Panthers vs Islanders Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NHL, Mar 28

Fans wait to enter the new UBS Arena for the first New York Islanders NHL hockey game against the Calgary Flames, Nov. 20, 2021, in Elmont, N.Y.
(AP Photo/Adam Hunger)
NHL OddsLive Betting
  • The Islanders are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Panthers
  • Panthers vs. Islanders Total (Over/Under): 5.5 goals
  • TV Channel: MSGS | SCRI | R360

The Florida Panthers (35-33) visit UBS Arena to take on the New York Islanders (41-27) on Mar. 28 in Elmont, NY. The puck drop is scheduled for 1:00 pm.

The Islanders are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+125).

The Panthers vs. Islanders Over/Under is 5.5 total goals.

Panthers vs. Islanders Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

Panthers vs Islanders Prediction:

The winning team model predicts the Islanders will win this game with 75.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.

Panthers vs Islanders Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Islanders will cover the spread with 69.3% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook


  • The Florida Panthers have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 25 away games (+7.65 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Florida Panthers have hit the 3P Game Total Over in 11 of their last 20 away games (+6.00 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Florida Panthers have hit the 1P Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.35 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Florida Panthers have covered the 1P Puck Line in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.75 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Florida Panthers have hit the 2P Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 away games (+3.00 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The New York Islanders have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 games at home (+7.40 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The New York Islanders have covered the 1P Puck Line in 6 of their last 7 games (+6.05 Units / 52% ROI)
  • The New York Islanders have covered the 3P Puck Line in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+5.45 Units / 52% ROI)
  • The New York Islanders have covered the Puck Line in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+5.40 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The New York Islanders have hit the 2P Game Total Under in their last 5 games at home (+5.35 Units / 84% ROI)

Panthers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Panthers are 24-47 against the spread this NHL season (-24.2 Units / -24.96% ROI).

  • Panthers are 35-36 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.4 Units /-14.76% ROI
  • Panthers are 40-31 when betting the Over for +5.85 Units / 7.47% ROI
  • Panthers are 31-40 when betting the Under for -12.95 Units /-16.54% ROI

Islanders Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Islanders are 38-35 against the spread this NHL season (-8.05 Units /-6.46% ROI).

  • Islanders are 41-32 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.95 Units / 11.74% ROI
  • Islanders are 32-39 when betting the Over for -10.55 Units / -13.08% ROI
  • Islanders are 39-32 when betting the Under for +4.45 Units / 5.5% ROI

Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions for for Islanders vs Panthers

Player Name Odds to Score a Goal
Bo Horvat (NYI) +145
Matthew Tkachuk (Fla) +195
Mathew Barzal (NYI) +200
Sam Bennett (Fla) +230
Carter Verhaeghe (Fla) +240
Anders Lee (NYI) +260

Points Per Game Predictions for Islanders vs Panthers

Player Name Over Under
Calum Ritchie (NYI) 0.5 +140 0.5 -190
Bo Horvat (NYI) 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
Matthew Schaefer (NYI) 0.5 -155 0.5 +115
Brayden Schenn (NYI) 0.5 +125 0.5 -165
Matthew Tkachuk (FLA) 0.5 -220 0.5 +165

Shots on Goal Predictions for Islanders vs Panthers

Player Name Over Under
Bo Horvat (NYI) 3.5 +120 3.5 -160
Matthew Schaefer (NYI) 2.5 -185 2.5 +135
Emil Heineman (NYI) 2.5 +145 2.5 -200
Brayden Schenn (NYI) 1.5 -105 1.5 -125
Matthew Tkachuk (FLA) 3.5 +120 3.5 -160

Panthers: Keys to the Game vs. Islanders

The Panthers were 47-33 (.588) last season — tied for 8th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500

The Panthers are 129-93 (.581) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500

The Panthers are undefeated (13-0) when scoring 3 or more goals in a period this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .842

The Panthers are 30-8 (.789) when scoring 3 or more non-shootout goals this season — 4th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .717

Islanders: Keys to the Game vs. Panthers

The Islanders were 34-46 (.425) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500

The Islanders are 13-3 (.812) when allowing 35 or more shots on goal this season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .482

The Islanders are 53-39 (.576) when winning the xG advantage since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .671

The Islanders were 4-10 (.286) when tied after the second period last season — 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500

The Panthers have 0.5 rush chances per game on the power play since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.3

The Panthers have recorded 5.6 shots per game on the power play this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 4.4

The Panthers had 90 forecheck chances in the third period last season — most among NHL Teams

The Panthers have averaged 0.6 high danger chances per game while shorthanded this season — tied for 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.4

The Islanders have 0.2 rush chances per game on the power play since the start of the 2024-25 season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.3

The Islanders had 164 second chance scoring opportunities last season — 7th most among NHL Teams

The Islanders recorded 2,557 shots last season — 5th most among NHL Teams

The Islanders have 162 second chance scoring opportunities this season — 2nd most among NHL Teams

The Panthers have a .740 slot save percentage in the third period this season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .816

The Panthers have a .848 save percentage in the third period this season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .887

The Panthers have allowed 1.4 goals per game in the third period this season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.1

The Panthers have allowed opponents to score on 29% of second chance opportunities in the third period this season — 2nd highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 14%

The Islanders have a .846 slot save percentage since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .829

The Islanders have allowed opponents to score on 9% of second chance opportunities since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 16%

The Islanders have allowed opponents to score on 6% of cycle chances this season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 9%

The Islanders allowed opponents to score on 9% of second chance opportunities last season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%


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