Senators vs Flyers Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NHL, Feb 5

Philadelphia Flyers' head coach Rick Tocchet speaks to his team during the first period of an NHL hockey game against the Carolina Hurricanes, in Raleigh, N.C., Sunday, Dec. 14, 2025.
(AP Photo/Ben McKeown)
NHL OddsLive Betting
  • The Senators are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Flyers
  • Senators vs. Flyers Total (Over/Under): 6 goals
  • TV Channel: NSPA | TSN5 | RDS

The Ottawa Senators (27-22) visit Xfinity Mobile Arena to take on the Philadelphia Flyers (25-20) on Feb. 5 in Philadelphia, PA. The puck drop is scheduled for 7:00 pm.

The Senators are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+185).

The Senators vs. Flyers Over/Under is 6 total goals.

Senators vs. Flyers Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

Spread (Puck line)Total (O/U)2-Way Moneyline
Senators-1.5 +1856 -105-125
Flyers+1.5 -2256 -115+105

Senators vs Flyers Prediction:

The winning team model predicts the Senators will win this game with 62.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.

Senators vs Flyers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Senators will cover the spread with 57.0% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook


  • The Ottawa Senators have covered the 1P Puck Line in 17 of their last 25 away games (+11.90 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Ottawa Senators have hit the 1P Game Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games (+8.65 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Ottawa Senators have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 16 of their last 25 away games (+8.60 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Ottawa Senators have covered the 3P Puck Line in 8 of their last 9 games (+8.10 Units / 67% ROI)
  • The Ottawa Senators have covered the Puck Line in 9 of their last 14 away games (+7.35 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Flyers have hit the 3P Game Total Under in 12 of their last 20 games at home (+8.85 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Flyers have covered the 3P Puck Line in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.20 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Flyers have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 25 games (+5.40 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Flyers have covered the Puck Line in 9 of their last 14 games at home (+5.10 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Flyers have covered the 2P Puck Line in 15 of their last 25 games at home (+5.10 Units / 14% ROI)

Senators Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Senators are 24-32 against the spread this NHL season (-4.9 Units / -6.52% ROI).

  • Senators are 27-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.65 Units /-10.33% ROI
  • Senators are 32-23 when betting the Over for +5.95 Units / 9.41% ROI
  • Senators are 23-32 when betting the Under for -11.2 Units /-18.56% ROI

Flyers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Flyers are 33-22 against the spread this NHL season (+5.8 Units /6.5% ROI).

  • Flyers are 25-30 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.05 Units / -3.32% ROI
  • Flyers are 30-23 when betting the Over for +4.5 Units / 7.44% ROI
  • Flyers are 23-30 when betting the Under for -10.8 Units / -17.73% ROI

Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions for for Flyers vs Senators

Player Name Odds to Score a Goal
Brady Tkachuk (Ott) +150
Tim Stutzle (Ott) +170
Travis Konecny (Phi) +220
Dylan Cozens (OTT) +230
Owen Tippett (Phi) +260
Drake Batherson (Ott) +270

Points Per Game Predictions for Flyers vs Senators

Player Name Over Under
Jamie Drysdale (PHI) 0.5 +135 0.5 -185
Matvei Michkov (PHI) 0.5 +130 0.5 -175
Thomas Chabot (OTT) 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
Shane Pinto (OTT) 0.5 +115 0.5 -155
Christian Dvorak (PHI) 0.5 -120 0.5 -110

Shots on Goal Predictions for Flyers vs Senators

Player Name Over Under
Matvei Michkov (PHI) 2.5 +145 2.5 -200
Thomas Chabot (OTT) 1.5 -110 1.5 -125
Shane Pinto (OTT) 1.5 -130 1.5 -105
Christian Dvorak (PHI) 1.5 -135 1.5 +100
Owen Tippett (PHI) 2.5 +105 2.5 -140

Senators: Keys to the Game vs. Flyers

The Senators were 4-23 (.148) when trailing after the first period last season — 6th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .285

The Senators were 30-12 (.714) when having 3 or more xG. last season — tied for 7th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .635

The Senators were 22-5 (.815) when leading after the first period last season — 7th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .715

The Senators were 7-10 (.412) when tied after the second period last season — 9th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500

Flyers: Keys to the Game vs. Senators

The Flyers were 33-46 (.418) last season — 6th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500

The Flyers were 9-15 (.375) when tied after the first period last season — 5th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500

The Flyers were 24-41 (.369) when allowing 5 or more rush chances last season — 5th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .456

The Flyers were 15-20 (.429) when drawing more penalties last season — 9th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .508

The Senators averaged 3.25 expected goals per game last season — 10th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 3.14

The Senators had 0.3 points per game while shorthanded last season — tied for 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.2

The Senators secondary assisted on 5 goals while shorthanded last season — tied for 2nd most among NHL Teams

The Senators drew 17 penalties on the power play last season — tied for 2nd most among NHL Teams

The Flyers had 28 slot shots in 4v4 situations last season — most among NHL Teams

The Flyers had 13 inner slot shots in 4v4 situations last season — 2nd most among NHL Teams

The Flyers scored on 24% of second chance opportunities in the third period last season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%

The Flyers averaged 3.27 expected goals per game last season — 9th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 3.14

The Senators had 168 puck battle wins on the power play last season — 3rd most among NHL Teams

The Senators allowed 1.96 expected goals per game in 5v5 situations last season — tied for 5th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 2.13

The Senators allowed opponents to score on 5% of rush chances while their opponent is shorthanded last season — 3rd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 13%

The Senators allowed opponents to score on 10% of cycle chances in the third period last season — tied for 6th highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 9%

The Flyers allowed 7 forecheck chances in 4v4 situations last season — most among NHL Teams

The Flyers allowed 5 second chance scoring opportunities in 4v4 situations last season — tied for most among NHL Teams

The Flyers allowed 8 goals in 4v4 situations last season — most among NHL Teams

The Flyers allowed 1.4 goals per game in the second period last season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.0


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Our BetMGM NHL betting authors focus on individual game matchups and player prop bets with an emphasis on hockey betting odds, lines, and predictions.

Our BetMGM NHL betting authors focus on individual game matchups and player prop bets with an emphasis on hockey betting odds, lines, and predictions.