- The Oilers is a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Penguins
- Penguins vs. Oilers Total (Over/Under): 6.5 goals
- TV Channel: SNPT | RSNW | TVA
The Pittsburgh Penguins (24-14) visit Rogers Place to take on the Edmonton Oilers (25-18) on Jan. 22 in Edmonton. The puck drop is scheduled for 9:00 pm.
The Oilers are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+140).
The Penguins vs. Oilers Over/Under is 6.5 total goals.
Penguins vs. Oilers Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread (Puck line) | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Penguins | +1.5 -170 | 6.5 -115 | +290 |
| Oilers | -1.5 +140 | 6.5 -105 | -105 |
Penguins vs Oilers Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Oilers will win this game with 74.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Penguins vs Oilers Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Penguins will cover the spread with 60.9% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Penguins Best Bets & Trends
- The Pittsburgh Penguins have covered the Puck Line in 19 of their last 25 away games (+12.45 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Penguins have covered the 1P Puck Line in 10 of their last 13 games (+10.05 Units / 59% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Penguins have hit the 2P Moneyline in 11 of their last 25 away games (+7.25 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Penguins have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 25 away games (+6.80 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Penguins have hit the 1P Moneyline in 15 of their last 25 games (+6.75 Units / 23% ROI)
Oilers Best Bets & Trends
- The Edmonton Oilers have covered the 2P Puck Line in 16 of their last 25 games (+12.60 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Edmonton Oilers have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 25 games at home (+8.20 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Edmonton Oilers have hit the 2P Moneyline in 15 of their last 25 games (+7.10 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Edmonton Oilers have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 12 of their last 25 games at home (+6.10 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Edmonton Oilers have hit the 3P Game Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.40 Units / 108% ROI)
Penguins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Penguins are 30-19 against the spread this NHL season (+12.15 Units / 16.12% ROI).
- Penguins are 24-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.2 Units /-0.36% ROI
- Penguins are 24-23 when betting the Over for-0.95 Units / -1.78% ROI
- Penguins are 23-24 when betting the Under for-3.9 Units /-7.11% ROI
Oilers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Oilers are 21-30 against the spread this NHL season (-3.4 Units /-5.58% ROI).
- Oilers are 25-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.2 Units / -16.1% ROI
- Oilers are 27-23 when betting the Over for+1.8 Units / 3.19% ROI
- Oilers are 23-27 when betting the Under for-6.5 Units / -11.56% ROI
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions for for Oilers vs Penguins
| Player Name | Odds to Score a Goal |
|---|---|
| Connor McDavid (EDM) | +105 |
| Zach Hyman (Edm) | +130 |
| Sidney Crosby (Pit) | +170 |
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (EDM) | +210 |
| Bryan Rust (Pit) | +230 |
| Rickard Rakell (Pit) | +230 |
Points Per Game Predictions for Oilers vs Penguins
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (EDM) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Ben Kindel (PIT) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Connor McDavid (EDM) | 1.5 -145 | 1.5 +110 |
| Evan Bouchard (EDM) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Vasily Podkolzin (EDM) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Oilers vs Penguins
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (EDM) | 1.5 -190 | 1.5 +140 |
| Ben Kindel (PIT) | 1.5 +105 | 1.5 -145 |
| Connor McDavid (EDM) | 3.5 -140 | 3.5 +100 |
| Darnell Nurse (EDM) | 1.5 -150 | 1.5 +110 |
| Evan Bouchard (EDM) | 2.5 +120 | 2.5 -160 |
Penguins: Keys to the Game vs. Oilers
The Penguins were 33-48 (.407) last season — 5th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Penguins were 5-18 (.217) when tied after the first period last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Penguins are 10-25 (.286) when tied after the first period since the start of the 2024-25 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Penguins are winless (0-16) when scoring 2 or fewer non-shootout goals this season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .173
Oilers: Keys to the Game vs. Penguins
The Oilers are 120-90 (.571) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Oilers were 47-32 (.595) last season — tied for 6th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Oilers are 2-5 (.286) when tied after the second period this season — 3rd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Oilers are 8-5 (.615) when recording 35 or more shots on goal this season — 7th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
Penguins Offensive Stats & Trends
The Penguins have 0.2 rush chances per game on the power play since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.3
The Penguins have 15.7 slot shots per game this season — 3rd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 13.9
The Penguins scored on 12% of second chance opportunities last season — 3rd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
The Penguins have scored on 8% of rush chances while tied since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 11%
Oilers Offensive Stats & Trends
The Oilers have scored 20 power play goals in the first period this season — most among NHL Teams
The Oilers have 59.92 expected goals in the first period this season — most among NHL Teams
The Oilers averaged 1.27 expected goals per game while tied last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.03
The Oilers have averaged 1.20 expected goals per game in the first period this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.94
Penguins Defensive Stats & Trends
The Penguins allowed opponents to score on 16% of rush chances last season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 11%
The Penguins allowed opponents to score on 19% of rush chances in the third period last season — 2nd highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 13%
The Penguins have allowed 0.5 high danger chances per game while their opponent is shorthanded since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.4
The Penguins allowed opponents to score on 16% of rush chances in 5v5 situations last season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10%
Oilers Defensive Stats & Trends
The Oilers have allowed opponents to score on 29% of second chance opportunities this season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 16%
The Oilers have allowed opponents to score on 30% of second chance opportunities in 5v5 situations this season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 15%
The Oilers have allowed opponents to score on 23% of second chance opportunities since the start of the 2024-25 season — 2nd highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
The Oilers have allowed 0.1 goals per game while their opponent is shorthanded this season — tied for highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.1
National Hockey League Betting at BetMGM
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