- The Lightning are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Red Wings
- Red Wings vs. Lightning Total (Over/Under): 6 goals
- TV Channel: SPOT | FDDT
The Detroit Red Wings (41-30) visit Benchmark International Arena to take on the Tampa Bay Lightning (49-25) on Apr. 13 in Tampa, FL. The puck drop is scheduled for 7:00 pm.
The Lightning are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+118).
The Red Wings vs. Lightning Over/Under is 6 total goals.
Red Wings vs. Lightning Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
Red Wings vs Lightning Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Lightning will win this game with 87.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Red Wings vs Lightning Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Lightning will cover the spread with 74.7% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Red Wings Best Bets & Trends
- The Detroit Red Wings have hit the 2P Game Total Under in 12 of their last 20 away games (+8.25 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Detroit Red Wings have covered the Puck Line in 14 of their last 20 away games (+7.15 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Detroit Red Wings have hit the 3P Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.40 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Detroit Red Wings have hit the 1P Game Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games (+6.15 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Detroit Red Wings have covered the 3P Puck Line in 9 of their last 14 games (+4.90 Units / 28% ROI)
Lightning Best Bets & Trends
- The Tampa Bay Lightning have covered the 2P Puck Line in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+8.10 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Lightning have hit the 3P Game Total Over in 8 of their last 14 games at home (+6.65 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Lightning have hit the 2P Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+6.55 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Lightning have hit the 3P Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 games (+6.10 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Lightning have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 12 of their last 25 games at home (+6.10 Units / 20% ROI)
Red Wings Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Red Wings are 40-40 against the spread this NHL season (-0.45 Units / -0.38% ROI).
- Red Wings are 41-39 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.15 Units /-1.2% ROI
- Red Wings are 37-36 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -2.48% ROI
- Red Wings are 36-37 when betting the Under for -4.1 Units /-4.67% ROI
Lightning Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Lightning are 39-41 against the spread this NHL season (+10.9 Units /11.34% ROI).
- Lightning are 49-31 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.4 Units / 1.09% ROI
- Lightning are 39-36 when betting the Over for -0.3 Units / -0.34% ROI
- Lightning are 36-39 when betting the Under for -6.75 Units / -7.64% ROI
Points Per Game Predictions for Lightning vs Red Wings
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Patrick Kane (DET) | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +115 |
| Gage Goncalves (TB) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Moritz Seider (DET) | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -130 |
| Brayden Point (TB) | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
| Dylan Larkin (DET) | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Lightning vs Red Wings
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Patrick Kane (DET) | 2.5 +115 | 2.5 -160 |
| Moritz Seider (DET) | 1.5 -160 | 1.5 +115 |
| Dylan Larkin (DET) | 2.5 -160 | 2.5 +115 |
| Nikita Kucherov (TB) | 3.5 +120 | 3.5 -160 |
| Anthony Cirelli (TB) | 1.5 -110 | 1.5 -120 |
Red Wings: Keys to the Game vs. Lightning
The Red Wings were 14-27 (.341) when allowing 14 or more high danger chances last season — 4th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .432
The Red Wings were 14-10 (.583) when allowing 35 or more shots on goal last season — 9th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .444
The Red Wings are 51-14 (.785) when leading after the first period since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 10th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .734
The Red Wings are 8-5 (.615) when tied after the second period this season — 6th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
Lightning: Keys to the Game vs. Red Wings
The Lightning are 48-29 (.623) this season — 3rd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Lightning are 129-90 (.589) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Lightning were 46-33 (.582) last season — 10th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Lightning are 15-6 (.714) when tied after the first period this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
Red Wings Offensive Stats & Trends
The Red Wings scored on 2% of second chance opportunities in the second period last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 16%
The Red Wings scored on 11% of second chance opportunities last season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
The Red Wings have scored on 17% of cycle chances while leading this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10%
The Red Wings scored on 8% of second chance opportunities while tied last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
Lightning Offensive Stats & Trends
The Lightning averaged 17.6 high danger chances per game last season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 15.0
The Lightning averaged 0.6 high danger chances per game while shorthanded last season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.4
The Lightning have 2.5 rush chances per game in the first period since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 2.0
The Lightning had 5 cycle chances while shorthanded last season — 2nd most among NHL Teams
Red Wings Defensive Stats & Trends
The Red Wings had a .720 slot save percentage while their opponent is shorthanded last season — 3rd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .832
The Red Wings allowed 5.8 rush chances per game last season — 3rd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 6.4
The Red Wings had 2,471 puck battle wins last season — 10th most among NHL Teams
The Red Wings have allowed opponents to score on 8% of cycle chances this season — tied for 4th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 9%
Lightning Defensive Stats & Trends
The Lightning had a .667 slot save percentage while their opponent is shorthanded last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .832
The Lightning allowed opponents to score on 5% of second chance opportunities in 5v5 situations last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
The Lightning had a .800 save percentage while their opponent is shorthanded last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .893
The Lightning allowed opponents to score on 10% of second chance opportunities last season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
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