- The Blues are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Penguins
- Penguins vs. Blues Total (Over/Under): 6.5 goals
- TV Channel: ESPN | SNPT | TVA
The Pittsburgh Penguins (41-24) visit Enterprise Center to take on the St. Louis Blues (35-33) on Apr. 14 in St. Louis, MO. The puck drop is scheduled for 9:30 pm.
The Blues are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+165).
The Penguins vs. Blues Over/Under is 6.5 total goals.
Penguins vs. Blues Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
Penguins vs Blues Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Blues will win this game with 67.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Penguins vs Blues Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Blues will cover the spread with 55.6% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Penguins Best Bets & Trends
- The Pittsburgh Penguins have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 20 games (+13.20 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Penguins have covered the 1P Puck Line in 9 of their last 10 games (+8.80 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Penguins have covered the 2P Puck Line in 12 of their last 15 away games (+8.65 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Penguins have hit the 2P Moneyline in 8 of their last 20 away games (+7.45 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Penguins have covered the Puck Line in 13 of their last 20 away games (+6.95 Units / 22% ROI)
Blues Best Bets & Trends
- The St. Louis Blues have covered the Puck Line in 20 of their last 25 games (+15.90 Units / 38% ROI)
- The St. Louis Blues have covered the 2P Puck Line in 17 of their last 20 games (+15.05 Units / 48% ROI)
- The St. Louis Blues have hit the 3P Moneyline in 14 of their last 25 games (+12.75 Units / 45% ROI)
- The St. Louis Blues have hit the 2P Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games (+9.95 Units / 43% ROI)
- The St. Louis Blues have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games (+8.60 Units / 37% ROI)
Penguins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Penguins are 47-34 against the spread this NHL season (+9.85 Units / 7.85% ROI).
- Penguins are 41-40 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.25 Units /3.42% ROI
- Penguins are 46-33 when betting the Over for +9.25 Units / 10.15% ROI
- Penguins are 33-46 when betting the Under for -16.7 Units /-18.82% ROI
Blues Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Blues are 46-34 against the spread this NHL season (+3.1 Units /2.29% ROI).
- Blues are 35-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.15 Units / -9.06% ROI
- Blues are 34-43 when betting the Over for -13.15 Units / -14.91% ROI
- Blues are 43-34 when betting the Under for +5.5 Units / 6.2% ROI
Points Per Game Predictions for Blues vs Penguins
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Drouin (STL) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Jimmy Snuggerud (STL) | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +110 |
| Jordan Kyrou (STL) | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 -105 |
| Erik Karlsson (PIT) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Pavel Buchnevich (STL) | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -135 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Blues vs Penguins
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Snuggerud (STL) | 2.5 -120 | 2.5 -110 |
| Jordan Kyrou (STL) | 2.5 +125 | 2.5 -175 |
| Erik Karlsson (PIT) | 2.5 +110 | 2.5 -155 |
| Pavel Buchnevich (STL) | 1.5 -110 | 1.5 -125 |
| Bryan Rust (PIT) | 2.5 +105 | 2.5 -145 |
Penguins: Keys to the Game vs. Blues
The Penguins are 5-83 (.057) when scoring 2 or fewer non-shootout goals since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .152
The Penguins were 5-18 (.217) when tied after the first period last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Penguins are winless (0-24) when scoring 2 or fewer non-shootout goals this season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .165
The Penguins are 102-120 (.459) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
Blues: Keys to the Game vs. Penguins
The Blues are 33-44 (.429) this season — 6th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Blues are 16-20 (.444) when winning the xG advantage this season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .644
The Blues are 5-40 (.111) when allowing 3 or more non-shootout goals this season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .282
The Blues are 2-29 (.065) when trailing after the second period this season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .141
Penguins Offensive Stats & Trends
The Penguins have 8 second chance scoring opportunities in overtime this season — most among NHL Teams
The Penguins have 58 cycle chances in overtime since the start of the 2024-25 season — most among NHL Teams
The Penguins have 953 slot shots in 5v5 situations this season — 2nd most among NHL Teams
The Penguins have 16.1 slot shots per game this season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 13.9
Blues Offensive Stats & Trends
The Blues have averaged 0.46 expected goals per game on the power play this season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.62
The Blues have averaged 2.9 high danger chances per game on the power play this season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 3.7
The Blues have 12 forecheck chances while tied this month — most among NHL Teams
The Blues have 41 slot shots in the first period this month — most among NHL Teams
Penguins Defensive Stats & Trends
The Penguins allowed opponents to score on 16% of rush chances in 5v5 situations last season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10%
The Penguins have allowed 0.6 high danger chances per game while their opponent is shorthanded this season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.4
The Penguins allowed opponents to score on 16% of rush chances last season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 11%
The Penguins have allowed 0.6 high danger chances per game while their opponent is shorthanded since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.4
Blues Defensive Stats & Trends
The Blues allowed opponents to score on 17% of cycle chances against the power play last season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 11%
The Blues have allowed 0.0 goals per game while their opponent is shorthanded this season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.1
The Blues have allowed opponents to score on 15% of cycle chances against the power play since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 11%
The Blues have allowed 0.3 high danger chances per game while their opponent is shorthanded since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.4
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