- The Golden Knights are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Sabres
- Sabres vs. Golden Knights Total (Over/Under): 6.5 goals
- TV Channel: SCRI | MSGB
The Buffalo Sabres (41-20) visit T-Mobile Arena to take on the Vegas Golden Knights (31-22) on Mar. 17 in Paradise, NV. The puck drop is scheduled for 10:00 pm.
The Golden Knights are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+170).
The Sabres vs. Golden Knights Over/Under is 6.5 total goals.
Sabres vs. Golden Knights Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread (Puck line) | Total (O/U) | 2-Way Moneyline | |
| Sabres | +1.5 -210 | 6.5 -110 | +110 |
| Golden Knights | -1.5 +170 | 6.5 -110 | -135 |
Sabres vs Golden Knights Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Golden Knights will win this game with 61.6% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Sabres vs Golden Knights Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Sabres will cover the spread with 55.4% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Sabres Best Bets & Trends
- The Buffalo Sabres have covered the Puck Line in 18 of their last 20 away games (+20.85 Units / 65% ROI)
- The Buffalo Sabres have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 20 away games (+17.10 Units / 80% ROI)
- The Buffalo Sabres have covered the 1P Puck Line in 18 of their last 25 games (+13.65 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Buffalo Sabres have covered the 3P Puck Line in 16 of their last 20 away games (+13.55 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Buffalo Sabres have covered the 2P Puck Line in 18 of their last 25 away games (+10.00 Units / 25% ROI)
Golden Knights Best Bets & Trends
- The Vegas Golden Knights have covered the 3P Puck Line in 16 of their last 25 games (+9.90 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Vegas Golden Knights have hit the 1P Game Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games (+7.05 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Vegas Golden Knights have covered the Puck Line in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.95 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Vegas Golden Knights have hit the 3P Moneyline in 14 of their last 25 games (+5.15 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Vegas Golden Knights have hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.70 Units / 47% ROI)
Sabres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Sabres are 39-28 against the spread this NHL season (+13.3 Units / 13.23% ROI).
- Sabres are 41-26 when betting on the Moneyline for +16.15 Units /19.99% ROI
- Sabres are 31-33 when betting the Over for -5.4 Units / -7.24% ROI
- Sabres are 33-31 when betting the Under for -0.9 Units /-1.22% ROI
Golden Knights Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Golden Knights are 27-40 against the spread this NHL season (-7.6 Units /-9.13% ROI).
- Golden Knights are 31-36 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.65 Units / -18.73% ROI
- Golden Knights are 34-30 when betting the Over for +1.15 Units / 1.55% ROI
- Golden Knights are 30-34 when betting the Under for -7 Units / -9.48% ROI
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions for for Golden Knights vs Sabres
| Player Name | Odds to Score a Goal |
|---|---|
| Tage Thompson (Buf) | +140 |
| Jack Eichel (Veg) | +160 |
| Pavel Dorofeyev (VEG) | +180 |
| Alex Tuch (BUF) | +185 |
| Mark Stone (Veg) | +200 |
| Mitch Marner (VEG) | +230 |
Points Per Game Predictions for Golden Knights vs Sabres
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Owen Power (BUF) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -285 |
| Noah Ostlund (BUF) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -210 |
| Ryan McLeod (BUF) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
| Mitch Marner (VEG) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
| Jason Zucker (BUF) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Golden Knights vs Sabres
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Mitch Marner (VEG) | 1.5 -150 | 1.5 +110 |
| Jason Zucker (BUF) | 1.5 -130 | 1.5 -105 |
| Tomas Hertl (VEG) | 2.5 +130 | 2.5 -175 |
| Rasmus Andersson (VEG) | 1.5 -115 | 1.5 -118 |
| Mark Stone (VEG) | 1.5 -200 | 1.5 +145 |
Sabres: Keys to the Game vs. Golden Knights
The Sabres are 40-26 (.606) this season — 5th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Sabres were 16-14 (.533) when winning the xG advantage last season — 3rd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .694
The Sabres were 34-45 (.430) last season — 9th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Sabres are 35-14 (.714) when creating 14 or more high danger chances this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .532
Golden Knights: Keys to the Game vs. Sabres
The Golden Knights are 121-100 (.548) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Golden Knights were 48-31 (.608) last season — tied for 4th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Golden Knights are 30-36 (.455) this season — 10th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Golden Knights were 37-8 (.822) when having 3 or more xG. last season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .635
Sabres Offensive Stats & Trends
The Sabres had 5 forecheck chances in 4v4 situations last season — tied for most among NHL Teams
The Sabres have averaged 4.9 high danger chances per game while tied this season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 6.1
The Sabres have scored on 32% of second chance opportunities while tied this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 16%
The Sabres had 0.3 points per game while shorthanded last season — tied for 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.2
Golden Knights Offensive Stats & Trends
The Golden Knights had 12.2 slot shots per game in 5v5 situations last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10.2
The Golden Knights have scored on 19% of rush chances in the third period this season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 12%
The Golden Knights had 259.06 expected goals last season — 8th most among NHL Teams
The Golden Knights have primary assisted on 208 goals this season — tied for 9th most among NHL Teams
Sabres Defensive Stats & Trends
The Sabres allowed 1.3 goals per game in the second period last season — tied for 2nd highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.0
The Sabres had a .887 save percentage last season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .901
The Sabres have a .704 save percentage in overtime since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .815
The Sabres had 38 successful stick checks in 4v4 situations last season — most among NHL Teams
Golden Knights Defensive Stats & Trends
The Golden Knights have allowed 11 forecheck chances in overtime since the start of the 2023-24 season — most among NHL Teams
The Golden Knights have allowed 0.8 goals per game in the third period this season — tied for 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.1
The Golden Knights have allowed 7 forecheck chances in overtime this season — most among NHL Teams
The Golden Knights have a .794 slot save percentage in the second period since the start of the 2024-25 season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .834
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