- The Lightning are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Predators
- Predators vs. Lightning Total (Over/Under): 6.5 goals
- TV Channel: SPOT | FDSO
The Nashville Predators (34-30) visit Benchmark International Arena to take on the Tampa Bay Lightning (45-21) on Mar. 29 in Tampa, FL. The puck drop is scheduled for 5:00 pm.
The Lightning are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+120).
The Predators vs. Lightning Over/Under is 6.5 total goals.
Predators vs. Lightning Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
Predators vs Lightning Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Lightning will win this game with 90.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Predators vs Lightning Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Lightning will cover the spread with 59.7% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Predators Best Bets & Trends
- The Nashville Predators have covered the 3P Puck Line in 20 of their last 25 away games (+13.50 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Nashville Predators have hit the 3P Game Total Under in 9 of their last 15 games (+8.10 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Nashville Predators have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 12 of their last 25 games (+6.40 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Nashville Predators have hit the 1P Game Total Over in 17 of their last 25 away games (+5.20 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Nashville Predators have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 away games (+5.15 Units / 40% ROI)
Lightning Best Bets & Trends
- The Tampa Bay Lightning have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+10.85 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Lightning have covered the 2P Puck Line in 16 of their last 25 games (+10.60 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Lightning have hit the 2P Moneyline in 16 of their last 25 games (+9.20 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Lightning have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 11 of their last 20 games (+8.45 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Lightning have hit the 3P Moneyline in 14 of their last 25 games at home (+7.70 Units / 17% ROI)
Predators Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Predators are 39-34 against the spread this NHL season (-5.15 Units / -4.17% ROI).
- Predators are 34-39 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.5 Units /-3.11% ROI
- Predators are 34-36 when betting the Over for -6.1 Units / -7.47% ROI
- Predators are 36-34 when betting the Under for -0.6 Units /-0.75% ROI
Lightning Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Lightning are 37-35 against the spread this NHL season (+14.95 Units /17.16% ROI).
- Lightning are 45-27 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.4 Units / 2.05% ROI
- Lightning are 37-30 when betting the Over for +4.4 Units / 5.56% ROI
- Lightning are 30-37 when betting the Under for -10.65 Units / -13.36% ROI
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions for for Lightning vs Predators
| Player Name | Odds to Score a Goal |
|---|---|
| Jake Guentzel (TB) | +130 |
| Brandon Hagel (TB) | +140 |
| Brayden Point (TB) | +180 |
| Filip Forsberg (NAS) | +190 |
| Steven Stamkos (NAS) | +220 |
| Anthony Cirelli (TB) | +250 |
Points Per Game Predictions for Lightning vs Predators
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Gage Goncalves (TB) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Brayden Point (TB) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +150 |
| Steven Stamkos (NAS) | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
| Brady Skjei (NAS) | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Anthony Cirelli (TB) | 0.5 -125 | 0.5 -105 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Lightning vs Predators
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Brayden Point (TB) | 2.5 +100 | 2.5 -135 |
| Steven Stamkos (NAS) | 2.5 +100 | 2.5 -135 |
| Anthony Cirelli (TB) | 1.5 -160 | 1.5 +115 |
| Jonathan Marchessault (NAS) | 1.5 -190 | 1.5 +140 |
| Jake Guentzel (TB) | 2.5 -160 | 2.5 +115 |
Predators: Keys to the Game vs. Lightning
The Predators were 29-52 (.358) last season — 3rd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Predators are undefeated (18-0) when allowing 2 or fewer non-shootout goals this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .834
The Predators are 13-4 (.765) when tied after the second period this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Predators were 5-12 (.294) when tied after the second period last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
Lightning: Keys to the Game vs. Predators
The Lightning are 44-26 (.629) this season — 3rd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Lightning were 46-33 (.582) last season — 10th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Lightning are 129-90 (.589) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Lightning are 90-59 (.604) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 4th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
Predators Offensive Stats & Trends
The Predators scored on 5% of cycle chances in the third period last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 9%
The Predators were 29-52 (.358) last season — 3rd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Predators had 235 forecheck chances last season — 2nd most among NHL Teams
The Predators have scored on 9% of rush chances since the start of the 2024-25 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 11%
Lightning Offensive Stats & Trends
The Lightning primary assisted on 11 goals while shorthanded last season — 2nd most among NHL Teams
The Lightning had 2.7 rush chances per game in the first period last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 2.0
The Lightning had 0.3 points per game while shorthanded last season — tied for 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.2
The Lightning have scored on 30% of second chance opportunities on the power play since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 18%
Predators Defensive Stats & Trends
The Predators have a .682 save percentage in overtime since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .815
The Predators have allowed 1.2 goals per game while tied since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.0
The Predators have allowed 0.0 goals per game while their opponent is shorthanded this season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.1
The Predators have allowed 1.1 goals per game in the first period this season — tied for highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.9
Lightning Defensive Stats & Trends
The Lightning had a .667 slot save percentage while their opponent is shorthanded last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .832
The Lightning allowed opponents to score on 5% of second chance opportunities in 5v5 situations last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
The Lightning had a .800 save percentage while their opponent is shorthanded last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .893
The Lightning have allowed 4.5 high danger chances per game while tied this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 6.1
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