- The Sabres are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Bruins
- Sabres vs. Bruins Total (Over/Under): 5.5 goals
- TV Channel: ESPN | R360 | TVA2
The Buffalo Sabres visit TD Garden to take on the Boston Bruins on May 1 in Boston, MA. The puck drop is scheduled for 7:30 pm.
The Sabres are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+200).
The Sabres vs. Bruins Over/Under is 5.5 total goals.
Sabres vs. Bruins Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
Sabres vs Bruins Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Sabres will win this game with 77.6% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Sabres vs Bruins Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Sabres will cover the spread with 59.1% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Sabres Best Bets & Trends
- The Buffalo Sabres have covered the Puck Line in 21 of their last 25 away games (+21.85 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Buffalo Sabres have covered the 3P Puck Line in 21 of their last 25 away games (+18.90 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Buffalo Sabres have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 25 away games (+14.25 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Buffalo Sabres have hit the 3P Moneyline in 17 of their last 25 away games (+12.80 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Buffalo Sabres have covered the 2P Puck Line in 18 of their last 25 away games (+11.40 Units / 30% ROI)
Bruins Best Bets & Trends
- The Boston Bruins have covered the Puck Line in 18 of their last 25 games (+11.80 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Boston Bruins have covered the 1P Puck Line in 15 of their last 25 games at home (+9.35 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Boston Bruins have hit the 1P Moneyline in 14 of their last 25 games at home (+9.20 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Boston Bruins have hit the 2P Game Total Under in 13 of their last 25 games (+8.90 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Boston Bruins have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 20 games at home (+8.50 Units / 33% ROI)
Sabres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Sabres are 49-38 against the spread this NHL season (+15.35 Units / 11.93% ROI).
- Sabres are 53-34 when betting on the Moneyline for +17.25 Units /15.94% ROI
- Sabres are 40-43 when betting the Over for -7.3 Units / -7.56% ROI
- Sabres are 43-40 when betting the Under for -0.7 Units /-0.73% ROI
Bruins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Bruins are 57-30 against the spread this NHL season (+26.55 Units /19.27% ROI).
- Bruins are 47-40 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.15 Units / 12.39% ROI
- Bruins are 45-40 when betting the Over for +0.85 Units / 0.88% ROI
- Bruins are 40-45 when betting the Under for -9.35 Units / -9.81% ROI
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions for for Bruins vs Sabres
| Player Name | Odds to Score a Goal |
|---|---|
| Tage Thompson (Buf) | +150 |
| David Pastrnak (Bos) | +175 |
| Alex Tuch (BUF) | +185 |
| Morgan Geekie (Bos) | +210 |
| Pavel Zacha (Bos) | +275 |
| Jason Zucker (BUF) | +310 |
Points Per Game Predictions for Bruins vs Sabres
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Owen Power (BUF) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Charlie McAvoy (BOS) | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -110 |
| Fraser Minten (BOS) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
| Casey Mittelstadt (BOS) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Hampus Lindholm (BOS) | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -325 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Bruins vs Sabres
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Owen Power (BUF) | 1.5 +125 | 1.5 -165 |
| Charlie McAvoy (BOS) | 1.5 -175 | 1.5 +125 |
| Fraser Minten (BOS) | 1.5 -105 | 1.5 -125 |
| Michael Eyssimont (BOS) | 1.5 -110 | 1.5 -120 |
| Hampus Lindholm (BOS) | 1.5 +100 | 1.5 -135 |
Sabres: Keys to the Game vs. Bruins
The Sabres are 47-32 (.595) this season — 5th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Sabres were 16-14 (.533) when winning the xG advantage last season — 3rd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .694
The Sabres were 34-45 (.430) last season — 9th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Sabres are 31-9 (.775) when having 3 or more xG. this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .608
Bruins: Keys to the Game vs. Sabres
The Bruins were 32-48 (.400) last season — 4th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Bruins are 75-84 (.472) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 10th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Bruins are 43-36 (.544) this season — 8th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Bruins were 14-34 (.292) when allowing 14 or more high danger chances last season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .432
Sabres Offensive Stats & Trends
The Sabres had 19 cycle chances in 4v4 situations last season — most among NHL Teams
The Sabres had 0.3 points per game while shorthanded last season — tied for 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.2
The Sabres had 5 forecheck chances in 4v4 situations last season — tied for most among NHL Teams
The Sabres have 171 forecheck chances in the second period since the start of the 2024-25 season — most among NHL Teams
Bruins Offensive Stats & Trends
The Bruins have scored on 24% of second chance opportunities in the second period since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
The Bruins have scored on 22% of second chance opportunities this season — 3rd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 16%
The Bruins were 32-48 (.400) last season — 4th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Bruins have scored on 20% of second chance opportunities since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 16%
Sabres Defensive Stats & Trends
The Sabres have a .667 slot save percentage in overtime since the start of the 2024-25 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .792
The Sabres have a .673 slot save percentage in overtime since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .786
The Sabres had a .887 save percentage last season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .901
The Sabres allowed 3.55 expected goals per game last season — 3rd highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 3.14
Bruins Defensive Stats & Trends
The Bruins allowed 7 second chance scoring opportunities while their opponent is shorthanded last season — most among NHL Teams
The Bruins had a .799 slot save percentage last season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .830
The Bruins have allowed opponents to score on 7% of cycle chances in 5v5 situations since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 9%
The Bruins have made 1.0 saves per game while their opponent is shorthanded since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.7
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