- The Red Wings are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Penguins
- Red Wings vs. Penguins Total (Over/Under): 6.5 goals
- TV Channel: FDDT | SNPT
The Detroit Red Wings (39-26) visit PPG Paints Arena to take on the Pittsburgh Penguins (37-21) on Mar. 31 in Pittsburgh, PA. The puck drop is scheduled for 7:00 pm.
The Red Wings are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+200).
The Red Wings vs. Penguins Over/Under is 6.5 total goals.
Red Wings vs. Penguins Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
Red Wings vs Penguins Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Red Wings will win this game with 54.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Red Wings vs Penguins Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Red Wings will cover the spread with 54.2% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Red Wings Best Bets & Trends
- The Detroit Red Wings have hit the 1P Game Total Under in 10 of their last 11 games (+9.10 Units / 79% ROI)
- The Detroit Red Wings have covered the Puck Line in 15 of their last 20 away games (+8.85 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Detroit Red Wings have hit the 2P Game Total Under in 10 of their last 14 away games (+6.70 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Detroit Red Wings have covered the 2P Puck Line in 17 of their last 25 away games (+6.35 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Detroit Red Wings have hit the 2P Moneyline in 12 of their last 25 away games (+6.00 Units / 22% ROI)
Penguins Best Bets & Trends
- The Pittsburgh Penguins have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 13 games (+10.70 Units / 71% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Penguins have covered the 1P Puck Line in 14 of their last 20 games at home (+10.35 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Penguins have hit the 1P Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games at home (+7.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Penguins have hit the 3P Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+7.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Penguins have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 12 of their last 25 games (+5.85 Units / 21% ROI)
Red Wings Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Red Wings are 37-36 against the spread this NHL season (-0.4 Units / -0.36% ROI).
- Red Wings are 39-34 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.85 Units /3.27% ROI
- Red Wings are 33-34 when betting the Over for -4.05 Units / -4.98% ROI
- Red Wings are 34-33 when betting the Under for -1.45 Units /-1.82% ROI
Penguins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Penguins are 43-31 against the spread this NHL season (+9.1 Units /7.85% ROI).
- Penguins are 37-37 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.25 Units / 2.64% ROI
- Penguins are 41-31 when betting the Over for +6.75 Units / 8.21% ROI
- Penguins are 31-41 when betting the Under for -13.9 Units / -17.02% ROI
Points Per Game Predictions for Penguins vs Red Wings
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Kris Letang (PIT) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Ben Kindel (PIT) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Patrick Kane (DET) | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| Moritz Seider (DET) | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
| Thomas Novak (PIT) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Penguins vs Red Wings
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Kris Letang (PIT) | 1.5 +115 | 1.5 -155 |
| Ben Kindel (PIT) | 1.5 -160 | 1.5 +120 |
| Patrick Kane (DET) | 2.5 -130 | 2.5 -105 |
| Moritz Seider (DET) | 2.5 -110 | 2.5 -120 |
| Thomas Novak (PIT) | 1.5 +100 | 1.5 -140 |
Red Wings: Keys to the Game vs. Penguins
The Red Wings are 8-4 (.667) when tied after the second period this season — tied for 5th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Red Wings are 51-14 (.785) when leading after the first period since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 10th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .734
The Red Wings are 27-2 (.931) when allowing 2 or fewer non-shootout goals this season — 4th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .834
The Red Wings are 16-2 (.889) when leading after the first period this season — 3rd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .724
Penguins: Keys to the Game vs. Red Wings
The Penguins are 5-83 (.057) when scoring 2 or fewer non-shootout goals since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .152
The Penguins were 5-18 (.217) when tied after the first period last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Penguins are 68-85 (.444) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 7th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Penguins were 33-48 (.407) last season — 5th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
Red Wings Offensive Stats & Trends
The Red Wings scored on 2% of second chance opportunities in the second period last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 16%
The Red Wings scored on 11% of second chance opportunities last season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
The Red Wings have scored on 17% of cycle chances while leading this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10%
The Red Wings scored on 10% of second chance opportunities in 5v5 situations last season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
Penguins Offensive Stats & Trends
The Penguins have 8 second chance scoring opportunities in overtime this season — most among NHL Teams
The Penguins have 27 inner slot shots in overtime this season — most among NHL Teams
The Penguins have 4 forecheck chances in overtime this season — tied for 2nd most among NHL Teams
The Penguins have 10 second chance scoring opportunities in overtime since the start of the 2024-25 season — most among NHL Teams
Red Wings Defensive Stats & Trends
The Red Wings have allowed opponents to score on 6% of rush chances in the second period this season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10%
The Red Wings had a .720 slot save percentage while their opponent is shorthanded last season — 3rd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .832
The Red Wings have allowed opponents to score on 8% of cycle chances this season — tied for 4th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 9%
The Red Wings have allowed opponents to score on 12% of second chance opportunities this season — 6th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 15%
Penguins Defensive Stats & Trends
The Penguins allowed opponents to score on 16% of rush chances last season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 11%
The Penguins allowed opponents to score on 16% of rush chances in 5v5 situations last season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10%
The Penguins have made 1.0 saves per game while their opponent is shorthanded since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.7
The Penguins have allowed 0.6 high danger chances per game while their opponent is shorthanded this season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.4
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