- The Rangers are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Maple Leafs
- Rangers vs. Maple Leafs Total (Over/Under): 6 goals
- TV Channel: RSN | TVA | MSG
The New York Rangers (28-34) visit Scotiabank Arena to take on the Toronto Maple Leafs (30-29) on Mar. 25 in Toronto, ON. The puck drop is scheduled for 7:30 pm.
The Rangers are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+195).
The Rangers vs. Maple Leafs Over/Under is 6 total goals.
Rangers vs. Maple Leafs Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread (Puck line) | Total (O/U) | 2-Way Moneyline | |
| Rangers | -1.5 +195 | 6 +100 | -120 |
| Maple Leafs | +1.5 -235 | 6 -120 | +100 |
Rangers vs Maple Leafs Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Rangers will win this game with 56.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Rangers vs Maple Leafs Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Maple Leafs will cover the spread with 52.6% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Rangers Best Bets & Trends
- The New York Rangers have hit the 1P Game Total Over in 14 of their last 15 away games (+13.00 Units / 67% ROI)
- The New York Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 14 away games (+10.75 Units / 67% ROI)
- The New York Rangers have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 12 of their last 25 games (+9.10 Units / 32% ROI)
- The New York Rangers have covered the 1P Puck Line in 17 of their last 25 away games (+5.05 Units / 11% ROI)
- The New York Rangers have hit the 3P Game Total Under in 12 of their last 20 games (+4.60 Units / 21% ROI)
Maple Leafs Best Bets & Trends
- The Toronto Maple Leafs have hit the 1P Game Total Over in 16 of their last 20 games at home (+10.55 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Toronto Maple Leafs have covered the 3P Puck Line in 17 of their last 25 games at home (+8.10 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Toronto Maple Leafs have covered the 2P Puck Line in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.90 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Toronto Maple Leafs have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 12 of their last 25 games (+6.10 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Toronto Maple Leafs have hit the 3P Moneyline in 11 of their last 25 games at home (+4.45 Units / 15% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Rangers are 36-35 against the spread this NHL season (-9.35 Units / -7.91% ROI).
- Rangers are 28-43 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.65 Units /-23.48% ROI
- Rangers are 31-37 when betting the Over for -9.6 Units / -12.12% ROI
- Rangers are 37-31 when betting the Under for +3.85 Units /4.95% ROI
Maple Leafs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Maple Leafs are 31-41 against the spread this NHL season (-18.15 Units /-16.81% ROI).
- Maple Leafs are 30-42 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.45 Units / -15.54% ROI
- Maple Leafs are 39-28 when betting the Over for +8 Units / 10.02% ROI
- Maple Leafs are 28-39 when betting the Under for -14.65 Units / -18.54% ROI
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions for for Maple Leafs vs Rangers
| Player Name | Odds to Score a Goal |
|---|---|
| William Nylander (Tor) | +145 |
| Mika Zibanejad (NYR) | +150 |
| John Tavares (Tor) | +170 |
| Alexis Lafreniere (NYR) | +200 |
| Matthew Knies (Tor) | +230 |
| Vincent Trocheck (NYR) | +240 |
Points Per Game Predictions for Maple Leafs vs Rangers
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Vladislav Gavrikov (NYR) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -235 |
| Adam Fox (NYR) | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -110 |
| Alexis Lafreniere (NYR) | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 +100 |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson (TOR) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Gabe Perreault (NYR) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Maple Leafs vs Rangers
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Vladislav Gavrikov (NYR) | 1.5 +105 | 1.5 -140 |
| Adam Fox (NYR) | 1.5 -140 | 1.5 +105 |
| Alexis Lafreniere (NYR) | 2.5 +120 | 2.5 -160 |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson (TOR) | 1.5 -115 | 1.5 -115 |
| Gabe Perreault (NYR) | 1.5 -115 | 1.5 -118 |
Rangers: Keys to the Game vs. Maple Leafs
The Rangers are 27-43 (.386) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Rangers are 18-36 (.333) when allowing 14 or more high danger chances this season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .469
The Rangers are 65-85 (.433) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 6th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Rangers are 5-17 (.227) when tied after the first period this season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
Maple Leafs: Keys to the Game vs. Rangers
The Maple Leafs were 50-29 (.633) last season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Maple Leafs are 30-40 (.429) this season — tied for 7th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Maple Leafs are 123-98 (.557) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Maple Leafs are 80-69 (.537) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 10th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
Rangers Offensive Stats & Trends
The Rangers primary assisted on 14 goals while shorthanded last season — most among NHL Teams
The Rangers had 12.79 expected goals while shorthanded last season — most among NHL Teams
The Rangers had 0.5 points per game while shorthanded last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.2
The Rangers averaged 0.6 high danger chances per game while shorthanded last season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.4
Maple Leafs Offensive Stats & Trends
The Maple Leafs scored on 37% of second chance opportunities on the power play last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
The Maple Leafs have scored on 27% of rush chances in the first period this month — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10%
The Maple Leafs had 571 inner slot shots last season — 8th most among NHL Teams
The Maple Leafs had 5.9 rush chances per game last season — tied for 8th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 6.4
Rangers Defensive Stats & Trends
The Rangers allowed 5 cycle chances while their opponent is shorthanded last season — tied for most among NHL Teams
The Rangers have allowed 44 forecheck chances against the power play this season — most among NHL Teams
The Rangers have allowed 2.4 rush chances per game in the third period this season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.8
The Rangers allowed 1.2 goals per game while tied last season — tied for 2nd highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.0
Maple Leafs Defensive Stats & Trends
The Maple Leafs allowed opponents to score on 8% of cycle chances last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10%
The Maple Leafs have allowed 2.8 rush chances per game in the second period this season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 2.3
The Maple Leafs have allowed 7.5 rush chances per game this season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 6.4
The Maple Leafs have allowed 16 cycle chances in 4v4 situations this season — most among NHL Teams
National Hockey League Betting at BetMGM
At the BetMGM online sportsbook, NHL betting is available throughout the year.
Hockey betting lines are posted for the latest Maple Leafs Stanley Cup odds, Oilers playoffs odds, live betting, and more.
BetMGM also has the odds for the betting favourites to win the Stanley Cup this year.
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