- The Lightning are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Panthers
- Panthers vs. Lightning Total (Over/Under): 6 goals
- TV Channel: ESPN+ | HULU | RSN | TVA
The Florida Panthers (29-24) visit Benchmark International Arena to take on the Tampa Bay Lightning (36-14) on Feb. 5 in Tampa, FL. The puck drop is scheduled for 7:30 pm.
The Lightning are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Panthers vs. Lightning Over/Under is 6 total goals.
Panthers vs. Lightning Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread (Puck line) | Total (O/U) | 2-Way Moneyline | |
| Panthers | +1.5 -150 | 6 -105 | +165 |
| Lightning | -1.5 +125 | 6 -115 | -200 |
Panthers vs Lightning Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Lightning will win this game with 82.6% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Panthers vs Lightning Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Panthers will cover the spread with 60.5% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Panthers Best Bets & Trends
- The Florida Panthers have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 25 games (+8.30 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Florida Panthers have covered the 3P Puck Line in 10 of their last 15 away games (+4.80 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Florida Panthers have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 away games (+4.70 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Florida Panthers have hit the 3P Game Total Over in 11 of their last 25 away games (+3.85 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Florida Panthers have hit the 1P Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.20 Units / 28% ROI)
Lightning Best Bets & Trends
- The Tampa Bay Lightning have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 20 games (+14.85 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Lightning have hit the 2P Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games (+11.90 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Lightning have covered the 2P Puck Line in 16 of their last 25 games (+10.40 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Lightning have covered the Puck Line in 14 of their last 25 games (+10.25 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Lightning have hit the 3P Moneyline in 14 of their last 25 games (+7.90 Units / 20% ROI)
Panthers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Panthers are 19-37 against the spread this NHL season (-16.5 Units / -22.09% ROI).
- Panthers are 29-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.35 Units /-12.96% ROI
- Panthers are 33-23 when betting the Over for +7.85 Units / 12.81% ROI
- Panthers are 23-33 when betting the Under for -13.6 Units /-21.88% ROI
Lightning Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Lightning are 27-27 against the spread this NHL season (+10.05 Units /14.84% ROI).
- Lightning are 36-18 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.6 Units / 11.56% ROI
- Lightning are 25-27 when betting the Over for -4.45 Units / -7.53% ROI
- Lightning are 27-25 when betting the Under for -0.55 Units / -0.92% ROI
Points Per Game Predictions for Lightning vs Panthers
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Nikita Kucherov (TB) | 1.5 -165 | 1.5 +125 |
| Yanni Gourde (TB) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Matthew Tkachuk (FLA) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
| Victor Hedman (TB) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Brad Marchand (FLA) | 0.5 -125 | 0.5 -105 |
Shots on Goal Predictions for Lightning vs Panthers
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Nikita Kucherov (TB) | 2.5 -185 | 2.5 +130 |
| Matthew Tkachuk (FLA) | 2.5 -120 | 2.5 -115 |
| Victor Hedman (TB) | 1.5 +100 | 1.5 -140 |
| Brad Marchand (FLA) | 2.5 +135 | 2.5 -185 |
| Jake Guentzel (TB) | 2.5 -105 | 2.5 -125 |
Panthers: Keys to the Game vs. Lightning
The Panthers were 47-33 (.588) last season — tied for 8th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Panthers were 33-3 (.917) when allowing 2 or fewer non-shootout goals last season — tied for 5th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .856
The Panthers were 33-16 (.673) when creating 5 or more rush chances last season — 4th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .544
The Panthers were 2-19 (.095) when trailing after the second period last season — tied for 6th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .148
Lightning: Keys to the Game vs. Panthers
The Lightning were 46-33 (.582) last season — 10th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500
The Lightning were 38-2 (.950) when leading after the second period last season — 4th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .852
The Lightning were 2-23 (.080) when scoring 2 or fewer non-shootout goals last season — 4th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .144
The Lightning were 44-10 (.815) when scoring 3 or more non-shootout goals last season — 9th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .754
Panthers Offensive Stats & Trends
The Panthers had 90 forecheck chances in the third period last season — most among NHL Teams
The Panthers had 0.3 points per game while shorthanded last season — tied for 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.2
The Panthers recorded 33.8 shots per game last season — 3rd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 30.3
The Panthers had 14 inner slot shots in 4v4 situations last season — most among NHL Teams
Lightning Offensive Stats & Trends
The Lightning averaged 0.6 high danger chances per game while shorthanded last season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.4
The Lightning primary assisted on 264 goals last season — most among NHL Teams
The Lightning primary assisted on 11 goals while shorthanded last season — 2nd most among NHL Teams
The Lightning had 0.3 points per game while shorthanded last season — tied for 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.2
Panthers Defensive Stats & Trends
The Panthers allowed 1.8 rush chances per game in the second period last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 2.3
The Panthers allowed 1.7 rush chances per game in the first period last season — 3rd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 2.0
The Panthers allowed 9.3 high danger chances per game in 5v5 situations last season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10.5
The Panthers allowed 0.89 expected goals per game in the second period last season — tied for 3rd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.05
Lightning Defensive Stats & Trends
The Lightning allowed 0.7 goals per game in the first period last season — tied for 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.9
The Lightning allowed 2.0 rush chances per game while tied last season — tied for 4th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 2.3
The Lightning allowed 0.9 goals per game while tied last season — tied for 4th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.0
The Lightning allowed 0.87 expected goals per game while tied last season — tied for 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.03
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