.5 -125 |
| Shane Pinto (OTT) | 1.5 -115 | 1.5 -120 |
| Tim Stutzle (OTT) | 2.5 +140 | 2.5 -200 |
| Sidney Crosby (PIT) | 2.5 +140 | 2.5 -190 |
Senators: Keys to the Game vs. Penguins
The Senators were 30-12 (.714) when having 3 or more xG. last season — tied for 7th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .635
The Senators were 4-23 (.148) when trailing after the first period last season — 6th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .285
The Senators were 22-5 (.815) when leading after the first period last season — 7th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .715
The Senators were 16-9 (.640) when tied after the first period last season — 5th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
Penguins: Keys to the Game vs. Senators
The Penguins were 33-48 (.407) last season — 5th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Penguins were 5-18 (.217) when tied after the first period last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Penguins were 22-15 (.595) when winning the xG advantage last season — 5th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .694
The Penguins were 11-20 (.355) when drawing more penalties last season — 5th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .508
Senators Offensive Stats & Trends
The Senators had 0.3 points per game while shorthanded last season — tied for 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.2
The Senators averaged 15.8 high danger chances per game last season — 8th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 15.0
The Senators had 570 inner slot shots last season — tied for 9th most among NHL Teams
The Senators drew 17 penalties on the power play last season — tied for 2nd most among NHL Teams
Penguins Offensive Stats & Trends
The Penguins had 66 second chance scoring opportunities in the third period last season — 2nd most among NHL Teams
The Penguins had 0.2 rush chances per game while shorthanded last season — tied for lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.4
The Penguins averaged 0.2 high danger chances per game while shorthanded last season — tied for lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.4
The Penguins scored on 9% of second chance opportunities while tied last season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
Senators Defensive Stats & Trends
The Senators allowed opponents to score on 5% of rush chances while their opponent is shorthanded last season — 3rd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 13%
The Senators allowed 273 cycle chances while tied last season — 10th most among NHL Teams
The Senators allowed opponents to score on 5% of rush chances in overtime last season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 13%
The Senators allowed opponents to score on 11% of cycle chances in the first period last season — 8th highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 9%
Penguins Defensive Stats & Trends
The Penguins allowed opponents to score on 17% of rush chances in the first period last season — tied for highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10%
The Penguins made 81 saves while their opponent is shorthanded last season — tied for most among NHL Teams
The Penguins had a .643 slot save percentage in overtime last season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .775
The Penguins allowed opponents to score on 19% of rush chances in the third period last season — 2nd highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 13%
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