- The Maple Leafs are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Panthers
- Panthers vs. Maple Leafs Total (Over/Under): 6.5 goals
- TV Channel: SCRI | RSN | CBC
The Florida Panthers (37-38) visit Scotiabank Arena to take on the Toronto Maple Leafs (32-33) on Apr. 11 in Toronto, ON. The puck drop is scheduled for 7:00 pm.
The Maple Leafs are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+170).
The Panthers vs. Maple Leafs Over/Under is 6.5 total goals.
Panthers vs. Maple Leafs Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
Panthers vs Maple Leafs Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Maple Leafs will win this game with 59.8% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Panthers vs Maple Leafs Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Panthers will cover the spread with 57.6% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Panthers Best Bets & Trends
- The Florida Panthers have hit the 3P Game Total Over in 14 of their last 25 away games (+6.85 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Florida Panthers have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 25 away games (+5.90 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Florida Panthers have covered the 1P Puck Line in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.25 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Florida Panthers have hit the 1P Moneyline in 5 of their last 12 games (+4.45 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Florida Panthers have hit the 2P Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 away games (+4.35 Units / 30% ROI)
Maple Leafs Best Bets & Trends
- The Toronto Maple Leafs have hit the 1P Game Total Over in 16 of their last 20 games at home (+10.45 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Toronto Maple Leafs have covered the 3P Puck Line in 17 of their last 25 games at home (+8.30 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Toronto Maple Leafs have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 12 of their last 25 games (+6.75 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Toronto Maple Leafs have hit the 3P Moneyline in 11 of their last 25 games at home (+4.45 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Toronto Maple Leafs have hit the 3P Game Total Under in 6 of their last 12 games at home (+3.65 Units / 28% ROI)
Panthers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Panthers are 27-52 against the spread this NHL season (-27.8 Units / -25.72% ROI).
- Panthers are 37-42 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.4 Units /-16.49% ROI
- Panthers are 45-34 when betting the Over for +7.7 Units / 8.81% ROI
- Panthers are 34-45 when betting the Under for -15.15 Units /-17.42% ROI
Maple Leafs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Maple Leafs are 34-45 against the spread this NHL season (-22.3 Units /-18.54% ROI).
- Maple Leafs are 32-47 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.75 Units / -16.84% ROI
- Maple Leafs are 43-30 when betting the Over for +9.8 Units / 11.14% ROI
- Maple Leafs are 30-43 when betting the Under for -16.85 Units / -19.48% ROI
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions for for Maple Leafs vs Panthers
| Player Name | Odds to Score a Goal |
|---|---|
| Sam Bennett (Fla) | +125 |
| William Nylander (Tor) | +130 |
| John Tavares (Tor) | +140 |
| Carter Verhaeghe (Fla) | +165 |
| Matthew Knies (Tor) | +210 |
| Mackie Samoskevich (FLA) | +250 |
Points Per Game Predictions for Maple Leafs vs Panthers
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Mackie Samoskevich (FLA) | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -125 |
| A.J. Greer (FLA) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Matias Maccelli (TOR) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Easton Cowan (TOR) | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -118 |
| Carter Verhaeghe (FLA) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Maple Leafs vs Panthers
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Mackie Samoskevich (FLA) | 2.5 -140 | 2.5 +100 |
| A.J. Greer (FLA) | 1.5 -155 | 1.5 +115 |
| Easton Cowan (TOR) | 1.5 -140 | 1.5 +105 |
| Carter Verhaeghe (FLA) | 2.5 -175 | 2.5 +130 |
| Gustav Forsling (FLA) | 1.5 -175 | 1.5 +125 |
Panthers: Keys to the Game vs. Maple Leafs
The Panthers are 129-93 (.581) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Panthers are 84-74 (.532) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 10th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Panthers were 47-33 (.588) last season — tied for 8th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Panthers are 4-24 (.143) when trailing after the first period this season — 3rd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .272
Maple Leafs: Keys to the Game vs. Panthers
The Maple Leafs were 50-29 (.633) last season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Maple Leafs are 123-98 (.557) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Maple Leafs are 32-45 (.416) this season — 4th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Maple Leafs were 36-13 (.735) when creating 5 or more rush chances last season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .544
Panthers Offensive Stats & Trends
The Panthers have recorded 1.1 shots per game while shorthanded this season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.8
The Panthers have recorded 5.5 shots per game on the power play this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 4.4
The Panthers have averaged 0.7 high danger chances per game while shorthanded this season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.4
The Panthers had 69 second chance scoring opportunities in the third period last season — most among NHL Teams
Maple Leafs Offensive Stats & Trends
The Maple Leafs scored on 37% of second chance opportunities on the power play last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
The Maple Leafs have 1.6 rush chances per game in the first period since the start of the 2024-25 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 2.0
The Maple Leafs have scored on 17% of rush chances in the first period this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 11%
The Maple Leafs scored on 15% of rush chances in the second period last season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10%
Panthers Defensive Stats & Trends
The Panthers have a .850 save percentage in the third period this season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .886
The Panthers have a .797 slot save percentage this season — 3rd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .828
The Panthers have allowed opponents to score on 14% of cycle chances in the third period this season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 9%
The Panthers have a .745 slot save percentage in the third period this season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .815
Maple Leafs Defensive Stats & Trends
The Maple Leafs have allowed 2.9 rush chances per game in the second period this season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 2.3
The Maple Leafs allowed opponents to score on 8% of cycle chances last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10%
The Maple Leafs have allowed 7.7 rush chances per game this season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 6.4
The Maple Leafs have made 30.8 saves per game this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 26.8
National Hockey League Betting at BetMGM
At the BetMGM online sportsbook, NHL betting is available throughout the year.
Hockey betting lines are posted for the latest Maple Leafs Stanley Cup odds, Oilers playoffs odds, live betting, and more.
BetMGM also has the odds for the betting favourites to win the Stanley Cup this year.
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