- The Penguins are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Panthers
- Panthers vs. Penguins Total (Over/Under): 6.5 goals
- TV Channel: SNPT | SCRI
The Florida Panthers (37-35) visit PPG Paints Arena to take on the Pittsburgh Penguins (38-22) on Apr. 4 in Pittsburgh, PA. The puck drop is scheduled for 5:00 pm.
The Penguins are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+115).
The Panthers vs. Penguins Over/Under is 6.5 total goals.
Panthers vs. Penguins Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
Panthers vs Penguins Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Penguins will win this game with 84.7% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Panthers vs Penguins Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Panthers will cover the spread with 70.7% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Panthers Best Bets & Trends
- The Florida Panthers have covered the 1P Puck Line in 10 of their last 13 games (+7.75 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Florida Panthers have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 25 away games (+5.60 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Florida Panthers have hit the 1P Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 games (+4.85 Units / 57% ROI)
- The Florida Panthers have hit the 3P Game Total Over in 12 of their last 25 away games (+4.70 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Florida Panthers have hit the 2P Game Total Under in 5 of their last 8 away games (+3.00 Units / 29% ROI)
Penguins Best Bets & Trends
- The Pittsburgh Penguins have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 15 games (+10.60 Units / 61% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Penguins have covered the 1P Puck Line in 14 of their last 20 games at home (+10.35 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Penguins have hit the 1P Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games at home (+7.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Penguins have hit the 3P Game Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games (+6.65 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Penguins have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 8 of their last 15 games at home (+5.05 Units / 31% ROI)
Panthers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Panthers are 26-49 against the spread this NHL season (-25.35 Units / -24.48% ROI).
- Panthers are 37-38 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.4 Units /-13.2% ROI
- Panthers are 42-33 when betting the Over for +5.7 Units / 6.88% ROI
- Panthers are 33-42 when betting the Under for -13.05 Units /-15.79% ROI
Penguins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Penguins are 44-32 against the spread this NHL season (+9.45 Units /7.97% ROI).
- Penguins are 38-38 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.25 Units / 2.57% ROI
- Penguins are 42-32 when betting the Over for +6.65 Units / 7.87% ROI
- Penguins are 32-42 when betting the Under for -13.9 Units / -16.6% ROI
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions for for Penguins vs Panthers
| Player Name | Odds to Score a Goal |
|---|---|
| Sidney Crosby (Pit) | +160 |
| Bryan Rust (Pit) | +180 |
| Matthew Tkachuk (Fla) | +190 |
| Rickard Rakell (Pit) | +195 |
| Sam Bennett (Fla) | +200 |
| Carter Verhaeghe (Fla) | +220 |
Points Per Game Predictions for Penguins vs Panthers
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Mackie Samoskevich (FLA) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Thomas Novak (PIT) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -220 |
| Erik Karlsson (PIT) | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Matthew Tkachuk (FLA) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +170 |
| Bryan Rust (PIT) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Penguins vs Panthers
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Ben Kindel (PIT) | 1.5 -115 | 1.5 -118 |
| Mackie Samoskevich (FLA) | 2.5 +145 | 2.5 -200 |
| Thomas Novak (PIT) | 1.5 +115 | 1.5 -155 |
| Erik Karlsson (PIT) | 2.5 -118 | 2.5 -115 |
| Matthew Tkachuk (FLA) | 3.5 +130 | 3.5 -185 |
Panthers: Keys to the Game vs. Penguins
The Panthers are 129-93 (.581) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Panthers were 47-33 (.588) last season — tied for 8th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Panthers are undefeated (14-0) when scoring 3 or more goals in a period this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .842
The Panthers are 4-22 (.154) when trailing after the first period this season — 3rd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .274
Penguins: Keys to the Game vs. Panthers
The Penguins were 33-48 (.407) last season — 5th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Penguins are 102-120 (.459) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Penguins are winless (0-23) when scoring 2 or fewer non-shootout goals this season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .165
The Penguins are 5-83 (.057) when scoring 2 or fewer non-shootout goals since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .152
Panthers Offensive Stats & Trends
The Panthers recorded 33.8 shots per game last season — 3rd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 30.3
The Panthers had 90 forecheck chances in the third period last season — most among NHL Teams
The Panthers have scored on 7% of rush chances in the third period since the start of the 2024-25 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 13%
The Panthers have recorded 5.5 shots per game on the power play this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 4.4
Penguins Offensive Stats & Trends
The Penguins have 8 second chance scoring opportunities in overtime this season — most among NHL Teams
The Penguins have 27 inner slot shots in overtime this season — most among NHL Teams
The Penguins have 58 cycle chances in overtime since the start of the 2024-25 season — most among NHL Teams
The Penguins have 10 second chance scoring opportunities in overtime since the start of the 2024-25 season — most among NHL Teams
Panthers Defensive Stats & Trends
The Panthers have a .749 slot save percentage in the third period this season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .816
The Panthers have a .852 save percentage in the third period this season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .886
The Panthers have allowed opponents to score on 15% of cycle chances in the third period this season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 9%
The Panthers have allowed opponents to score on 15% of rush chances this season — 2nd highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 11%
Penguins Defensive Stats & Trends
The Penguins allowed opponents to score on 16% of rush chances in 5v5 situations last season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10%
The Penguins have allowed 0.2 goals per game while their opponent is shorthanded this season — tied for highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.1
The Penguins allowed opponents to score on 16% of rush chances last season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 11%
The Penguins made 1.0 saves per game while their opponent is shorthanded last season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.7
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