- The Flyers are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Penguins
- Penguins vs. Flyers Total (Over/Under): 5.5 goals
- TV Channel: TNT | tru | HBOM | R360
The Pittsburgh Penguins visit Xfinity Mobile Arena to take on the Philadelphia Flyers on Apr. 29 in Philadelphia, PA. The puck drop is scheduled for 7:30 pm.
The Flyers are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+200).
The Penguins vs. Flyers Over/Under is 5.5 total goals.
Penguins vs. Flyers Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
Penguins vs Flyers Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Flyers will win this game with 59.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Penguins vs Flyers Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Penguins will cover the spread with 51.5% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Penguins Best Bets & Trends
- The Pittsburgh Penguins have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 25 games (+11.70 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Penguins have covered the 1P Puck Line in 12 of their last 15 games (+11.15 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Penguins have hit the 1P Moneyline in 9 of their last 15 games (+9.55 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Penguins have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 13 of their last 25 games (+8.70 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Penguins have hit the 1P Game Total Under in 8 of their last 9 games (+7.75 Units / 81% ROI)
Flyers Best Bets & Trends
- The Philadelphia Flyers have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 25 games (+12.95 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Flyers have covered the 2P Puck Line in 18 of their last 25 games (+9.70 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Flyers have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 10 of their last 20 games (+9.40 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Flyers have covered the Puck Line in 18 of their last 25 games (+8.40 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Flyers have hit the 3P Game Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+7.75 Units / 35% ROI)
Penguins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Penguins are 48-39 against the spread this NHL season (+3.85 Units / 2.85% ROI).
- Penguins are 43-44 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.2 Units /0.2% ROI
- Penguins are 49-36 when betting the Over for +8.75 Units / 8.91% ROI
- Penguins are 36-49 when betting the Under for -16.85 Units /-17.74% ROI
Flyers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Flyers are 56-31 against the spread this NHL season (+15.85 Units /10.67% ROI).
- Flyers are 46-41 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.45 Units / 12.94% ROI
- Flyers are 40-42 when betting the Over for -6.8 Units / -7.02% ROI
- Flyers are 42-40 when betting the Under for -2.25 Units / -2.36% ROI
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions for for Flyers vs Penguins
| Player Name | Odds to Score a Goal |
|---|---|
| Sidney Crosby (Pit) | +190 |
| Porter Martone (PHI) | +190 |
| Bryan Rust (Pit) | +220 |
| Rickard Rakell (Pit) | +225 |
| Owen Tippett (Phi) | +250 |
| Evgeni Malkin (Pit) | +260 |
Points Per Game Predictions for Flyers vs Penguins
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Rasmus Ristolainen (PHI) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Travis Sanheim (PHI) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Thomas Novak (PIT) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Erik Karlsson (PIT) | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
| Owen Tippett (PHI) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Flyers vs Penguins
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Ben Kindel (PIT) | 1.5 -120 | 1.5 -110 |
| Rasmus Ristolainen (PHI) | 1.5 -130 | 1.5 -105 |
| Tyson Foerster (PHI) | 1.5 -190 | 1.5 +135 |
| Thomas Novak (PIT) | 1.5 +100 | 1.5 -140 |
| Erik Karlsson (PIT) | 2.5 +105 | 2.5 -145 |
Penguins: Keys to the Game vs. Flyers
The Penguins were 33-48 (.407) last season — 5th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Penguins are winless (0-24) when scoring 2 or fewer non-shootout goals this season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .165
The Penguins are 5-83 (.057) when scoring 2 or fewer non-shootout goals since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .152
The Penguins are 72-89 (.447) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 7th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
Flyers: Keys to the Game vs. Penguins
The Flyers were 33-46 (.418) last season — 6th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Flyers are 98-122 (.445) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Flyers are 73-84 (.465) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 9th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Flyers are 61-44 (.581) when winning the xG advantage since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .671
Penguins Offensive Stats & Trends
The Penguins have 8 second chance scoring opportunities in overtime this season — most among NHL Teams
The Penguins have 10 second chance scoring opportunities in overtime since the start of the 2024-25 season — most among NHL Teams
The Penguins have 12.1 slot shots per game in 5v5 situations this season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10.3
The Penguins have 27 inner slot shots in overtime this season — most among NHL Teams
Flyers Offensive Stats & Trends
The Flyers have drawn 9 penalties in overtime since the start of the 2024-25 season — most among NHL Teams
The Flyers have 4 forecheck chances in overtime this season — tied for 2nd most among NHL Teams
The Flyers have 13 cycle chances while shorthanded since the start of the 2023-24 season — most among NHL Teams
The Flyers have secondary assisted on 14 goals while shorthanded since the start of the 2023-24 season — most among NHL Teams
Penguins Defensive Stats & Trends
The Penguins allowed opponents to score on 16% of rush chances last season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 11%
The Penguins allowed opponents to score on 16% of rush chances in 5v5 situations last season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10%
The Penguins have allowed 18 second chance scoring opportunities in the second period this month — most among NHL Teams
The Penguins have allowed opponents to score on 14% of rush chances since the start of the 2024-25 season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 11%
Flyers Defensive Stats & Trends
The Flyers have a .806 slot save percentage since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .828
The Flyers have a .886 save percentage since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .900
The Flyers have allowed 6 forecheck chances in 4v4 situations this season — most among NHL Teams
The Flyers had a .768 slot save percentage in the second period last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .835
National Hockey League Betting at BetMGM
At the BetMGM online sportsbook, NHL betting is available throughout the year.
Hockey betting lines are posted for the latest Maple Leafs Stanley Cup odds, Oilers playoffs odds, live betting, and more.
BetMGM also has the odds for the betting favourites to win the Stanley Cup this year.
The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.
