- The Canadiens are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Sabres
- Sabres vs. Canadiens Total (Over/Under): 6.5 goals
- TV Channel: ESPN | RSN | TVA | CBC
The Buffalo Sabres visit Bell Centre to take on the Montreal Canadiens on May 12 in Montreal, QC. The puck drop is scheduled for 7:00 pm.
The Canadiens are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+170).
The Sabres vs. Canadiens Over/Under is 6.5 total goals.
Sabres vs. Canadiens Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
Sabres vs Canadiens Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Canadiens will win this game with 75.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Sabres vs Canadiens Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Sabres will cover the spread with 73.3% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Sabres Best Bets & Trends
- The Buffalo Sabres have covered the Puck Line in 20 of their last 25 away games (+18.50 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Buffalo Sabres have covered the 3P Puck Line in 20 of their last 25 away games (+16.05 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Buffalo Sabres have covered the 1P Puck Line in 18 of their last 25 away games (+12.85 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Buffalo Sabres have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 25 away games (+11.95 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Buffalo Sabres have hit the 3P Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 away games (+10.70 Units / 45% ROI)
Canadiens Best Bets & Trends
- The Montreal Canadiens have covered the Puck Line in 16 of their last 25 games (+8.80 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Montreal Canadiens have hit the 3P Game Total Under in 12 of their last 25 games (+8.75 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Montreal Canadiens have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 25 games (+8.45 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Montreal Canadiens have hit the 2P Moneyline in 13 of their last 25 games (+7.05 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Montreal Canadiens have covered the 3P Puck Line in 16 of their last 25 games (+6.80 Units / 20% ROI)
Sabres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Sabres are 51-40 against the spread this NHL season (+15.9 Units / 11.87% ROI).
- Sabres are 55-36 when betting on the Moneyline for +15.95 Units /14.26% ROI
- Sabres are 41-44 when betting the Over for -7.5 Units / -7.44% ROI
- Sabres are 44-41 when betting the Under for -0.8 Units /-0.8% ROI
Canadiens Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Canadiens are 54-38 against the spread this NHL season (+17.25 Units /11.79% ROI).
- Canadiens are 54-38 when betting on the Moneyline for +13 Units / 11.64% ROI
- Canadiens are 48-40 when betting the Over for +3 Units / 2.91% ROI
- Canadiens are 40-48 when betting the Under for -12.25 Units / -12.21% ROI
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions for for Canadiens vs Sabres
| Player Name | Odds to Score a Goal |
|---|---|
| Cole Caufield (MTL) | +150 |
| Tage Thompson (Buf) | +165 |
| Nick Suzuki (MTL) | +190 |
| Juraj Slafkovsky (MTL) | +200 |
| Alex Tuch (BUF) | +210 |
| Alex Newhook (MTL) | +290 |
Points Per Game Predictions for Canadiens vs Sabres
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Newhook (MTL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Noah Dobson (MTL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Nick Suzuki (MTL) | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -250 |
| Phillip Danault (MTL) | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -325 |
| Lane Hutson (MTL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Canadiens vs Sabres
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Newhook (MTL) | 1.5 -120 | 1.5 -115 |
| Noah Dobson (MTL) | 1.5 -160 | 1.5 +115 |
| Nick Suzuki (MTL) | 2.5 +115 | 2.5 -155 |
| Lane Hutson (MTL) | 1.5 -125 | 1.5 -110 |
| Cole Caufield (MTL) | 2.5 -175 | 2.5 +125 |
Sabres: Keys to the Game vs. Canadiens
The Sabres were 34-45 (.430) last season — 9th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Sabres are 31-9 (.775) when having 3 or more xG. this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .608
The Sabres are 47-32 (.595) this season — 5th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Sabres were 16-14 (.533) when winning the xG advantage last season — 3rd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .694
Canadiens: Keys to the Game vs. Sabres
The Canadiens are 46-33 (.582) this season — 6th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Canadiens are 102-119 (.462) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 8th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Canadiens are 38-24 (.613) when creating 14 or more high danger chances this season — 6th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .531
The Canadiens are 6-85 (.066) when allowing 4 or more non-shootout goals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .130
Sabres Offensive Stats & Trends
The Sabres had 5 forecheck chances in 4v4 situations last season — tied for most among NHL Teams
The Sabres had 19 cycle chances in 4v4 situations last season — most among NHL Teams
The Sabres have scored on 28% of second chance opportunities while tied this season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 16%
The Sabres have scored on 5% of second chance opportunities while leading this season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 15%
Canadiens Offensive Stats & Trends
The Canadiens have 6 inner slot shots while shorthanded this month — most among NHL Teams
The Canadiens have averaged 1.24 expected goals per game while tied this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.05
The Canadiens have 3.5 points per game while tied this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 2.7
The Canadiens have secondary assisted on 210 goals this season — tied for 4th most among NHL Teams
Sabres Defensive Stats & Trends
The Sabres allowed 1.3 goals per game in the second period last season — tied for 2nd highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.0
The Sabres have a .667 slot save percentage in overtime this season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .805
The Sabres allowed 1.31 expected goals per game in the third period last season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.09
The Sabres allowed 3.5 goals per game last season — tied for 3rd highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 3.0
Canadiens Defensive Stats & Trends
The Canadiens have allowed 6 second chance scoring opportunities in 4v4 situations this season — most among NHL Teams
The Canadiens allowed opponents to score on 31% of rush chances in overtime last season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 13%
The Canadiens allowed 2.4 rush chances per game in the third period last season — tied for highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.9
The Canadiens have allowed 200 second chance scoring opportunities this season — most among NHL Teams
National Hockey League Betting at BetMGM
At the BetMGM online sportsbook, NHL betting is available throughout the year.
Hockey betting lines are posted for the latest Maple Leafs Stanley Cup odds, Oilers playoffs odds, live betting, and more.
BetMGM also has the odds for the betting favourites to win the Stanley Cup this year.
The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.
