- The Canadiens are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Sabres
- Sabres vs. Canadiens Total (Over/Under): 6 goals
- TV Channel: ESPN | RSN | CBC | TVA
The Buffalo Sabres visit Bell Centre to take on the Montreal Canadiens on May 10 in Montreal, QC. The puck drop is scheduled for 7:00 pm.
The Canadiens are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+190).
The Sabres vs. Canadiens Over/Under is 6 total goals.
Sabres vs. Canadiens Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
Sabres vs Canadiens Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Canadiens will win this game with 90.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Sabres vs Canadiens Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Canadiens will cover the spread with 68.7% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Sabres Best Bets & Trends
- The Buffalo Sabres have covered the Puck Line in 21 of their last 25 away games (+21.80 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Buffalo Sabres have covered the 3P Puck Line in 21 of their last 25 away games (+18.85 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Buffalo Sabres have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 25 away games (+14.25 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Buffalo Sabres have hit the 3P Moneyline in 15 of their last 20 away games (+12.80 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Buffalo Sabres have covered the 1P Puck Line in 17 of their last 25 away games (+9.95 Units / 25% ROI)
Canadiens Best Bets & Trends
- The Montreal Canadiens have hit the 3P Game Total Under in 13 of their last 25 games (+9.80 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Montreal Canadiens have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 25 games (+8.70 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Montreal Canadiens have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 25 games (+8.45 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Montreal Canadiens have covered the Puck Line in 14 of their last 25 games at home (+6.75 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Montreal Canadiens have hit the 1P Game Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games (+6.60 Units / 31% ROI)
Sabres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Sabres are 51-39 against the spread this NHL season (+18.2 Units / 13.82% ROI).
- Sabres are 55-35 when betting on the Moneyline for +16.95 Units /15.29% ROI
- Sabres are 40-44 when betting the Over for -8.5 Units / -8.52% ROI
- Sabres are 44-40 when betting the Under for +0.3 Units /0.3% ROI
Canadiens Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Canadiens are 53-38 against the spread this NHL season (+15.25 Units /10.5% ROI).
- Canadiens are 53-38 when betting on the Moneyline for +12 Units / 10.87% ROI
- Canadiens are 47-40 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 1.96% ROI
- Canadiens are 40-47 when betting the Under for -11.15 Units / -11.23% ROI
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions for for Canadiens vs Sabres
| Player Name | Odds to Score a Goal |
|---|---|
| Cole Caufield (MTL) | +150 |
| Tage Thompson (Buf) | +175 |
| Nick Suzuki (MTL) | +185 |
| Alex Tuch (BUF) | +185 |
| Juraj Slafkovsky (MTL) | +200 |
| Ivan Demidov (MTL) | +325 |
Points Per Game Predictions for Canadiens vs Sabres
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Owen Power (BUF) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -295 |
| Ryan McLeod (BUF) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jason Zucker (BUF) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Josh Doan (BUF) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Josh Anderson (MTL) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -285 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Canadiens vs Sabres
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Jason Zucker (BUF) | 1.5 -140 | 1.5 +100 |
| Josh Doan (BUF) | 1.5 -175 | 1.5 +130 |
| Josh Anderson (MTL) | 1.5 +130 | 1.5 -185 |
| Zachary Bolduc (MTL) | 1.5 +155 | 1.5 -210 |
| Rasmus Dahlin (BUF) | 2.5 -130 | 2.5 -105 |
Sabres: Keys to the Game vs. Canadiens
The Sabres were 16-14 (.533) when winning the xG advantage last season — 3rd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .694
The Sabres are 31-9 (.775) when having 3 or more xG. this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .608
The Sabres are 47-32 (.595) this season — 5th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Sabres were 34-45 (.430) last season — 9th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
Canadiens: Keys to the Game vs. Sabres
The Canadiens are 102-119 (.462) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 8th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Canadiens are 46-33 (.582) this season — 6th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Canadiens are 6-85 (.066) when allowing 4 or more non-shootout goals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .130
The Canadiens are 13-6 (.684) when tied after the second period this season — 3rd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
Sabres Offensive Stats & Trends
The Sabres have 171 forecheck chances in the second period since the start of the 2024-25 season — most among NHL Teams
The Sabres had 0.3 points per game while shorthanded last season — tied for 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.2
The Sabres had 5 forecheck chances in 4v4 situations last season — tied for most among NHL Teams
The Sabres had 19 cycle chances in 4v4 situations last season — most among NHL Teams
Canadiens Offensive Stats & Trends
The Canadiens have 6 inner slot shots while shorthanded this month — most among NHL Teams
The Canadiens have drawn 52 penalties this month — most among NHL Teams
The Canadiens have 855 cycle chances this season — 6th most among NHL Teams
The Canadiens scored on 29% of second chance opportunities in the third period last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
Sabres Defensive Stats & Trends
The Sabres allowed 1.3 goals per game in the second period last season — tied for 2nd highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.0
The Sabres have a .667 slot save percentage in overtime this season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .805
The Sabres have a .704 save percentage in overtime since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .815
The Sabres made 0.9 saves per game while their opponent is shorthanded last season — 3rd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.7
Canadiens Defensive Stats & Trends
The Canadiens have allowed 6 second chance scoring opportunities in 4v4 situations this season — most among NHL Teams
The Canadiens allowed 2.4 rush chances per game in the third period last season — tied for highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.9
The Canadiens allowed opponents to score on 31% of rush chances in overtime last season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 13%
The Canadiens have 9 successful stick checks in 4v4 situations this month — most among NHL Teams
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