- The Bruins are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Penguins
- Penguins vs. Bruins Total (Over/Under): 6.5 goals
- TV Channel: NESN | SNPT | TVA | RSNP
The Pittsburgh Penguins (31-15) visit TD Garden to take on the Boston Bruins (33-21) on Mar. 3 in Boston, MA. The puck drop is scheduled for 7:00 pm.
The Bruins are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+195).
The Penguins vs. Bruins Over/Under is 6.5 total goals.
Penguins vs. Bruins Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread (Puck line) | Total (O/U) | 2-Way Moneyline | |
| Penguins | +1.5 -235 | 6.5 -115 | -102 |
| Bruins | -1.5 +195 | 6.5 -105 | -118 |
Penguins vs Bruins Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Bruins will win this game with 60.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Penguins vs Bruins Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Bruins will cover the spread with 59.9% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Penguins Best Bets & Trends
- The Pittsburgh Penguins have covered the 1P Puck Line in 18 of their last 25 games (+14.95 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Penguins have hit the 1P Moneyline in 17 of their last 25 games (+11.65 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Penguins have covered the Puck Line in 13 of their last 20 games (+10.65 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Penguins have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 25 games (+9.00 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Penguins have hit the 2P Moneyline in 12 of their last 25 away games (+7.80 Units / 28% ROI)
Bruins Best Bets & Trends
- The Boston Bruins have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 25 games at home (+14.45 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Boston Bruins have covered the Puck Line in 17 of their last 25 games at home (+11.25 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Boston Bruins have hit the 1P Moneyline in 14 of their last 25 games (+9.30 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Boston Bruins have covered the 2P Puck Line in 17 of their last 25 games at home (+9.15 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Boston Bruins have covered the 1P Puck Line in 16 of their last 25 games (+9.00 Units / 25% ROI)
Penguins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Penguins are 36-23 against the spread this NHL season (+15.2 Units / 16.98% ROI).
- Penguins are 31-28 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.3 Units /6.22% ROI
- Penguins are 29-28 when betting the Over for -1.8 Units / -2.77% ROI
- Penguins are 28-29 when betting the Under for -4.25 Units /-6.47% ROI
Bruins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Bruins are 38-21 against the spread this NHL season (+14.8 Units /15.86% ROI).
- Bruins are 33-26 when betting on the Moneyline for +12 Units / 18.38% ROI
- Bruins are 33-25 when betting the Over for +5.4 Units / 8.29% ROI
- Bruins are 25-33 when betting the Under for -11.4 Units / -17.58% ROI
Points Per Game Predictions for Bruins vs Penguins
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Kris Letang (PIT) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Charlie McAvoy (BOS) | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
| Pavel Zacha (BOS) | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -130 |
| Elias Lindholm (BOS) | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +115 |
| Morgan Geekie (BOS) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Bruins vs Penguins
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Ben Kindel (PIT) | 1.5 -185 | 1.5 +130 |
| Charlie McAvoy (BOS) | 1.5 -110 | 1.5 -125 |
| Pavel Zacha (BOS) | 1.5 -105 | 1.5 -125 |
| Elias Lindholm (BOS) | 1.5 -190 | 1.5 +135 |
| Morgan Geekie (BOS) | 2.5 +100 | 2.5 -140 |
Penguins: Keys to the Game vs. Bruins
The Penguins are 5-83 (.057) when scoring 2 or fewer non-shootout goals since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .152
The Penguins are winless (0-18) when scoring 2 or fewer non-shootout goals this season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .169
The Penguins are 12-25 (.324) when tied after the first period since the start of the 2024-25 season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Penguins are 64-76 (.457) since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for 8th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
Bruins: Keys to the Game vs. Penguins
The Bruins were 32-48 (.400) last season — 4th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Bruins are winless (0-20) when allowing 4 or more non-shootout goals this season — tied for lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .127
The Bruins are 33-26 (.559) this season — tied for 9th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Bruins are 1-18 (.053) when trailing after the second period this season — 3rd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .144
Penguins Offensive Stats & Trends
The Penguins scored on 12% of second chance opportunities last season — 3rd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
The Penguins have 16.5 slot shots per game this season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 14.0
The Penguins have 12.3 slot shots per game in 5v5 situations this season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10.2
The Penguins have 971 slot shots this season — 2nd most among NHL Teams
Bruins Offensive Stats & Trends
The Bruins have scored on 12% of cycle chances this season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 9%
The Bruins have scored on 35% of second chance opportunities in the second period this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 16%
The Bruins had 5.5 rush chances per game last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 6.4
The Bruins have scored on 21% of second chance opportunities since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
Penguins Defensive Stats & Trends
The Penguins allowed opponents to score on 16% of rush chances last season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 11%
The Penguins allowed opponents to score on 16% of rush chances in 5v5 situations last season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10%
The Penguins have allowed 0.8 goals per game while tied this season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.0
The Penguins have allowed 0.5 high danger chances per game while their opponent is shorthanded since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.4
Bruins Defensive Stats & Trends
The Bruins had a .799 slot save percentage last season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .830
The Bruins allowed 7 second chance scoring opportunities while their opponent is shorthanded last season — most among NHL Teams
The Bruins have allowed 0.5 high danger chances per game while their opponent is shorthanded since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.4
The Bruins allowed opponents to score on 21% of rush chances in the third period last season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 13%
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