- The Sabres are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Penguins
- Penguins vs. Sabres Total (Over/Under): 6.5 goals
- TV Channel: MSGB | SNPT | RSNE
The Pittsburgh Penguins (28-15) visit KeyBank Center to take on the Buffalo Sabres (32-18) on Feb. 5 in Buffalo, NY. The puck drop is scheduled for 7:00 pm.
The Sabres are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+170).
The Penguins vs. Sabres Over/Under is 6.5 total goals.
Penguins vs. Sabres Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread (Puck line) | Total (O/U) | 2-Way Moneyline | |
| Penguins | +1.5 -210 | 6.5 +100 | +110 |
| Sabres | -1.5 +170 | 6.5 -120 | -135 |
Penguins vs Sabres Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Sabres will win this game with 64.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Penguins vs Sabres Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Penguins will cover the spread with 52.9% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Penguins Best Bets & Trends
- The Pittsburgh Penguins have hit the 2P Moneyline in 13 of their last 25 away games (+9.25 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Penguins have covered the Puck Line in 17 of their last 25 away games (+8.45 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Penguins have covered the 1P Puck Line in 13 of their last 20 games (+8.25 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Penguins have hit the 1P Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games (+6.55 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Penguins have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.90 Units / 23% ROI)
Sabres Best Bets & Trends
- The Buffalo Sabres have covered the Puck Line in 20 of their last 25 games (+23.05 Units / 66% ROI)
- The Buffalo Sabres have covered the 2P Puck Line in 19 of their last 25 games (+16.40 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Buffalo Sabres have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 25 games (+13.70 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Buffalo Sabres have hit the 2P Moneyline in 16 of their last 25 games at home (+12.85 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Buffalo Sabres have covered the 1P Puck Line in 12 of their last 15 games (+11.25 Units / 48% ROI)
Penguins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Penguins are 33-22 against the spread this NHL season (+12.55 Units / 15.06% ROI).
- Penguins are 28-27 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.2 Units /3.42% ROI
- Penguins are 28-25 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 1.16% ROI
- Penguins are 25-28 when betting the Under for -6.35 Units /-10.33% ROI
Sabres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Sabres are 33-23 against the spread this NHL season (+11 Units /12.96% ROI).
- Sabres are 32-24 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.4 Units / 14.55% ROI
- Sabres are 27-26 when betting the Over for -1.3 Units / -2.11% ROI
- Sabres are 26-27 when betting the Under for -3.85 Units / -6.21% ROI
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions for for Sabres vs Penguins
| Player Name | Odds to Score a Goal |
|---|---|
| Tage Thompson (Buf) | +115 |
| Sidney Crosby (Pit) | +180 |
| Alex Tuch (BUF) | +190 |
| Rickard Rakell (Pit) | +190 |
| Bryan Rust (Pit) | +225 |
| Evgeni Malkin (Pit) | +240 |
Points Per Game Predictions for Sabres vs Penguins
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Owen Power (BUF) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Ben Kindel (PIT) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Thomas Novak (PIT) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Erik Karlsson (PIT) | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -118 |
| Ryan McLeod (BUF) | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -118 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Sabres vs Penguins
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Owen Power (BUF) | 1.5 +100 | 1.5 -135 |
| Ben Kindel (PIT) | 1.5 -110 | 1.5 -120 |
| Erik Karlsson (PIT) | 2.5 +145 | 2.5 -200 |
| Bryan Rust (PIT) | 2.5 +100 | 2.5 -140 |
| Evgeni Malkin (PIT) | 1.5 -185 | 1.5 +135 |
Penguins: Keys to the Game vs. Sabres
The Penguins were 33-48 (.407) last season — 5th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Penguins were 5-18 (.217) when tied after the first period last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Penguins were 26-42 (.382) when allowing 5 or more rush chances last season — tied for 7th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .456
The Penguins were 11-20 (.355) when drawing more penalties last season — 5th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .508
Sabres: Keys to the Game vs. Penguins
The Sabres were 34-45 (.430) last season — 9th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Sabres were 16-14 (.533) when winning the xG advantage last season — 3rd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .694
The Sabres were 2-28 (.067) when scoring 2 or fewer non-shootout goals last season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .144
The Sabres were 6-11 (.353) when tied after the second period last season — tied for 5th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
Penguins Offensive Stats & Trends
The Penguins had 66 second chance scoring opportunities in the third period last season — 2nd most among NHL Teams
The Penguins were 33-48 (.407) last season — 5th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Penguins had 0.2 rush chances per game while shorthanded last season — tied for lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.4
The Penguins scored on 9% of second chance opportunities while tied last season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
Sabres Offensive Stats & Trends
The Sabres had 5 forecheck chances in 4v4 situations last season — tied for most among NHL Teams
The Sabres had 0.3 points per game while shorthanded last season — tied for 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.2
The Sabres had 19 cycle chances in 4v4 situations last season — most among NHL Teams
The Sabres had 8.6 points per game last season — tied for 9th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 8.1
Penguins Defensive Stats & Trends
The Penguins made 1.0 saves per game while their opponent is shorthanded last season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.7
The Penguins allowed opponents to score on 17% of rush chances while tied last season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10%
The Penguins made 81 saves while their opponent is shorthanded last season — tied for most among NHL Teams
The Penguins allowed opponents to score on 17% of rush chances in the first period last season — tied for highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10%
Sabres Defensive Stats & Trends
The Sabres allowed 1.3 goals per game in the second period last season — tied for 2nd highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.0
The Sabres had 38 successful stick checks in 4v4 situations last season — most among NHL Teams
The Sabres had 1,325 successful stick checks last season — 3rd most among NHL Teams
The Sabres made 0.9 saves per game while their opponent is shorthanded last season — 3rd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.7
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