- The Sabres are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Sharks
- Sabres vs. Sharks Total (Over/Under): 6.5 goals
- TV Channel: NSCA | MSGB
The Buffalo Sabres (42-20) visit SAP Center at San Jose to take on the San Jose Sharks (32-28) on Mar. 19 in San Jose, CA. The puck drop is scheduled for 10:00 pm.
The Sabres are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Sabres vs. Sharks Over/Under is 6.5 total goals.
Sabres vs. Sharks Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread (Puck line) | Total (O/U) | 2-Way Moneyline | |
| Sabres | -1.5 +155 | 6.5 +105 | -145 |
| Sharks | +1.5 -190 | 6.5 -125 | +120 |
Sabres vs Sharks Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Sabres will win this game with 64.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Sabres vs Sharks Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Sharks will cover the spread with 59.8% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Sabres Best Bets & Trends
- The Buffalo Sabres have covered the Puck Line in 18 of their last 20 away games (+20.85 Units / 63% ROI)
- The Buffalo Sabres have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 20 away games (+16.50 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Buffalo Sabres have covered the 3P Puck Line in 17 of their last 20 away games (+15.85 Units / 57% ROI)
- The Buffalo Sabres have covered the 1P Puck Line in 18 of their last 25 games (+13.25 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Buffalo Sabres have hit the 3P Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 away games (+10.35 Units / 47% ROI)
Sharks Best Bets & Trends
- The San Jose Sharks have covered the Puck Line in 18 of their last 25 games at home (+9.15 Units / 22% ROI)
- The San Jose Sharks have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 25 games at home (+8.85 Units / 34% ROI)
- The San Jose Sharks have covered the 3P Puck Line in their last 5 games at home (+5.30 Units / 69% ROI)
- The San Jose Sharks have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 20 games (+4.60 Units / 21% ROI)
- The San Jose Sharks have hit the 2P Moneyline in 7 of their last 20 games at home (+3.85 Units / 18% ROI)
Sabres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Sabres are 40-28 against the spread this NHL season (+14.3 Units / 13.94% ROI).
- Sabres are 42-26 when betting on the Moneyline for +17.3 Units /21.15% ROI
- Sabres are 31-34 when betting the Over for -6.5 Units / -8.59% ROI
- Sabres are 34-31 when betting the Under for +0.1 Units /0.13% ROI
Sharks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Sharks are 41-25 against the spread this NHL season (+9.1 Units /9.05% ROI).
- Sharks are 32-34 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.6 Units / 18.6% ROI
- Sharks are 32-32 when betting the Over for -3.75 Units / -4.99% ROI
- Sharks are 32-32 when betting the Under for -1.7 Units / -2.38% ROI
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions for for Sharks vs Sabres
| Player Name | Odds to Score a Goal |
|---|---|
| Tage Thompson (Buf) | +115 |
| Macklin Celebrini (SJ) | +135 |
| Jason Zucker (BUF) | +200 |
| Will Smith (SJ) | +210 |
| Josh Doan (BUF) | +230 |
| Josh Norris (BUF) | +240 |
Points Per Game Predictions for Sharks vs Sabres
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Owen Power (BUF) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Collin Graf (SJ) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Ryan McLeod (BUF) | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -118 |
| Jason Zucker (BUF) | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -120 |
| Josh Doan (BUF) | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -125 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Sharks vs Sabres
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Collin Graf (SJ) | 1.5 -155 | 1.5 +110 |
| Josh Doan (BUF) | 2.5 +130 | 2.5 -185 |
| Will Smith (SJ) | 2.5 +125 | 2.5 -175 |
| Rasmus Dahlin (BUF) | 2.5 +105 | 2.5 -145 |
| Tyler Toffoli (SJ) | 2.5 +115 | 2.5 -160 |
Sabres: Keys to the Game vs. Sharks
The Sabres are 41-26 (.612) this season — 5th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Sabres were 34-45 (.430) last season — 9th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Sabres are 27-9 (.750) when having 3 or more xG. this season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .599
The Sabres are 8-78 (.093) when scoring 2 or fewer non-shootout goals since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 4th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .152
Sharks: Keys to the Game vs. Sabres
The Sharks are 67-153 (.305) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Sharks were 19-61 (.238) last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Sharks are 37-102 (.266) when recording less than 30 shots on goal since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .475
The Sharks were 9-38 (.191) when recording less than 30 shots on goal last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .467
Sabres Offensive Stats & Trends
The Sabres have 1.8 rush chances per game while tied this season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 2.4
The Sabres have averaged 4.9 high danger chances per game while tied this season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 6.1
The Sabres had 86 forecheck chances in the second period last season — most among NHL Teams
The Sabres have scored on 32% of second chance opportunities while tied this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 16%
Sharks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Sharks are 67-153 (.305) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Sharks were 19-61 (.238) last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Sharks averaged 2.65 expected goals per game last season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 3.14
The Sharks have scored 4 power play goals in overtime since the start of the 2024-25 season — 2nd most among NHL Teams
Sabres Defensive Stats & Trends
The Sabres allowed 1.3 goals per game in the second period last season — tied for 2nd highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.0
The Sabres allowed 3.55 expected goals per game last season — 3rd highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 3.14
The Sabres allowed 1.3 goals per game in the third period last season — tied for 2nd highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.1
The Sabres have a .704 save percentage in overtime since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .815
Sharks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Sharks allowed 1.2 goals per game in the first period last season — tied for highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.9
The Sharks allowed 1.3 goals per game while tied last season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.0
The Sharks allowed 1.4 goals per game in the third period last season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.1
The Sharks allowed 44 second chance scoring opportunities against the power play last season — most among NHL Teams
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