- The Sabres are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Red Wings
- Red Wings vs. Sabres Total (Over/Under): 6 goals
- TV Channel: FDDT | MSGB | NHL | TVA2
The Detroit Red Wings (38-25) visit KeyBank Center to take on the Buffalo Sabres (44-20) on Mar. 27 in Buffalo, NY. The puck drop is scheduled for 7:00 pm.
The Sabres are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Red Wings vs. Sabres Over/Under is 6 total goals.
Red Wings vs. Sabres Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
Red Wings vs Sabres Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Sabres will win this game with 85.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Red Wings vs Sabres Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Sabres will cover the spread with 75.9% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Red Wings Best Bets & Trends
- The Detroit Red Wings have hit the 1P Game Total Under in their last 9 games (+9.10 Units / 96% ROI)
- The Detroit Red Wings have covered the 2P Puck Line in 10 of their last 12 away games (+7.55 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Detroit Red Wings have hit the 2P Game Total Under in 14 of their last 25 games (+6.70 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Detroit Red Wings have covered the Puck Line in 9 of their last 12 away games (+6.25 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Detroit Red Wings have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 14 away games (+5.85 Units / 38% ROI)
Sabres Best Bets & Trends
- The Buffalo Sabres have covered the Puck Line in 17 of their last 25 games (+13.40 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Buffalo Sabres have covered the 3P Puck Line in 18 of their last 25 games (+12.95 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Buffalo Sabres have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 25 games (+9.60 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Buffalo Sabres have covered the 1P Puck Line in 16 of their last 25 games (+8.70 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Buffalo Sabres have covered the 2P Puck Line in 15 of their last 25 games at home (+8.60 Units / 30% ROI)
Red Wings Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Red Wings are 36-35 against the spread this NHL season (-0.4 Units / -0.37% ROI).
- Red Wings are 38-33 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.95 Units /3.47% ROI
- Red Wings are 31-34 when betting the Over for -6.05 Units / -7.65% ROI
- Red Wings are 34-31 when betting the Under for +0.75 Units /0.97% ROI
Sabres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Sabres are 42-30 against the spread this NHL season (+15.8 Units /14.82% ROI).
- Sabres are 44-28 when betting on the Moneyline for +16.1 Units / 18.36% ROI
- Sabres are 33-36 when betting the Over for -6.9 Units / -8.56% ROI
- Sabres are 36-33 when betting the Under for +0.3 Units / 0.38% ROI
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions for for Sabres vs Red Wings
| Player Name | Odds to Score a Goal |
|---|---|
| Alex Debrincat (DET) | +160 |
| Tage Thompson (Buf) | +160 |
| Alex Tuch (BUF) | +195 |
| Dylan Larkin (DET) | +200 |
| Josh Norris (BUF) | +260 |
| Lucas Raymond (DET) | +260 |
Points Per Game Predictions for Sabres vs Red Wings
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Owen Power (BUF) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -285 |
| Ryan McLeod (BUF) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -145 |
| Jason Zucker (BUF) | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -125 |
| Andrew Copp (DET) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Josh Doan (BUF) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Sabres vs Red Wings
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Jason Zucker (BUF) | 1.5 -185 | 1.5 +135 |
| Justin Faulk (DET) | 1.5 +105 | 1.5 -145 |
| Josh Doan (BUF) | 1.5 -165 | 1.5 +125 |
| Rasmus Dahlin (BUF) | 2.5 +110 | 2.5 -150 |
| Lucas Raymond (DET) | 2.5 +115 | 2.5 -160 |
Red Wings: Keys to the Game vs. Sabres
The Red Wings are 38-31 (.551) this season — 10th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Red Wings are 24-2 (.923) when scoring 4 or more non-shootout goals this season — tied for 6th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .868
The Red Wings are 32-25 (.561) when creating 14 or more high danger chances this season — 10th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .530
The Red Wings were 14-27 (.341) when allowing 14 or more high danger chances last season — 4th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .432
Sabres: Keys to the Game vs. Red Wings
The Sabres are 42-28 (.600) this season — tied for 4th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Sabres were 34-45 (.430) last season — 9th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Sabres are 27-9 (.750) when having 3 or more xG. this season — 3rd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .599
The Sabres are 15-11 (.577) when outshooting their opponents this season — 9th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .514
Red Wings Offensive Stats & Trends
The Red Wings scored on 2% of second chance opportunities in the second period last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 16%
The Red Wings scored on 11% of second chance opportunities last season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
The Red Wings scored on 8% of second chance opportunities while tied last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
The Red Wings scored on 10% of second chance opportunities in 5v5 situations last season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
Sabres Offensive Stats & Trends
The Sabres have drawn 19 penalties in 4v4 situations this season — most among NHL Teams
The Sabres had 5 forecheck chances in 4v4 situations last season — tied for most among NHL Teams
The Sabres have 0.3 points per game while shorthanded since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.2
The Sabres have 0.3 points per game while shorthanded this season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.1
Red Wings Defensive Stats & Trends
The Red Wings had a .826 save percentage against the power play last season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .854
The Red Wings allowed 0.7 goals per game against the power play last season — tied for 3rd highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.6
The Red Wings have allowed 2.9 goals per game this season — tied for 7th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 3.1
The Red Wings had a .742 slot save percentage against the power play last season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .804
Sabres Defensive Stats & Trends
The Sabres have a .652 slot save percentage in overtime this season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .800
The Sabres allowed 1.3 goals per game in the second period last season — tied for 2nd highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.0
The Sabres made 0.9 saves per game while their opponent is shorthanded last season — 3rd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.7
The Sabres had a .887 save percentage last season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .901
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