- The Stars are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Red Wings
- Red Wings vs. Stars Total (Over/Under): 5.5 goals
- TV Channel: FDDT | VIC+
The Detroit Red Wings (36-23) visit American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Stars (41-14) on Mar. 14 in Dallas, TX. The puck drop is scheduled for 8:00 pm.
The Stars are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+140).
The Red Wings vs. Stars Over/Under is 5.5 total goals.
Red Wings vs. Stars Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread (Puck line) | Total (O/U) | 2-Way Moneyline | |
| Red Wings | +1.5 -170 | 5.5 -105 | +145 |
| Stars | -1.5 +140 | 5.5 -115 | -180 |
Red Wings vs Stars Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Stars will win this game with 76.7% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Red Wings vs Stars Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Red Wings will cover the spread with 75.7% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Red Wings Best Bets & Trends
- The Detroit Red Wings have covered the 2P Puck Line in 18 of their last 25 games (+11.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Detroit Red Wings have hit the 2P Moneyline in 14 of their last 25 games (+9.70 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Detroit Red Wings have hit the 2P Game Total Under in 14 of their last 25 games (+8.25 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Detroit Red Wings have covered the Puck Line in 11 of their last 15 away games (+6.25 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Detroit Red Wings have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 away games (+4.85 Units / 33% ROI)
Stars Best Bets & Trends
- The Dallas Stars have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 14 games (+12.00 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Dallas Stars have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 15 of their last 25 games at home (+9.70 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Dallas Stars have covered the 2P Puck Line in 10 of their last 13 games (+9.55 Units / 59% ROI)
- The Dallas Stars have hit the 2P Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+8.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Dallas Stars have hit the 1P Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games at home (+5.50 Units / 35% ROI)
Red Wings Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Red Wings are 33-33 against the spread this NHL season (-1.8 Units / -1.8% ROI).
- Red Wings are 36-30 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.45 Units /5.67% ROI
- Red Wings are 29-31 when betting the Over for -4.7 Units / -6.43% ROI
- Red Wings are 31-29 when betting the Under for -0.25 Units /-0.35% ROI
Stars Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Stars are 27-38 against the spread this NHL season (-6.2 Units /-7.26% ROI).
- Stars are 41-24 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.7 Units / 6.98% ROI
- Stars are 33-31 when betting the Over for -1.25 Units / -1.74% ROI
- Stars are 31-33 when betting the Under for -5.1 Units / -7.13% ROI
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions for for Stars vs Red Wings
| Player Name | Odds to Score a Goal |
|---|---|
| Jason Robertson (DAL) | +115 |
| Wyatt Johnston (DAL) | +130 |
| Alex Debrincat (DET) | +165 |
| Lucas Raymond (DET) | +240 |
| Patrick Kane (DET) | +270 |
| Matt Duchene (DAL) | +270 |
Points Per Game Predictions for Stars vs Red Wings
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Jamie Benn (DAL) | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -135 |
| Wyatt Johnston (DAL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +150 |
| Michael Bunting (DAL) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Justin Faulk (DET) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -235 |
| Thomas Harley (DAL) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Stars vs Red Wings
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Jamie Benn (DAL) | 1.5 +100 | 1.5 -140 |
| Wyatt Johnston (DAL) | 2.5 -115 | 2.5 -118 |
| Michael Bunting (DAL) | 1.5 -135 | 1.5 -105 |
| Justin Faulk (DET) | 1.5 +110 | 1.5 -150 |
| Thomas Harley (DAL) | 1.5 -135 | 1.5 +100 |
Red Wings: Keys to the Game vs. Stars
The Red Wings are 12-9 (.571) when allowing 35 or more shots on goal this season — tied for 8th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .486
The Red Wings are 15-2 (.882) when leading after the first period this season — 5th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .729
The Red Wings are 2-24 (.077) when allowing 4 or more non-shootout goals this season — 7th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .134
The Red Wings are 24-2 (.923) when allowing 2 or fewer non-shootout goals this season — 4th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .833
Stars: Keys to the Game vs. Red Wings
The Stars were 48-31 (.608) last season — tied for 4th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Stars are 136-84 (.618) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Stars are 7-1 (.875) when recording 35 or more shots on goal this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .514
The Stars are 89-55 (.618) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
Red Wings Offensive Stats & Trends
The Red Wings scored on 2% of second chance opportunities in the second period last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 16%
The Red Wings have scored on 17% of cycle chances while leading this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10%
The Red Wings scored on 11% of second chance opportunities last season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
The Red Wings scored on 10% of second chance opportunities in 5v5 situations last season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
Stars Offensive Stats & Trends
The Stars have scored on 23% of second chance opportunities since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 16%
The Stars have 10 forecheck chances while shorthanded since the start of the 2023-24 season — most among NHL Teams
The Stars had 5 forecheck chances while shorthanded last season — most among NHL Teams
The Stars have scored on 21% of second chance opportunities since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
Red Wings Defensive Stats & Trends
The Red Wings have 7 successful stick checks on the power play this month — most among NHL Teams
The Red Wings have allowed opponents to score on 6% of rush chances in the second period this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10%
The Red Wings allowed 5.8 rush chances per game last season — 3rd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 6.4
The Red Wings have allowed opponents to score on 7% of rush chances in the second period since the start of the 2024-25 season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10%
Stars Defensive Stats & Trends
The Stars have allowed 14.6 high danger chances per game this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17.2
The Stars have allowed 10.0 high danger chances per game in 5v5 situations this season — tied for 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 12.0
The Stars have allowed 2.69 expected goals per game this season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 3.09
The Stars have allowed 2.6 goals per game this season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 3.1
National Hockey League Betting at BetMGM
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