- The Senators are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Red Wings
- Red Wings vs. Senators Total (Over/Under): 6 goals
- TV Channel: FDDT | TSN5 | RDS2
The Detroit Red Wings (33-19) visit Canadian Tire Centre to take on the Ottawa Senators (28-22) on Feb. 26 in Ottawa, ON. The puck drop is scheduled for 7:00 pm.
The Senators are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Red Wings vs. Senators Over/Under is 6 total goals.
Red Wings vs. Senators Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread (Puck line) | Total (O/U) | 2-Way Moneyline | |
| Red Wings | +1.5 -190 | 6 -110 | +125 |
| Senators | -1.5 +155 | 6 -110 | -150 |
Red Wings vs Senators Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Senators will win this game with 71.7% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Red Wings vs Senators Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Red Wings will cover the spread with 70.8% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Red Wings Best Bets & Trends
- The Detroit Red Wings have covered the 2P Puck Line in 18 of their last 25 away games (+9.35 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Detroit Red Wings have covered the 1P Puck Line in 12 of their last 15 away games (+7.85 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Detroit Red Wings have hit the 2P Game Total Under in 10 of their last 20 games (+6.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Detroit Red Wings have covered the 3P Puck Line in 14 of their last 20 away games (+6.40 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Detroit Red Wings have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 25 games (+5.85 Units / 21% ROI)
Senators Best Bets & Trends
- The Ottawa Senators have covered the 3P Puck Line in 8 of their last 10 games (+7.10 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Ottawa Senators have hit the 1P Game Total Over in 17 of their last 25 games (+6.60 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Ottawa Senators have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 14 of their last 25 games (+6.25 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Ottawa Senators have covered the 2P Puck Line in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+5.85 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Ottawa Senators have hit the 2P Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games at home (+5.00 Units / 37% ROI)
Red Wings Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Red Wings are 29-29 against the spread this NHL season (-3.2 Units / -3.61% ROI).
- Red Wings are 33-25 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.1 Units /10.24% ROI
- Red Wings are 26-27 when betting the Over for -3.2 Units / -4.99% ROI
- Red Wings are 27-26 when betting the Under for -1 Units /-1.57% ROI
Senators Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Senators are 24-33 against the spread this NHL season (-5.9 Units /-7.75% ROI).
- Senators are 28-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.65 Units / -8.83% ROI
- Senators are 32-24 when betting the Over for +4.8 Units / 7.46% ROI
- Senators are 24-32 when betting the Under for -10.2 Units / -16.61% ROI
Points Per Game Predictions for Senators vs Red Wings
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Patrick Kane (DET) | 0.5 -118 | 0.5 -110 |
| Moritz Seider (DET) | 0.5 -115 | 0.5 -115 |
| Marco Kasper (DET) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Thomas Chabot (OTT) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Dylan Larkin (DET) | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Senators vs Red Wings
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Patrick Kane (DET) | 2.5 +140 | 2.5 -200 |
| Moritz Seider (DET) | 1.5 -150 | 1.5 +110 |
| Marco Kasper (DET) | 1.5 -118 | 1.5 -115 |
| Thomas Chabot (OTT) | 1.5 -145 | 1.5 +105 |
| Dylan Larkin (DET) | 2.5 -130 | 2.5 -105 |
Red Wings: Keys to the Game vs. Senators
The Red Wings are 33-24 (.579) this season — 6th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Red Wings are 22-11 (.667) when having 3 or more xG. this season — tied for 7th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .592
The Red Wings are 27-8 (.771) when scoring 3 or more non-shootout goals this season — tied for 4th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .712
The Red Wings were 14-10 (.583) when allowing 35 or more shots on goal last season — 9th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .444
Senators: Keys to the Game vs. Red Wings
The Senators are 8-14 (.364) when recording less than 30 shots on goal this season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .502
The Senators are 10-19 (.345) when allowing 14 or more high danger chances this season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .467
The Senators are 2-19 (.095) when trailing after the second period this season — tied for 10th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .136
The Senators were 16-9 (.640) when tied after the first period last season — 5th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
Red Wings Offensive Stats & Trends
The Red Wings scored on 2% of second chance opportunities in the second period last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 16%
The Red Wings scored on 11% of second chance opportunities last season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
The Red Wings have scored on 17% of cycle chances while leading this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10%
The Red Wings have 226 cycle chances on the power play this season — most among NHL Teams
Senators Offensive Stats & Trends
The Senators have 5 second chance scoring opportunities while shorthanded this season — tied for most among NHL Teams
The Senators have 10 second chance scoring opportunities in 4v4 situations since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for most among NHL Teams
The Senators have 16 cycle chances in 4v4 situations this season — most among NHL Teams
The Senators have 38 inner slot shots in 4v4 situations since the start of the 2023-24 season — most among NHL Teams
Red Wings Defensive Stats & Trends
The Red Wings have made 1.3 saves per game while their opponent is shorthanded this month — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.6
The Red Wings allowed 5.8 rush chances per game last season — 3rd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 6.4
The Red Wings had a .826 save percentage against the power play last season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .854
The Red Wings have 1,641 puck battle wins this season — 7th most among NHL Teams
Senators Defensive Stats & Trends
The Senators have a .789 slot save percentage this season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .829
The Senators have allowed 1.3 rush chances per game in the third period this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.9
The Senators have a .878 save percentage this season — tied for lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .898
The Senators have allowed opponents to score on 23% of second chance opportunities since the start of the 2024-25 season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
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