- The Islanders are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Sabres
- Sabres vs. Islanders Total (Over/Under): 6 goals
- TV Channel: MSGB | MSGS | RSN
The Buffalo Sabres (28-17) visit UBS Arena to take on the New York Islanders (27-18) on Jan. 24 in Elmont, NY. The puck drop is scheduled for 1:00 pm.
The Islanders are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+200).
The Sabres vs. Islanders Over/Under is 6 total goals.
Sabres vs. Islanders Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread (Puck line) | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Sabres | +1.5 -250 | 6 +100 | +220 |
| Islanders | -1.5 +200 | 6 -120 | -120 |
Sabres vs Islanders Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Islanders will win this game with 58.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Sabres vs Islanders Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Islanders will cover the spread with 50.6% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Sabres Best Bets & Trends
- The Buffalo Sabres have covered the Puck Line in 15 of their last 20 games (+16.45 Units / 62% ROI)
- The Buffalo Sabres have covered the 2P Puck Line in 15 of their last 20 games (+13.00 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Buffalo Sabres have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 20 games (+12.95 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Buffalo Sabres have hit the 2P Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games (+9.20 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Buffalo Sabres have covered the 1P Puck Line in 8 of their last 10 games (+8.00 Units / 58% ROI)
Islanders Best Bets & Trends
- The New York Islanders have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.95 Units / 50% ROI)
- The New York Islanders have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+7.55 Units / 65% ROI)
- The New York Islanders have hit the 3P Game Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+7.25 Units / 45% ROI)
- The New York Islanders have covered the Puck Line in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+6.55 Units / 29% ROI)
- The New York Islanders have hit the 3P Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 games (+5.30 Units / 32% ROI)
Sabres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Sabres are 28-22 against the spread this NHL season (+5.4 Units / 7.14% ROI).
- Sabres are 28-22 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.65 Units /13.22% ROI
- Sabres are 24-23 when betting the Over for -0.9 Units / -1.63% ROI
- Sabres are 23-24 when betting the Under for -3.4 Units /-6.14% ROI
Islanders Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Islanders are 27-23 against the spread this NHL season (-3.7 Units /-4.36% ROI).
- Islanders are 27-23 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.85 Units / 10.18% ROI
- Islanders are 22-26 when betting the Over for -6.45 Units / -11.63% ROI
- Islanders are 26-22 when betting the Under for +2.55 Units / 4.62% ROI
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions for for Islanders vs Sabres
| Player Name | Odds to Score a Goal |
|---|---|
| Tage Thompson (Buf) | +155 |
| Bo Horvat (NYI) | +170 |
| Mathew Barzal (NYI) | +210 |
| Alex Tuch (BUF) | +230 |
| Jason Zucker (BUF) | +250 |
| Emil Heineman (NYI) | +270 |
Points Per Game Predictions for Islanders vs Sabres
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Owen Power (BUF) | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -325 |
| Bo Horvat (NYI) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
| Noah Ostlund (BUF) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Anthony Duclair (NYI) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Matthew Schaefer (NYI) | 0.5 -115 | 0.5 -118 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Islanders vs Sabres
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Bo Horvat (NYI) | 2.5 -150 | 2.5 +110 |
| Noah Ostlund (BUF) | 1.5 +110 | 1.5 -150 |
| Anthony Duclair (NYI) | 1.5 -110 | 1.5 -125 |
| Matthew Schaefer (NYI) | 2.5 +110 | 2.5 -150 |
| Emil Heineman (NYI) | 1.5 -165 | 1.5 +125 |
Sabres: Keys to the Game vs. Islanders
The Sabres were 16-14 (.533) when winning the xG advantage last season — 3rd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .694
The Sabres were 34-45 (.430) last season — 9th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Sabres are 28-21 (.571) this season — 5th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Sabres were 2-28 (.067) when scoring 2 or fewer non-shootout goals last season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .144
Islanders: Keys to the Game vs. Sabres
The Islanders are 27-22 (.551) this season — 8th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Islanders are 10-1 (.909) when allowing 35 or more shots on goal this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .501
The Islanders were 34-46 (.425) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Islanders are 49-38 (.563) when winning the xG advantage since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .670
Sabres Offensive Stats & Trends
The Sabres have 0.9 points per game while shorthanded this month — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.1
The Sabres have drawn 5 penalties in 4v4 situations this month — most among NHL Teams
The Sabres have 6 inner slot shots while shorthanded this month — most among NHL Teams
The Sabres had 0.3 points per game while shorthanded last season — tied for 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.2
Islanders Offensive Stats & Trends
The Islanders had 0.3 points per game while shorthanded last season — tied for 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.2
The Islanders scored on 8% of cycle chances last season — 3rd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10%
The Islanders scored on 15% of rush chances in the second period last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10%
The Islanders have scored on 0% of rush chances on the power play since the start of the 2024-25 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10%
Sabres Defensive Stats & Trends
The Sabres have allowed 0.0 goals per game while their opponent is shorthanded this season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.1
The Sabres allowed 3.55 expected goals per game last season — 3rd highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 3.14
The Sabres had a .887 save percentage last season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .901
The Sabres have a .893 save percentage while tied since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .907
Islanders Defensive Stats & Trends
The Islanders have allowed opponents to score on 5% of cycle chances this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 9%
The Islanders have 112.0 goals saved above expected since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 36.4
The Islanders have allowed opponents to score on 11% of second chance opportunities since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
The Islanders have 106.9 goals saved above expected in 5v5 situations since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 34.7
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