- The Avalanche are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Penguins
- Penguins vs. Avalanche Total (Over/Under): 6.5 goals
- TV Channel: ESPN | Amazon | TVA | SNPT
The Pittsburgh Penguins (33-18) visit Ball Arena to take on the Colorado Avalanche (44-12) on Mar. 16 in Denver, CO. The puck drop is scheduled for 9:30 pm.
The Avalanche are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+105).
The Penguins vs. Avalanche Over/Under is 6.5 total goals.
Penguins vs. Avalanche Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread (Puck line) | Total (O/U) | 2-Way Moneyline | |
| Penguins | +1.5 -130 | 6.5 -102 | +180 |
| Avalanche | -1.5 +105 | 6.5 -118 | -220 |
Penguins vs Avalanche Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Avalanche will win this game with 90.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Penguins vs Avalanche Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Avalanche will cover the spread with 55.2% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Penguins Best Bets & Trends
- The Pittsburgh Penguins have hit the 2P Moneyline in 12 of their last 25 away games (+9.80 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Penguins have covered the 2P Puck Line in 8 of their last 9 away games (+8.05 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Penguins have covered the Puck Line in 10 of their last 15 away games (+6.90 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Penguins have covered the 1P Puck Line in 15 of their last 25 games (+6.50 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Penguins have hit the Game Total Over in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 87% ROI)
Avalanche Best Bets & Trends
- The Colorado Avalanche have covered the 2P Puck Line in 16 of their last 25 games at home (+7.25 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Colorado Avalanche have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+5.90 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Colorado Avalanche have hit the 2P Game Total Under in 11 of their last 20 games at home (+5.35 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Colorado Avalanche have hit the 1P Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+5.15 Units / 64% ROI)
- The Colorado Avalanche have covered the Puck Line in 15 of their last 25 games at home (+4.70 Units / 16% ROI)
Penguins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Penguins are 39-27 against the spread this NHL season (+12 Units / 11.83% ROI).
- Penguins are 33-33 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.05 Units /1.37% ROI
- Penguins are 34-30 when betting the Over for +1.05 Units / 1.44% ROI
- Penguins are 30-34 when betting the Under for -7.55 Units /-10.31% ROI
Avalanche Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Avalanche are 34-31 against the spread this NHL season (+11.5 Units /16.25% ROI).
- Avalanche are 44-21 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.75 Units / 3.53% ROI
- Avalanche are 27-35 when betting the Over for -12.6 Units / -17.12% ROI
- Avalanche are 35-27 when betting the Under for +6.95 Units / 9.89% ROI
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions for for Avalanche vs Penguins
| Player Name | Odds to Score a Goal |
|---|---|
| Nathan MacKinnon (COL) | -125 |
| Martin Necas (COL) | +120 |
| Brock Nelson (Col) | +195 |
| Nazem Kadri (COL) | +220 |
| Bryan Rust (Pit) | +225 |
| Valeri Nichushkin (COL) | +240 |
Points Per Game Predictions for Avalanche vs Penguins
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Thomas Novak (PIT) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -220 |
| Erik Karlsson (PIT) | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -120 |
| Yegor Chinakhov (CBJ) | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -120 |
| Martin Necas (COL) | 1.5 +115 | 1.5 -155 |
| Brent Burns (COL) | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Avalanche vs Penguins
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Ben Kindel (PIT) | 1.5 -105 | 1.5 -130 |
| Thomas Novak (PIT) | 1.5 +105 | 1.5 -140 |
| Erik Karlsson (PIT) | 2.5 +120 | 2.5 -160 |
| Yegor Chinakhov (CBJ) | 2.5 +110 | 2.5 -150 |
| Martin Necas (COL) | 2.5 -145 | 2.5 +105 |
Penguins: Keys to the Game vs. Avalanche
The Penguins are 5-83 (.057) when scoring 2 or fewer non-shootout goals since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .152
The Penguins are 102-120 (.459) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Penguins were 5-18 (.217) when tied after the first period last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Penguins were 33-48 (.407) last season — 5th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
Avalanche: Keys to the Game vs. Penguins
The Avalanche are 136-83 (.621) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Avalanche are 44-20 (.688) this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Avalanche were 47-32 (.595) last season — tied for 6th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Avalanche are 76-41 (.650) when allowing less than 30 shots on goal since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .525
Penguins Offensive Stats & Trends
The Penguins have 23 inner slot shots in overtime this season — most among NHL Teams
The Penguins have 32 cycle chances in overtime this season — most among NHL Teams
The Penguins have 7 second chance scoring opportunities in overtime this season — most among NHL Teams
The Penguins scored on 12% of second chance opportunities last season — 3rd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
Avalanche Offensive Stats & Trends
The Avalanche have 7.8 points per game in 5v5 situations this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 5.5
The Avalanche have recorded 35.7 shots per game this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 29.9
The Avalanche have 361 cycle chances while leading this season — most among NHL Teams
The Avalanche have 832 cycle chances this season — most among NHL Teams
Penguins Defensive Stats & Trends
The Penguins allowed opponents to score on 16% of rush chances last season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 11%
The Penguins allowed opponents to score on 16% of rush chances in 5v5 situations last season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10%
The Penguins have made 1.0 saves per game while their opponent is shorthanded since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.7
The Penguins have allowed 8 forecheck chances while their opponent is shorthanded since the start of the 2023-24 season — most among NHL Teams
Avalanche Defensive Stats & Trends
The Avalanche have a .615 slot save percentage while their opponent is shorthanded this season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .831
The Avalanche have allowed 0.7 goals per game in the third period this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.1
The Avalanche have allowed opponents to score on 8% of second chance opportunities this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 16%
The Avalanche have allowed 0.2 goals per game while their opponent is shorthanded this season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.1
National Hockey League Betting at BetMGM
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