- The Penguins are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Panthers
- Panthers vs. Penguins Total (Over/Under): 6.5 goals
- TV Channel: SNPT | SCRI
The Florida Panthers (37-36) visit PPG Paints Arena to take on the Pittsburgh Penguins (39-22) on Apr. 5 in Pittsburgh, PA. The puck drop is scheduled for 3:00 pm.
The Penguins are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (-105).
The Panthers vs. Penguins Over/Under is 6.5 total goals.
Panthers vs. Penguins Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
Panthers vs Penguins Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Penguins will win this game with 90.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Panthers vs Penguins Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Panthers will cover the spread with 82.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Panthers Best Bets & Trends
- [team high – away]
Penguins Best Bets & Trends
- [team high – home]
Panthers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Panthers are 26-50 against the spread this NHL season (-26.6 Units / -25.38% ROI).
- Panthers are 37-39 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.4 Units /-14.04% ROI
- Panthers are 43-33 when betting the Over for +6.7 Units / 7.98% ROI
- Panthers are 33-43 when betting the Under for -14.05 Units /-16.8% ROI
Penguins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Penguins are 45-32 against the spread this NHL season (+10.5 Units /8.78% ROI).
- Penguins are 39-38 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.25 Units / 3.62% ROI
- Penguins are 43-32 when betting the Over for +7.65 Units / 8.93% ROI
- Penguins are 32-43 when betting the Under for -14.9 Units / -17.58% ROI
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions for for Penguins vs Panthers
| Player Name | Odds to Score a Goal |
|---|---|
| Sidney Crosby (Pit) | +135 |
| Bryan Rust (Pit) | +170 |
| Rickard Rakell (Pit) | +175 |
| Matthew Tkachuk (Fla) | +185 |
| Evgeni Malkin (Pit) | +190 |
| Sam Bennett (Fla) | +200 |
Points Per Game Predictions for Penguins vs Panthers
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Mackie Samoskevich (FLA) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Erik Karlsson (PIT) | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +100 |
| Bryan Rust (PIT) | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +115 |
| Matthew Tkachuk (FLA) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Carter Verhaeghe (FLA) | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Penguins vs Panthers
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Erik Karlsson (PIT) | 2.5 -110 | 2.5 -120 |
| Bryan Rust (PIT) | 2.5 +105 | 2.5 -140 |
| Matthew Tkachuk (FLA) | 2.5 -175 | 2.5 +130 |
| Carter Verhaeghe (FLA) | 2.5 -110 | 2.5 -120 |
| Gustav Forsling (FLA) | 1.5 +100 | 1.5 -140 |
Panthers: Keys to the Game vs. Penguins
The Panthers were 47-33 (.588) last season — tied for 8th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Panthers are 84-72 (.538) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 10th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Panthers are 129-93 (.581) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Panthers were 20-9 (.690) when recording 35 or more shots on goal last season — tied for 5th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .556
Penguins: Keys to the Game vs. Panthers
The Penguins were 33-48 (.407) last season — 5th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Penguins are 5-83 (.057) when scoring 2 or fewer non-shootout goals since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .152
The Penguins are winless (0-23) when scoring 2 or fewer non-shootout goals this season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .165
The Penguins are 102-120 (.459) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
Panthers Offensive Stats & Trends
The Panthers recorded 33.8 shots per game last season — 3rd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 30.3
The Panthers had 90 forecheck chances in the third period last season — most among NHL Teams
The Panthers have 3.1 slot shots per game on the power play this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 2.5
The Panthers have scored on 9% of rush chances since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 11%
Penguins Offensive Stats & Trends
The Penguins have 8 second chance scoring opportunities in overtime this season — most among NHL Teams
The Penguins have 27 inner slot shots in overtime this season — most among NHL Teams
The Penguins have 12.1 slot shots per game in 5v5 situations this season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10.3
The Penguins have 11 second chance scoring opportunities in overtime since the start of the 2023-24 season — most among NHL Teams
Panthers Defensive Stats & Trends
The Panthers have a .748 slot save percentage in the third period this season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .816
The Panthers have allowed opponents to score on 15% of cycle chances in the third period this season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 9%
The Panthers have a .852 save percentage in the third period this season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .886
The Panthers have a .798 slot save percentage this season — 3rd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .828
Penguins Defensive Stats & Trends
The Penguins have allowed 0.2 goals per game while their opponent is shorthanded this season — tied for highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.1
The Penguins allowed opponents to score on 16% of rush chances last season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 11%
The Penguins allowed opponents to score on 16% of rush chances in 5v5 situations last season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10%
The Penguins have allowed 0.5 high danger chances per game while their opponent is shorthanded since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for 2nd highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.4
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