- The Senators are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Flames
- Senators vs. Flames Total (Over/Under): 6 goals
- TV Channel: RSNW | TSN5 | RDS
The Ottawa Senators (29-22) visit Scotiabank Saddledome to take on the Calgary Flames (24-29) on Mar. 5 in Calgary, AB. The puck drop is scheduled for 9:00 pm.
The Senators are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Senators vs. Flames Over/Under is 6 total goals.
Senators vs. Flames Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread (Puck line) | Total (O/U) | 2-Way Moneyline | |
| Senators | -1.5 +145 | 6 -115 | -165 |
| Flames | +1.5 -175 | 6 -105 | +135 |
Senators vs Flames Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Senators will win this game with 80.9% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Senators vs Flames Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Senators will cover the spread with 65.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Senators Best Bets & Trends
- The Ottawa Senators have covered the 1P Puck Line in 17 of their last 25 away games (+13.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Ottawa Senators have hit the 3P Game Total Under in 16 of their last 25 away games (+9.10 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Ottawa Senators have hit the 1P Game Total Over in 18 of their last 25 games (+9.00 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Ottawa Senators have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 away games (+7.35 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Ottawa Senators have covered the Puck Line in 12 of their last 20 away games (+7.10 Units / 24% ROI)
Flames Best Bets & Trends
- The Calgary Flames have covered the Puck Line in 16 of their last 25 games at home (+9.35 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Calgary Flames have hit the 3P Game Total Under in 14 of their last 25 games (+8.95 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Calgary Flames have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 25 games (+6.45 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Calgary Flames have covered the 1P Puck Line in 16 of their last 25 games at home (+6.20 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Calgary Flames have covered the 3P Puck Line in 16 of their last 25 games at home (+5.55 Units / 15% ROI)
Senators Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Senators are 26-34 against the spread this NHL season (-3.95 Units / -4.91% ROI).
- Senators are 29-31 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.2 Units /-10.35% ROI
- Senators are 34-25 when betting the Over for +5.75 Units / 8.47% ROI
- Senators are 25-34 when betting the Under for -11.4 Units /-17.61% ROI
Flames Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Flames are 33-26 against the spread this NHL season (-6.15 Units /-5.71% ROI).
- Flames are 24-36 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.4 Units / -16% ROI
- Flames are 28-28 when betting the Over for -2.45 Units / -3.65% ROI
- Flames are 28-28 when betting the Under for -1.5 Units / -2.3% ROI
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions for for Flames vs Senators
| Player Name | Odds to Score a Goal |
|---|---|
| Brady Tkachuk (Ott) | +175 |
| Tim Stutzle (Ott) | +175 |
| Nazem Kadri (CAL) | +200 |
| Drake Batherson (Ott) | +200 |
| Dylan Cozens (OTT) | +240 |
| Matt Coronato (CAL) | +240 |
Points Per Game Predictions for Flames vs Senators
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Mikael Backlund (CAL) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -150 |
| Matvei Gridin (CAL) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Thomas Chabot (OTT) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Nazem Kadri (CAL) | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Connor Zary (CAL) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Flames vs Senators
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Mikael Backlund (CAL) | 2.5 +120 | 2.5 -165 |
| Matvei Gridin (CAL) | 1.5 -175 | 1.5 +130 |
| Thomas Chabot (OTT) | 1.5 -165 | 1.5 +125 |
| Nazem Kadri (CAL) | 2.5 -145 | 2.5 +105 |
| Shane Pinto (OTT) | 1.5 -190 | 1.5 +140 |
Senators: Keys to the Game vs. Flames
The Senators were 22-5 (.815) when leading after the first period last season — 7th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .715
The Senators are 2-19 (.095) when trailing after the second period this season — 9th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .145
The Senators were 4-23 (.148) when trailing after the first period last season — 6th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .285
The Senators are 17-61 (.218) when trailing after the first period since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .266
Flames: Keys to the Game vs. Senators
The Flames are 24-36 (.400) this season — tied for 5th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Flames are 102-119 (.462) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 8th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Flames are 5-29 (.147) when allowing 3 or more non-shootout goals this season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .282
The Flames are undefeated (13-0) when scoring 4 or more non-shootout goals this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .872
Senators Offensive Stats & Trends
The Senators have 19 cycle chances in 4v4 situations this season — most among NHL Teams
The Senators have 5 second chance scoring opportunities while shorthanded this season — tied for most among NHL Teams
The Senators have 41 inner slot shots in 4v4 situations since the start of the 2023-24 season — most among NHL Teams
The Senators had 0.3 points per game while shorthanded last season — tied for 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.2
Flames Offensive Stats & Trends
The Flames have 4 second chance scoring opportunities in 4v4 situations this season — 2nd most among NHL Teams
The Flames scored on 5% of rush chances in the second period last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10%
The Flames have scored on 5% of rush chances in the second period since the start of the 2024-25 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10%
The Flames scored on 5% of cycle chances in the first period last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 9%
Senators Defensive Stats & Trends
The Senators have allowed opponents to score on 25% of second chance opportunities this season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 16%
The Senators have a .880 save percentage this season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .898
The Senators have allowed opponents to score on 23% of second chance opportunities since the start of the 2024-25 season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 16%
The Senators have allowed opponents to score on 30% of second chance opportunities in the third period this season — 2nd highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 14%
Flames Defensive Stats & Trends
The Flames allowed 5 forecheck chances in overtime last season — most among NHL Teams
The Flames have allowed 196 forecheck chances this season — tied for most among NHL Teams
The Flames have allowed 39 rush chances against the power play this season — most among NHL Teams
The Flames allowed 1.6 rush chances per game in the first period last season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 2.0
National Hockey League Betting at BetMGM
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