- The Senators are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Kraken
- Senators vs. Kraken Total (Over/Under): 6 goals
- TV Channel: KHN | KONG | CITY | TVA
The Ottawa Senators (30-22) visit Climate Pledge Arena to take on the Seattle Kraken (29-23) on Mar. 7 in Seattle, WA. The puck drop is scheduled for 10:00 pm.
The Senators are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+165).
The Senators vs. Kraken Over/Under is 6 total goals.
Senators vs. Kraken Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread (Puck line) | Total (O/U) | 2-Way Moneyline | |
| Senators | -1.5 +165 | 6 -115 | -145 |
| Kraken | +1.5 -200 | 6 -105 | +120 |
Senators vs Kraken Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Senators will win this game with 65.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Senators vs Kraken Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Senators will cover the spread with 55.1% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Senators Best Bets & Trends
- The Ottawa Senators have covered the 1P Puck Line in 16 of their last 25 away games (+10.55 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Ottawa Senators have covered the Puck Line in 7 of their last 10 away games (+7.60 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Ottawa Senators have covered the 2P Puck Line in 15 of their last 25 games (+7.50 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Ottawa Senators have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 away games (+7.35 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Ottawa Senators have hit the 3P Game Total Under in 15 of their last 25 away games (+6.90 Units / 25% ROI)
Kraken Best Bets & Trends
- The Seattle Kraken have hit the 1P Game Total Over in 18 of their last 25 games (+9.20 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Seattle Kraken have hit the 3P Moneyline in 13 of their last 25 games (+8.55 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Seattle Kraken have covered the 3P Puck Line in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+7.40 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Seattle Kraken have covered the Puck Line in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+7.25 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Seattle Kraken have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 25 games at home (+6.25 Units / 23% ROI)
Senators Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Senators are 27-34 against the spread this NHL season (-2.45 Units / -3.01% ROI).
- Senators are 30-31 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.2 Units /-8.89% ROI
- Senators are 34-26 when betting the Over for +4.65 Units / 6.74% ROI
- Senators are 26-34 when betting the Under for -10.4 Units /-15.79% ROI
Kraken Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Kraken are 41-20 against the spread this NHL season (+11.05 Units /10.07% ROI).
- Kraken are 29-32 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.05 Units / 4.71% ROI
- Kraken are 22-33 when betting the Over for -13.8 Units / -20.57% ROI
- Kraken are 33-22 when betting the Under for +9.3 Units / 13.8% ROI
Points Per Game Predictions for Kraken vs Senators
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Jordan Eberle (SEA) | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 -105 |
| Brandon Montour (SEA) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Chandler Stephenson (SEA) | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 -105 |
| Jaden Schwartz (SEA) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Thomas Chabot (OTT) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Kraken vs Senators
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Jordan Eberle (SEA) | 1.5 -190 | 1.5 +135 |
| Brandon Montour (SEA) | 2.5 +120 | 2.5 -160 |
| Jaden Schwartz (SEA) | 1.5 -110 | 1.5 -125 |
| Thomas Chabot (OTT) | 1.5 -190 | 1.5 +135 |
| Jared McCann (SEA) | 2.5 +120 | 2.5 -160 |
Senators: Keys to the Game vs. Kraken
The Senators were 7-10 (.412) when tied after the second period last season — 9th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Senators were 4-23 (.148) when trailing after the first period last season — 6th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .285
The Senators are 23-15 (.605) when outshooting their opponents this season — 6th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .513
The Senators were 30-12 (.714) when having 3 or more xG. last season — tied for 7th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .635
Kraken: Keys to the Game vs. Senators
The Kraken were 34-46 (.425) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Kraken are 63-77 (.450) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 7th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Kraken are 96-125 (.434) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 4th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Kraken are 2-22 (.083) when scoring 2 or fewer non-shootout goals this season — tied for 3rd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .168
Senators Offensive Stats & Trends
The Senators have 19 cycle chances in 4v4 situations this season — most among NHL Teams
The Senators have 5 second chance scoring opportunities while shorthanded this season — tied for most among NHL Teams
The Senators have 36 cycle chances in 4v4 situations since the start of the 2024-25 season — most among NHL Teams
The Senators have 11 second chance scoring opportunities in 4v4 situations since the start of the 2023-24 season — most among NHL Teams
Kraken Offensive Stats & Trends
The Kraken scored on 10% of second chance opportunities last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
The Kraken have 0.1 rush chances per game while shorthanded this season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.4
The Kraken have averaged 0.1 high danger chances per game while shorthanded this season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.4
The Kraken have averaged 14.0 high danger chances per game since the start of the 2024-25 season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 15.9
Senators Defensive Stats & Trends
The Senators have allowed opponents to score on 25% of second chance opportunities this season — tied for highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 16%
The Senators have a .814 slot save percentage since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .829
The Senators have a .793 slot save percentage this season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .830
The Senators have allowed 0.0 goals per game while their opponent is shorthanded since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.1
Kraken Defensive Stats & Trends
The Kraken have a .500 slot save percentage while their opponent is shorthanded this season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .831
The Kraken had a .795 slot save percentage in the first period last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .839
The Kraken allowed 1.2 goals per game in the first period last season — tied for highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.9
The Kraken have made 12.8 saves per game while tied this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 9.7
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