- The Golden Knights are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Penguins
- Penguins vs. Golden Knights Total (Over/Under): 6.5 goals
- TV Channel: SNPT | SCRI | TVA | RSNE
The Pittsburgh Penguins (32-17) visit T-Mobile Arena to take on the Vegas Golden Knights (29-22) on Mar. 12 in Paradise, NV. The puck drop is scheduled for 10:00 pm.
The Golden Knights are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Penguins vs. Golden Knights Over/Under is 6.5 total goals.
Penguins vs. Golden Knights Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread (Puck line) | Total (O/U) | 2-Way Moneyline | |
| Penguins | +1.5 -190 | 6.5 -120 | +125 |
| Golden Knights | -1.5 +155 | 6.5 +100 | -150 |
Penguins vs Golden Knights Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Golden Knights will win this game with 67.8% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Penguins vs Golden Knights Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Penguins will cover the spread with 54.4% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Penguins Best Bets & Trends
- The Pittsburgh Penguins have covered the 1P Puck Line in 14 of their last 20 games (+10.55 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Penguins have hit the 2P Moneyline in 12 of their last 25 away games (+8.85 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Penguins have covered the Puck Line in 15 of their last 25 games (+8.15 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Penguins have hit the 1P Moneyline in 11 of their last 20 games (+7.85 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Penguins have covered the 2P Puck Line in 6 of their last 7 away games (+6.05 Units / 60% ROI)
Golden Knights Best Bets & Trends
- The Vegas Golden Knights have covered the 3P Puck Line in 14 of their last 20 games (+10.70 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Vegas Golden Knights have hit the 1P Game Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+7.85 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Vegas Golden Knights have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 25 games at home (+5.30 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Vegas Golden Knights have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 13 of their last 25 games (+5.20 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Vegas Golden Knights have hit the 3P Moneyline in 14 of their last 25 games (+5.15 Units / 15% ROI)
Penguins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Penguins are 38-26 against the spread this NHL season (+12.7 Units / 12.99% ROI).
- Penguins are 32-32 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.8 Units /1.07% ROI
- Penguins are 32-30 when betting the Over for -0.95 Units / -1.34% ROI
- Penguins are 30-32 when betting the Under for -5.3 Units /-7.47% ROI
Golden Knights Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Golden Knights are 25-40 against the spread this NHL season (-10.2 Units /-12.56% ROI).
- Golden Knights are 29-36 when betting on the Moneyline for -21.65 Units / -21.45% ROI
- Golden Knights are 33-29 when betting the Over for +1.25 Units / 1.73% ROI
- Golden Knights are 29-33 when betting the Under for -6.8 Units / -9.5% ROI
Points Per Game Predictions for Golden Knights vs Penguins
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Ben Kindel (PIT) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Thomas Novak (PIT) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Erik Karlsson (PIT) | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 +100 |
| Mitch Marner (VEG) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Tomas Hertl (VEG) | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Golden Knights vs Penguins
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Ben Kindel (PIT) | 1.5 -110 | 1.5 -125 |
| Thomas Novak (PIT) | 1.5 -105 | 1.5 -130 |
| Erik Karlsson (PIT) | 2.5 +115 | 2.5 -155 |
| Mitch Marner (VEG) | 1.5 -155 | 1.5 +115 |
| Tomas Hertl (VEG) | 2.5 +130 | 2.5 -175 |
Penguins: Keys to the Game vs. Golden Knights
The Penguins are 12-28 (.300) when tied after the first period since the start of the 2024-25 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Penguins are 102-120 (.459) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Penguins were 33-48 (.407) last season — 5th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Penguins are winless (0-20) when scoring 2 or fewer non-shootout goals this season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .166
Golden Knights: Keys to the Game vs. Penguins
The Golden Knights are 29-36 (.446) this season — 9th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Golden Knights were 48-31 (.608) last season — tied for 4th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Golden Knights are 121-100 (.548) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Golden Knights are 77-67 (.535) since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for 10th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
Penguins Offensive Stats & Trends
The Penguins have 7 second chance scoring opportunities in overtime this season — most among NHL Teams
The Penguins have 16.4 slot shots per game this season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 14.0
The Penguins have 23 inner slot shots in overtime this season — most among NHL Teams
The Penguins scored on 12% of second chance opportunities last season — 3rd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
Golden Knights Offensive Stats & Trends
The Golden Knights had 12.2 slot shots per game in 5v5 situations last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10.2
The Golden Knights had 15.4 slot shots per game last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 13.6
The Golden Knights recorded 2,544 shots last season — 6th most among NHL Teams
The Golden Knights secondary assisted on 202 goals last season — 5th most among NHL Teams
Penguins Defensive Stats & Trends
The Penguins allowed opponents to score on 16% of rush chances last season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 11%
The Penguins allowed opponents to score on 16% of rush chances in 5v5 situations last season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10%
The Penguins have allowed 0.8 goals per game while tied this season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.0
The Penguins have allowed 0.5 high danger chances per game while their opponent is shorthanded since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.4
Golden Knights Defensive Stats & Trends
The Golden Knights have allowed 11 forecheck chances in overtime since the start of the 2023-24 season — most among NHL Teams
The Golden Knights have allowed 7 forecheck chances in overtime this season — most among NHL Teams
The Golden Knights have allowed 9 forecheck chances in overtime since the start of the 2024-25 season — most among NHL Teams
The Golden Knights have allowed 0.2 high danger chances per game while their opponent is shorthanded since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.4
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