- The Islanders are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Penguins
- Penguins vs. Islanders Total (Over/Under): 6 goals
- TV Channel: MSGS | SNPT | TVA | NHL
The Pittsburgh Penguins (36-21) visit UBS Arena to take on the New York Islanders (42-27) on Mar. 30 in Elmont, NY. The puck drop is scheduled for 7:00 pm.
The Islanders are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+195).
The Penguins vs. Islanders Over/Under is 6 total goals.
Penguins vs. Islanders Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
Penguins vs Islanders Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Islanders will win this game with 56.9% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Penguins vs Islanders Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Penguins will cover the spread with 54.9% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Penguins Best Bets & Trends
- The Pittsburgh Penguins have covered the 2P Puck Line in 11 of their last 12 away games (+11.05 Units / 59% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Penguins have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 12 games (+9.70 Units / 69% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Penguins have hit the 2P Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 away games (+8.45 Units / 65% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Penguins have covered the Puck Line in 17 of their last 25 away games (+7.90 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Penguins have hit the 3P Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+6.00 Units / 41% ROI)
Islanders Best Bets & Trends
- The New York Islanders have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 games at home (+6.85 Units / 29% ROI)
- The New York Islanders have covered the Puck Line in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+5.70 Units / 16% ROI)
- The New York Islanders have hit the 1P Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+5.40 Units / 43% ROI)
- The New York Islanders have covered the 1P Puck Line in 6 of their last 8 games (+5.05 Units / 40% ROI)
- The New York Islanders have hit the 3P Game Total Under in 11 of their last 25 games (+4.50 Units / 16% ROI)
Penguins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Penguins are 42-31 against the spread this NHL season (+8.1 Units / 7.13% ROI).
- Penguins are 36-37 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.15 Units /1.36% ROI
- Penguins are 40-31 when betting the Over for +5.75 Units / 7.08% ROI
- Penguins are 31-40 when betting the Under for -12.7 Units /-15.79% ROI
Islanders Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Islanders are 39-35 against the spread this NHL season (-6.75 Units /-5.37% ROI).
- Islanders are 42-32 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.95 Units / 12.63% ROI
- Islanders are 33-39 when betting the Over for -9.55 Units / -11.67% ROI
- Islanders are 39-33 when betting the Under for +3.45 Units / 4.21% ROI
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions for for Islanders vs Penguins
| Player Name | Odds to Score a Goal |
|---|---|
| Bo Horvat (NYI) | +155 |
| Sidney Crosby (Pit) | +200 |
| Mathew Barzal (NYI) | +230 |
| Bryan Rust (Pit) | +240 |
| Rickard Rakell (Pit) | +240 |
| Yegor Chinakhov (PIT) | +250 |
Points Per Game Predictions for Islanders vs Penguins
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Calum Ritchie (NYI) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Ben Kindel (PIT) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Bo Horvat (NYI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Erik Karlsson (PIT) | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
| Brayden Schenn (NYI) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Islanders vs Penguins
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Calum Ritchie (NYI) | 1.5 +105 | 1.5 -145 |
| Ben Kindel (PIT) | 1.5 -135 | 1.5 +100 |
| Bo Horvat (NYI) | 3.5 -105 | 3.5 -130 |
| Thomas Novak (PIT) | 1.5 +105 | 1.5 -145 |
| Erik Karlsson (PIT) | 2.5 -118 | 2.5 -115 |
Penguins: Keys to the Game vs. Islanders
The Penguins were 33-48 (.407) last season — 5th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Penguins are 102-120 (.459) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Penguins are winless (0-23) when scoring 2 or fewer non-shootout goals this season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .167
The Penguins are 13-28 (.317) when tied after the first period since the start of the 2024-25 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
Islanders: Keys to the Game vs. Penguins
The Islanders are 41-31 (.569) this season — tied for 7th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Islanders were 34-46 (.425) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Islanders were 4-10 (.286) when tied after the second period last season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Islanders are 28-3 (.903) when allowing 2 or fewer non-shootout goals this season — tied for 6th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .833
Penguins Offensive Stats & Trends
The Penguins have 8 second chance scoring opportunities in overtime this season — most among NHL Teams
The Penguins have 58 cycle chances in overtime since the start of the 2024-25 season — most among NHL Teams
The Penguins have 27 inner slot shots in overtime this season — most among NHL Teams
The Penguins have 42 inner slot shots in overtime since the start of the 2024-25 season — most among NHL Teams
Islanders Offensive Stats & Trends
The Islanders had 0.3 points per game while shorthanded last season — tied for 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.2
The Islanders scored on 15% of rush chances in the second period last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10%
The Islanders recorded 2,557 shots last season — 5th most among NHL Teams
The Islanders have 798 cycle chances this season — 4th most among NHL Teams
Penguins Defensive Stats & Trends
The Penguins allowed opponents to score on 16% of rush chances last season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 11%
The Penguins allowed opponents to score on 16% of rush chances in 5v5 situations last season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10%
The Penguins have allowed 0.6 high danger chances per game while their opponent is shorthanded this season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.4
The Penguins have allowed 0.5 high danger chances per game while their opponent is shorthanded since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for 2nd highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.4
Islanders Defensive Stats & Trends
The Islanders have allowed opponents to score on 6% of cycle chances this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 9%
The Islanders have a .846 slot save percentage since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .829
The Islanders have allowed opponents to score on 9% of second chance opportunities since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 16%
The Islanders have 125.7 goals saved above expected since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 44.8
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